Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#343
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#351
Pace65.6#264
Improvement-0.4#207

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#344
First Shot-7.0#343
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#248
Layup/Dunks-0.7#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#295
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#228
Freethrows-2.9#340
Improvement+1.2#114

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#325
First Shot-5.1#333
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#155
Layups/Dunks-2.0#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#281
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
Freethrows-1.1#259
Improvement-1.6#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Home) - 55.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 46 - 176 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 25   @ Florida L 73-93 1%     0 - 1 -4.2 +1.8 -5.0
  Nov 11, 2023 226   @ Brown W 77-75 OT 13%     1 - 1 +1.5 -3.0 +4.2
  Nov 15, 2023 290   Binghamton L 57-63 38%     1 - 2 -15.6 -19.1 +3.2
  Nov 18, 2023 303   Sacred Heart L 51-66 31%     1 - 3 -22.6 -26.5 +4.1
  Nov 19, 2023 270   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-94 17%     1 - 4 -17.8 -6.2 -9.9
  Nov 25, 2023 129   @ Missouri L 70-78 6%     1 - 5 -2.7 -0.9 -1.9
  Nov 29, 2023 233   @ Columbia L 57-69 14%     1 - 6 -12.9 -10.8 -3.7
  Dec 02, 2023 312   Delaware St. L 73-79 OT 44%     1 - 7 -17.1 -3.6 -13.3
  Dec 06, 2023 193   @ La Salle L 61-62 11%     1 - 8 -0.3 -9.7 +9.3
  Dec 09, 2023 249   Mount St. Mary's L 64-77 30%     1 - 9 -20.2 -11.3 -8.8
  Dec 16, 2023 107   @ George Mason L 54-62 4%     1 - 10 -0.9 -8.3 +6.3
  Dec 29, 2023 116   @ Saint Joseph's L 56-97 5%     1 - 11 -34.8 -15.7 -18.4
  Jan 03, 2024 141   @ Colgate L 55-78 7%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -18.8 -9.6 -11.3
  Jan 06, 2024 271   Lehigh L 76-88 33%     1 - 13 0 - 2 -20.2 -0.1 -20.0
  Jan 10, 2024 330   @ Army W 71-65 34%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -2.4 +16.2 -17.2
  Jan 13, 2024 295   Boston University L 58-60 39%     2 - 14 1 - 3 -12.0 -15.0 +3.0
  Jan 15, 2024 261   American L 52-66 32%     2 - 15 1 - 4 -21.8 -20.2 -3.0
  Jan 20, 2024 348   @ Holy Cross L 78-86 42%     2 - 16 1 - 5 -18.7 +2.9 -22.1
  Jan 24, 2024 307   Lafayette L 44-70 42%     2 - 17 1 - 6 -36.8 -23.8 -17.2
  Jan 27, 2024 323   @ Navy W 74-70 29%     3 - 17 2 - 6 -2.9 +11.6 -13.8
  Jan 31, 2024 292   @ Bucknell L 52-67 21%     3 - 18 2 - 7 -19.3 -19.0 -1.1
  Feb 03, 2024 348   Holy Cross L 67-70 63%     3 - 19 2 - 8 -19.1 -13.6 -5.6
  Feb 07, 2024 261   @ American W 44-43 17%     4 - 19 3 - 8 -1.4 -20.5 +19.4
  Feb 10, 2024 141   Colgate L 62-76 14%     4 - 20 3 - 9 -15.2 -5.4 -10.9
  Feb 14, 2024 307   @ Lafayette W 79-64 24%     5 - 20 4 - 9 +9.6 +10.6 -0.3
  Feb 17, 2024 271   @ Lehigh L 70-75 17%     5 - 21 4 - 10 -7.8 +1.4 -9.4
  Feb 21, 2024 323   Navy L 62-69 49%     5 - 22 4 - 11 -19.4 -10.2 -9.8
  Feb 25, 2024 295   @ Boston University L 79-82 OT 22%     5 - 23 4 - 12 -7.5 +0.9 -8.2
  Feb 28, 2024 292   Bucknell L 46-68 39%     5 - 24 4 - 13 -31.8 -24.3 -10.4
  Mar 02, 2024 330   Army W 61-60 55%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 45.0 55.0 100.0 10th
Total 45.0 55.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 55.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 54.9
4-14 45.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 45.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 55.0% 0.2% 16.0 0.2
Lose Out 45.0% 0.1% 16.0 0.1