Cornell
Ivy League
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#113
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#71
Pace76.0#36
Improvement+0.8#105

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#50
First Shot+4.5#66
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#128
Layup/Dunks+1.1#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#58
Freethrows+1.3#97
Improvement+0.6#116

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#230
First Shot-1.9#240
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#186
Layups/Dunks-0.4#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#250
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#220
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement+0.2#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 16.1% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.4 12.4 12.9
.500 or above 92.7% 94.8% 80.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.0% 82.6% 71.7%
Conference Champion 17.9% 18.9% 11.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 2.0% 4.2%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round14.8% 15.9% 8.7%
Second Round2.8% 3.1% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Home) - 85.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 22 - 5
Quad 35 - 37 - 7
Quad 410 - 217 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 265   @ Lehigh W 84-78 73%     1 - 0 +3.4 +0.0 +2.6
  Nov 11, 2023 172   @ Fordham W 78-73 54%     2 - 0 +7.6 +8.0 -0.5
  Nov 15, 2023 111   @ George Mason L 83-90 38%     2 - 1 -0.2 +14.7 -15.0
  Nov 19, 2023 203   Cal St. Fullerton W 88-70 71%     3 - 1 +16.0 +6.6 +7.6
  Nov 20, 2023 171   Utah Valley W 74-61 65%     4 - 1 +12.7 +6.4 +6.6
  Nov 29, 2023 246   Monmouth W 85-74 85%    
  Dec 02, 2023 320   @ Lafayette W 78-69 81%    
  Dec 05, 2023 95   @ Syracuse L 80-84 34%    
  Dec 19, 2023 352   @ Siena W 82-68 91%    
  Dec 22, 2023 272   @ Robert Morris W 80-73 72%    
  Dec 30, 2023 139   Colgate W 81-76 68%    
  Jan 02, 2024 13   @ Baylor L 79-94 9%    
  Jan 09, 2024 252   Columbia W 86-75 85%    
  Jan 15, 2024 189   Penn W 84-76 77%    
  Jan 20, 2024 222   @ Brown W 81-77 63%    
  Jan 27, 2024 60   Princeton L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 02, 2024 276   @ Dartmouth W 82-75 73%    
  Feb 03, 2024 138   @ Harvard L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 10, 2024 87   @ Yale L 75-80 32%    
  Feb 16, 2024 138   Harvard W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 17, 2024 276   Dartmouth W 85-72 87%    
  Feb 23, 2024 87   Yale W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 24, 2024 222   Brown W 84-74 79%    
  Mar 01, 2024 189   @ Penn W 81-79 57%    
  Mar 02, 2024 60   @ Princeton L 72-80 24%    
  Mar 09, 2024 252   @ Columbia W 83-78 67%    
Projected Record 17 - 9 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.8 6.0 5.6 2.4 0.6 17.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 6.5 9.2 5.1 0.8 23.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.6 8.7 8.7 2.9 0.1 23.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 7.5 5.1 0.9 0.0 16.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.6 2.9 0.2 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.2 2.8 1.4 0.2 5.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 2.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.5 8.8 13.2 15.7 16.7 14.8 11.2 6.4 2.4 0.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 100.0% 2.4    2.2 0.1
12-2 87.2% 5.6    4.0 1.5 0.0
11-3 53.2% 6.0    2.7 2.8 0.5
10-4 18.6% 2.8    0.6 1.3 0.8 0.1
9-5 3.4% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 17.9% 17.9 10.2 6.0 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 76.4% 51.7% 24.7% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 51.1%
13-1 2.4% 53.0% 40.8% 12.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 20.5%
12-2 6.4% 35.2% 33.1% 2.1% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.1 3.2%
11-3 11.2% 25.1% 24.6% 0.4% 12.2 0.3 1.7 0.8 0.0 8.4 0.6%
10-4 14.8% 18.5% 18.4% 0.1% 12.5 0.2 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 12.1 0.1%
9-5 16.7% 13.7% 13.7% 12.9 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 14.4
8-6 15.7% 10.3% 10.3% 13.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 14.1
7-7 13.2% 7.7% 7.7% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 12.2
6-8 8.8% 4.5% 4.5% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.4
5-9 5.5% 2.1% 2.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.4
4-10 3.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.9
3-11 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.1% 14.4% 0.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.0 5.6 4.2 1.7 0.6 0.3 84.9 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 91.3% 4.6 8.7 26.1 13.0 30.4 13.0