Columbia
Ivy League
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#233
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#246
Pace70.7#117
Improvement+0.0#187

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#178
First Shot+3.0#96
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#336
Layup/Dunks-1.6#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#45
Freethrows+0.9#104
Improvement+0.4#155

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#286
First Shot-2.4#261
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#292
Layups/Dunks+0.0#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#316
Freethrows+0.0#186
Improvement-0.4#201
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.0% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 13.0% 35.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.1% 1.0% 1.2%
First Round1.2% 1.6% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 49 - 311 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 48   @ Providence L 59-78 7%     0 - 1 -6.1 -10.8 +6.5
  Nov 11, 2023 262   Albany L 75-78 66%     0 - 2 -10.8 -7.4 -3.2
  Nov 18, 2023 179   @ Temple W 78-73 31%     1 - 2 +6.6 +6.7 -0.2
  Nov 21, 2023 351   LIU Brooklyn W 77-67 89%     2 - 2 -7.0 -7.1 -0.5
  Nov 25, 2023 244   Maine W 75-56 62%     3 - 2 +12.2 +1.4 +10.3
  Nov 29, 2023 343   Loyola Maryland W 69-57 86%     4 - 2 -3.5 -1.0 -0.9
  Dec 03, 2023 275   @ New Hampshire L 71-80 48%     4 - 3 -12.0 -2.7 -9.2
  Dec 05, 2023 307   Lafayette W 83-72 75%     5 - 3 +0.2 +12.6 -11.9
  Dec 11, 2023 329   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 87-83 67%     6 - 3 -4.1 +11.6 -15.6
  Dec 30, 2023 183   @ Fordham L 78-87 31%     6 - 4 -7.6 +2.6 -9.7
  Jan 09, 2024 112   @ Cornell L 79-91 17%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -5.3 +7.8 -13.3
  Jan 15, 2024 89   @ Yale L 70-89 12%     6 - 6 0 - 2 -10.0 +0.0 -9.6
  Jan 20, 2024 83   Princeton L 62-70 23%     6 - 7 0 - 3 -3.7 -11.1 +7.4
  Jan 27, 2024 218   Penn W 84-81 58%     7 - 7 1 - 3 -2.8 +15.7 -18.1
  Feb 02, 2024 216   @ Harvard L 59-62 37%     7 - 8 1 - 4 -3.2 -10.8 +7.5
  Feb 03, 2024 331   @ Dartmouth W 72-56 68%     8 - 8 2 - 4 +7.5 +5.5 +3.7
  Feb 10, 2024 226   @ Brown W 83-69 38%     9 - 8 3 - 4 +13.5 +18.6 -3.8
  Feb 16, 2024 331   Dartmouth W 73-63 83%     10 - 8 4 - 4 -3.9 -4.4 +0.4
  Feb 17, 2024 216   Harvard L 75-80 58%     10 - 9 4 - 5 -10.7 -0.2 -10.4
  Feb 23, 2024 226   Brown L 64-66 59%     10 - 10 4 - 6 -8.0 -8.8 +0.8
  Feb 24, 2024 89   Yale L 76-84 25%     10 - 11 4 - 7 -4.4 +9.6 -14.5
  Mar 01, 2024 83   @ Princeton L 70-84 11%     10 - 12 4 - 8 -4.3 +3.0 -7.9
  Mar 02, 2024 218   @ Penn L 74-77 37%    
  Mar 09, 2024 112   Cornell L 80-85 34%    
Projected Record 11 - 13 5 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 1.6 1.6 4th
5th 12.3 10.4 22.6 5th
6th 42.6 32.1 1.0 75.8 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 42.6 44.4 13.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 13.0% 2.5% 2.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 12.7
5-9 44.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 43.6
4-10 42.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.6 42.1
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 13.0% 2.5% 15.6 0.0 1.0 1.5
Lose Out 42.6% 1.3% 16.0 1.3