Temple
American Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#144
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#167
Pace68.7#199
Improvement+0.2#165

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#143
First Shot-0.3#189
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#88
Layup/Dunks-5.5#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#67
Freethrows+4.3#23
Improvement-1.3#280

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#170
First Shot+2.4#97
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#327
Layups/Dunks+2.6#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#262
Freethrows-0.8#242
Improvement+1.5#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 14.1
.500 or above 55.8% 63.0% 37.3%
.500 or above in Conference 54.4% 57.9% 45.7%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.5% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 3.1% 5.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.8% 2.1% 1.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Neutral) - 71.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 52 - 8
Quad 34 - 46 - 11
Quad 48 - 314 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 345   Maryland Eastern Shore W 85-65 93%     1 - 0 +4.5 +3.9 -0.3
  Nov 10, 2023 298   @ Navy W 75-68 71%     2 - 0 +2.5 +6.1 -3.3
  Nov 14, 2023 124   @ Drexel W 66-64 33%     3 - 0 +7.8 +2.6 +5.3
  Nov 18, 2023 246   Columbia L 73-78 79%     3 - 1 -12.2 -3.0 -9.1
  Nov 22, 2023 77   Mississippi L 76-77 39%     3 - 2 +3.1 +14.2 -11.3
  Nov 29, 2023 200   La Salle W 106-99 3OT 71%     4 - 2 +2.3 -6.7 +6.7
  Dec 02, 2023 96   Saint Joseph's L 65-74 36%     4 - 3 -4.0 -0.9 -3.5
  Dec 10, 2023 256   Albany W 79-73 72%    
  Dec 16, 2023 93   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-72 25%    
  Dec 21, 2023 43   Nevada L 68-78 19%    
  Jan 04, 2024 191   @ South Florida L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 07, 2024 84   Wichita St. L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 10, 2024 184   East Carolina W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 13, 2024 82   @ North Texas L 56-64 23%    
  Jan 16, 2024 95   @ SMU L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 20, 2024 237   Rice W 79-71 77%    
  Jan 24, 2024 191   South Florida W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 28, 2024 184   @ East Carolina L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 04, 2024 89   @ Tulane L 77-84 25%    
  Feb 08, 2024 37   Memphis L 73-80 26%    
  Feb 11, 2024 131   Charlotte W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 15, 2024 13   @ Florida Atlantic L 66-83 6%    
  Feb 18, 2024 304   Texas San Antonio W 83-71 86%    
  Feb 25, 2024 84   @ Wichita St. L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 28, 2024 237   @ Rice W 76-74 56%    
  Mar 02, 2024 202   Tulsa W 74-68 71%    
  Mar 07, 2024 132   UAB W 76-74 56%    
  Mar 10, 2024 304   @ Texas San Antonio W 80-74 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.1 7.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.3 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.7 3.8 0.8 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.4 5.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.9 5.6 1.7 0.1 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 5.6 2.7 0.2 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.4 3.8 0.4 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.2 2.9 4.2 0.9 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.6 1.3 0.1 6.6 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 2.4 1.6 0.2 5.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.0 0.2 3.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.2 5.2 9.0 12.0 13.8 14.3 13.4 11.0 7.8 4.5 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 78.3% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 45.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 18.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 40.9% 20.0% 20.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 26.1%
15-3 0.9% 5.4% 5.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.2% 6.4% 6.3% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.1 0.1%
13-5 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.2
12-6 7.8% 2.5% 2.5% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.6
11-7 11.0% 3.3% 3.3% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.6
10-8 13.4% 1.9% 1.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.2
9-9 14.3% 1.3% 1.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.2
8-10 13.8% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.7
7-11 12.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.9
6-12 9.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.0
5-13 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
4-14 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.9% 1.8% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 98.1 0.1%