Albany
America East
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#262
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#271
Pace81.7#5
Improvement-0.8#229

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#220
First Shot-1.3#211
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#194
Layup/Dunks+3.5#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#331
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#274
Freethrows+0.7#122
Improvement+1.6#101

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#283
First Shot-2.6#269
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#268
Layups/Dunks-7.0#353
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#9
Freethrows-0.9#248
Improvement-2.4#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.8% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% 2.4% 2.0%
First Round1.4% 1.7% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 57.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 411 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 90   @ Massachusetts L 71-92 10%     0 - 1 -12.0 -5.1 -5.0
  Nov 11, 2023 233   @ Columbia W 78-75 34%     1 - 1 +2.1 -2.0 +3.9
  Nov 15, 2023 54   @ Seton Hall L 71-96 6%     1 - 2 -12.6 +3.5 -15.4
  Nov 19, 2023 191   @ Quinnipiac L 82-85 28%     1 - 3 -2.2 -1.7 -0.1
  Nov 21, 2023 330   Army W 62-59 80%     2 - 3 -10.9 -7.6 -3.0
  Nov 26, 2023 355   @ Siena W 86-51 76%     3 - 3 +22.4 +7.9 +13.9
  Nov 29, 2023 295   Boston University W 86-72 68%     4 - 3 +4.0 +4.4 -1.4
  Dec 02, 2023 331   Dartmouth W 73-68 80%     5 - 3 -8.9 -10.5 +1.1
  Dec 10, 2023 179   Temple L 73-78 35%     5 - 4 -6.1 -2.1 -3.8
  Dec 16, 2023 134   @ Drexel L 52-71 18%     5 - 5 -14.2 -18.6 +4.5
  Dec 19, 2023 303   Sacred Heart W 93-79 69%     6 - 5 +3.6 +7.1 -4.6
  Dec 22, 2023 94   @ South Florida L 73-89 10%     6 - 6 -7.3 +0.1 -6.3
  Dec 28, 2023 351   @ LIU Brooklyn W 86-69 73%     7 - 6 +5.5 -1.7 +5.0
  Jan 02, 2024 216   @ Harvard L 71-76 32%     7 - 7 -5.2 -1.6 -3.5
  Jan 06, 2024 334   @ NJIT W 79-73 64%     8 - 7 1 - 0 -2.8 +0.8 -3.8
  Jan 13, 2024 290   Binghamton W 95-75 67%     9 - 7 2 - 0 +10.4 +14.3 -4.4
  Jan 18, 2024 149   Umass Lowell L 76-97 37%     9 - 8 2 - 1 -22.7 -2.3 -19.3
  Jan 20, 2024 190   Bryant L 89-98 48%     9 - 9 2 - 2 -13.5 -0.3 -11.4
  Jan 25, 2024 244   @ Maine L 73-81 36%     9 - 10 2 - 3 -9.4 -2.0 -6.8
  Jan 27, 2024 275   @ New Hampshire W 86-79 42%     10 - 10 3 - 3 +4.0 +3.5 -0.3
  Feb 01, 2024 106   @ Vermont L 59-81 13%     10 - 11 3 - 4 -14.8 -10.0 -4.4
  Feb 03, 2024 270   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 102-114 62%     10 - 12 3 - 5 -20.2 +3.1 -21.0
  Feb 08, 2024 290   @ Binghamton L 57-69 46%     10 - 13 3 - 6 -16.2 -15.8 -1.0
  Feb 15, 2024 334   NJIT W 83-58 81%     11 - 13 4 - 6 +10.7 +5.7 +5.7
  Feb 17, 2024 270   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75-80 41%     11 - 14 4 - 7 -7.8 -6.1 -1.4
  Feb 22, 2024 106   Vermont L 80-94 25%     11 - 15 4 - 8 -12.2 +5.1 -16.6
  Feb 24, 2024 149   @ Umass Lowell L 95-104 20%     11 - 16 4 - 9 -5.2 +9.9 -13.9
  Feb 29, 2024 275   New Hampshire W 91-67 63%     12 - 16 5 - 9 +15.6 +8.8 +5.0
  Mar 02, 2024 244   Maine W 74-72 57%    
  Mar 05, 2024 190   @ Bryant L 81-87 27%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 7.0 7.0 4th
5th 6.7 9.3 16.0 5th
6th 41.3 41.3 6th
7th 9.3 4.2 13.5 7th
8th 22.2 22.2 8th
9th 9th
Total 31.5 52.2 16.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 16.3% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.5 15.8
6-10 52.2% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 1.4 50.9
5-11 31.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.6 30.9
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.4 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 16.3% 3.2% 15.9 0.2 3.1
Lose Out 31.5% 1.9% 16.0 1.9