Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#66
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#47
Pace75.4#53
Improvement+0.0#143

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#51
First Shot+7.5#19
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#316
Layup/Dunks+2.9#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#50
Freethrows+3.2#28
Improvement+0.2#57

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#88
First Shot+0.6#157
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#40
Layups/Dunks+3.4#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#308
Freethrows+1.8#82
Improvement-0.2#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 3.8% 6.7% 1.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.8% 45.3% 23.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.9% 42.4% 21.1%
Average Seed 9.1 8.8 9.5
.500 or above 84.1% 92.6% 78.0%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 71.8% 44.8%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.5% 2.4%
First Four6.2% 7.4% 5.4%
First Round29.4% 41.2% 21.0%
Second Round12.6% 18.2% 8.6%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 4.5% 2.0%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.4% 0.5%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 41.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 7
Quad 24 - 37 - 10
Quad 35 - 212 - 12
Quad 47 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 236   Fairfield W 71-59 91%     1 - 0 +5.2 -2.4 +8.0
  Nov 11, 2022 123   Georgia W 81-71 77%     2 - 0 +10.3 +5.8 +3.9
  Nov 15, 2022 182   Utah Valley W 68-65 OT 86%     3 - 0 -0.6 -10.1 +9.3
  Nov 18, 2022 220   La Salle W 75-63 85%     4 - 0 +8.8 +3.4 +5.3
  Nov 20, 2022 132   Loyola Marymount L 75-77 OT 70%     4 - 1 +0.6 -6.8 +7.6
  Nov 23, 2022 347   South Carolina St. W 105-74 98%     5 - 1 +14.8 +12.1 -0.5
  Nov 26, 2022 334   Hampton W 97-70 97%     6 - 1 +12.1 +12.3 -1.1
  Nov 29, 2022 35   @ Wisconsin W 78-75 28%     7 - 1 +17.0 +16.8 +0.2
  Dec 02, 2022 76   @ Clemson L 73-75 42%    
  Dec 10, 2022 62   LSU L 74-75 49%    
  Dec 14, 2022 204   Appalachian St. W 78-65 89%    
  Dec 19, 2022 39   @ Rutgers L 68-74 31%    
  Dec 20, 2022 18   Duke L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 31, 2022 59   Virginia Tech W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 04, 2023 22   @ North Carolina L 73-82 20%    
  Jan 07, 2023 210   @ Louisville W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 11, 2023 188   Florida St. W 82-70 87%    
  Jan 14, 2023 151   @ Boston College W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 17, 2023 76   Clemson W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 14   Virginia L 65-70 31%    
  Jan 25, 2023 106   @ Pittsburgh W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 28, 2023 31   North Carolina St. L 80-81 44%    
  Jan 31, 2023 18   @ Duke L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 04, 2023 77   @ Notre Dame L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 07, 2023 22   North Carolina L 76-79 39%    
  Feb 11, 2023 113   Georgia Tech W 76-69 74%    
  Feb 18, 2023 36   @ Miami (FL) L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 22, 2023 31   @ North Carolina St. L 77-84 25%    
  Feb 25, 2023 77   Notre Dame W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 28, 2023 151   Boston College W 75-65 81%    
  Mar 04, 2023 97   @ Syracuse L 72-73 50%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.4 1.3 0.1 7.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.7 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.0 4.2 0.8 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.9 1.2 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.1 1.8 0.1 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.5 2.4 0.3 9.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 15th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.2 5.6 8.4 10.9 13.3 13.9 12.7 10.9 8.1 5.1 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 94.1% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 66.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 43.9% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1
15-5 11.6% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 38.5% 61.5% 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 99.3% 16.0% 83.4% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
16-4 1.5% 99.6% 8.6% 91.0% 5.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
15-5 3.1% 98.0% 9.7% 88.4% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.8%
14-6 5.1% 93.3% 7.3% 85.9% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.3 92.8%
13-7 8.1% 81.1% 6.1% 75.0% 8.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.0 1.5 79.9%
12-8 10.9% 63.0% 5.3% 57.7% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.1 1.7 0.2 4.0 60.9%
11-9 12.7% 39.1% 4.6% 34.5% 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.1 0.5 0.0 7.7 36.2%
10-10 13.9% 20.9% 3.7% 17.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 11.0 17.8%
9-11 13.3% 6.0% 3.0% 3.0% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.5 3.1%
8-12 10.9% 2.7% 2.5% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.6 0.2%
7-13 8.4% 2.0% 2.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.2
6-14 5.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.6
5-15 3.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-16 1.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-17 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-18 0.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 32.8% 4.1% 28.7% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.1 4.7 6.0 6.5 6.2 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 67.2 29.9%