Fordham
Atlantic 10
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#170
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#235
Pace72.9#79
Improvement+2.3#42

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#287
First Shot-4.9#305
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#138
Layup/Dunks-2.7#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#229
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement+0.3#145

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#65
First Shot+3.3#79
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#142
Layups/Dunks+2.1#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#14
Freethrows-2.5#304
Improvement+2.0#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.3% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 15.3
.500 or above 34.0% 37.4% 16.5%
.500 or above in Conference 28.8% 30.5% 19.8%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 18.6% 17.2% 25.9%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round1.9% 2.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 83.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 52 - 7
Quad 35 - 87 - 15
Quad 47 - 214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 291   Wagner W 68-64 OT 82%     1 - 0 -6.1 -4.5 -1.4
  Nov 11, 2023 121   Cornell L 73-78 50%     1 - 1 -5.1 -6.3 +1.3
  Nov 17, 2023 229   Norfolk St. W 77-64 61%     2 - 1 +9.9 -3.2 +12.2
  Nov 19, 2023 180   Abilene Christian L 45-59 52%     2 - 2 -14.8 -25.3 +9.7
  Nov 20, 2023 108   Kent St. L 72-79 34%     2 - 3 -3.0 -6.0 +3.7
  Nov 27, 2023 322   Manhattan W 93-61 86%     3 - 3 +20.1 +8.2 +9.2
  Nov 30, 2023 316   Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-68 84%    
  Dec 03, 2023 89   Tulane L 76-79 39%    
  Dec 06, 2023 352   NJIT W 79-63 93%    
  Dec 10, 2023 82   North Texas L 54-61 27%    
  Dec 16, 2023 53   @ St. John's L 71-84 12%    
  Dec 21, 2023 314   Central Connecticut St. W 73-62 85%    
  Dec 30, 2023 246   Columbia W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 03, 2024 162   @ George Washington L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 06, 2024 200   La Salle W 74-70 66%    
  Jan 13, 2024 99   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 17, 2024 123   Davidson L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 20, 2024 119   Loyola Chicago L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 24, 2024 173   @ Rhode Island L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 27, 2024 85   @ Duquesne L 68-77 19%    
  Jan 31, 2024 90   Richmond L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 03, 2024 188   @ Saint Louis L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 06, 2024 93   Virginia Commonwealth L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 14, 2024 99   St. Bonaventure L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 17, 2024 60   @ Dayton L 59-71 16%    
  Feb 20, 2024 123   @ Davidson L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 23, 2024 85   Duquesne L 71-74 37%    
  Feb 27, 2024 98   George Mason L 66-68 43%    
  Mar 02, 2024 96   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-73 24%    
  Mar 06, 2024 133   @ Massachusetts L 70-75 32%    
  Mar 09, 2024 173   Rhode Island W 71-68 61%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.1 0.7 0.1 3.6 4th
5th 0.3 2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.7 2.8 0.3 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.6 1.3 0.1 6.0 7th
8th 0.3 3.2 2.9 0.2 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 4.8 1.1 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.2 2.6 0.1 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.5 0.6 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.3 2.0 0.1 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 3.2 0.4 10.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 2.5 4.2 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.4 14th
15th 0.3 1.3 2.9 3.4 2.6 0.6 0.0 11.1 15th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.4 6.1 9.1 11.7 13.4 13.5 12.5 9.8 7.4 5.5 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 88.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 60.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 20.3% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 30.6% 27.8% 2.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.8%
15-3 0.3% 11.7% 11.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.7% 6.7% 6.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.9% 7.6% 7.6% 12.4 0.1 0.1 1.7
12-6 3.2% 5.2% 5.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.0
11-7 5.5% 4.1% 4.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.3
10-8 7.4% 4.5% 4.5% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.1
9-9 9.8% 3.3% 3.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.4
8-10 12.5% 1.9% 1.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.3
7-11 13.5% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.3
6-12 13.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.2
5-13 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.6
4-14 9.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.0
3-15 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.1
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 97.9 0.0%