Brown
Ivy League
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#226
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#257
Pace67.2#223
Improvement+3.9#36

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#247
First Shot-3.0#268
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#145
Layup/Dunks-1.9#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#196
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement+2.4#57

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#189
First Shot-3.1#283
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#21
Layups/Dunks-2.9#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#239
Freethrows+0.4#165
Improvement+1.6#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.0% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 86.5% 100.0% 10.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.9% 2.0% 1.4%
First Round1.2% 1.2% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 84.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 84 - 13
Quad 46 - 510 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 141   @ Colgate L 70-72 24%     0 - 1 +2.2 -1.4 +3.7
  Nov 11, 2023 343   Loyola Maryland L 75-77 OT 87%     0 - 2 -17.5 -11.7 -5.6
  Nov 14, 2023 275   @ New Hampshire L 64-82 49%     0 - 3 -21.0 -11.6 -8.6
  Nov 19, 2023 97   @ USC L 70-81 14%     0 - 4 -2.4 +2.4 -4.9
  Nov 24, 2023 173   Delaware L 59-67 40%     0 - 5 -8.6 -16.8 +8.7
  Nov 25, 2023 234   UMKC W 93-83 OT 52%     1 - 5 +6.4 +11.0 -5.6
  Nov 26, 2023 152   Ohio L 77-82 35%     1 - 6 -4.3 +2.2 -6.4
  Dec 01, 2023 190   Bryant L 66-69 55%     1 - 7 -7.5 -8.8 +1.5
  Dec 03, 2023 244   @ Maine L 49-60 43%     1 - 8 -12.4 -12.9 -1.1
  Dec 06, 2023 204   @ Rhode Island W 67-64 37%     2 - 8 +3.3 -1.9 +5.4
  Dec 10, 2023 48   @ Providence L 54-74 7%     2 - 9 -7.1 -9.7 +2.4
  Dec 22, 2023 355   Siena W 71-67 91%     3 - 9 -14.0 -11.5 -2.7
  Dec 29, 2023 208   @ Stony Brook L 65-69 37%     3 - 10 -3.9 -3.0 -1.3
  Jan 02, 2024 106   Vermont L 70-71 31%     3 - 11 +0.8 +8.1 -7.4
  Jan 09, 2024 89   Yale L 70-80 26%     3 - 12 0 - 1 -6.4 +0.1 -6.7
  Jan 15, 2024 216   @ Harvard W 74-72 38%     4 - 12 1 - 1 +1.8 +6.8 -4.9
  Jan 20, 2024 112   Cornell L 83-84 33%     4 - 13 1 - 2 +0.2 +4.9 -4.7
  Jan 27, 2024 331   @ Dartmouth L 71-75 69%     4 - 14 1 - 3 -12.5 +5.3 -18.2
  Feb 02, 2024 218   Penn W 70-61 60%     5 - 14 2 - 3 +3.2 -2.5 +6.5
  Feb 03, 2024 83   Princeton L 60-70 24%     5 - 15 2 - 4 -5.7 -5.0 -2.0
  Feb 10, 2024 233   Columbia L 69-83 62%     5 - 16 2 - 5 -20.3 -2.5 -19.1
  Feb 16, 2024 83   @ Princeton L 63-72 12%     5 - 17 2 - 6 +0.7 +1.7 -2.3
  Feb 17, 2024 218   @ Penn W 71-64 39%     6 - 17 3 - 6 +6.7 -3.7 +10.5
  Feb 23, 2024 233   @ Columbia W 66-64 41%     7 - 17 4 - 6 +1.1 -7.1 +8.3
  Feb 24, 2024 112   @ Cornell W 78-74 18%     8 - 17 5 - 6 +10.7 +7.7 +3.1
  Mar 01, 2024 216   Harvard W 71-68 OT 59%     9 - 17 6 - 6 -2.7 -3.2 +0.6
  Mar 02, 2024 331   Dartmouth W 70-59 85%    
  Mar 09, 2024 89   @ Yale L 62-74 12%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 12.4 76.3 10.2 98.9 4th
5th 1.1 1.1 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 13.5 76.3 10.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 10.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 9.9
7-7 76.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 1.5 74.8
6-8 13.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.4
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.2% 2.5% 16.0 2.5
Lose Out 13.5% 1.3% 16.0 1.3