Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#329
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#314
Pace78.3#16
Improvement+1.1#137

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#308
First Shot-2.7#262
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#331
Layup/Dunks-3.4#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#143
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement-3.7#339

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#340
First Shot-4.3#317
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#279
Layups/Dunks-2.5#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#317
Freethrows-0.3#210
Improvement+4.8#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.9% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.4% 1.9% 1.2%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Away) - 32.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 30 - 30 - 5
Quad 412 - 1212 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 341   @ Buffalo W 92-86 47%     1 - 0 -4.0 +5.2 -9.7
  Nov 11, 2023 54   @ Seton Hall L 55-85 3%     1 - 1 -17.6 -18.0 +4.5
  Nov 15, 2023 209   St. Peter's W 71-70 30%     2 - 1 -4.4 +4.6 -9.0
  Nov 22, 2023 259   @ Queens L 84-97 21%     2 - 2 -15.2 -1.0 -12.8
  Nov 25, 2023 284   Jacksonville L 90-91 33%     2 - 3 -7.4 +13.3 -20.7
  Nov 26, 2023 305   @ Robert Morris L 86-97 29%     2 - 4 -16.1 +6.4 -22.1
  Nov 30, 2023 183   @ Fordham L 52-80 13%     2 - 5 -26.6 -26.0 +3.4
  Dec 02, 2023 334   @ NJIT W 71-68 42%     3 - 5 -5.8 -6.9 +1.1
  Dec 08, 2023 345   @ Manhattan W 76-71 48%     4 - 5 -5.3 -4.5 -1.0
  Dec 11, 2023 233   Columbia L 83-87 33%     4 - 6 -10.3 +6.5 -16.9
  Dec 21, 2023 180   Fairfield L 69-92 25%     4 - 7 -26.9 -12.0 -13.2
  Dec 29, 2023 12   @ Illinois L 71-104 1%     4 - 8 -14.1 -1.2 -11.3
  Jan 04, 2024 222   @ Merrimack L 56-60 16%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -4.4 -10.8 +6.4
  Jan 06, 2024 319   Le Moyne L 63-74 55%     4 - 10 0 - 2 -23.2 -18.0 -4.8
  Jan 10, 2024 300   Chicago St. L 74-75 48%     4 - 11 -11.3 -2.8 -8.5
  Jan 13, 2024 360   Stonehill W 81-74 OT 79%     5 - 11 1 - 2 -12.2 -12.9 -0.5
  Jan 15, 2024 354   @ St. Francis (PA) W 81-71 56%     6 - 11 2 - 2 -2.2 +1.8 -4.1
  Jan 19, 2024 360   @ Stonehill W 76-69 61%     7 - 11 3 - 2 -6.7 -4.9 -2.1
  Jan 25, 2024 267   Central Connecticut St. L 60-76 39%     7 - 12 3 - 3 -24.0 -11.7 -13.3
  Jan 27, 2024 303   Sacred Heart W 93-91 48%     8 - 12 4 - 3 -8.4 +11.4 -19.8
  Feb 01, 2024 351   LIU Brooklyn W 82-75 72%     9 - 12 5 - 3 -10.0 -6.6 -4.1
  Feb 08, 2024 316   Wagner L 62-66 53%     9 - 13 5 - 4 -15.6 -7.4 -8.6
  Feb 10, 2024 267   @ Central Connecticut St. L 62-71 22%     9 - 14 5 - 5 -11.6 -17.0 +6.4
  Feb 15, 2024 351   @ LIU Brooklyn W 84-82 OT 53%     10 - 14 6 - 5 -9.5 -5.2 -4.7
  Feb 17, 2024 354   St. Francis (PA) W 93-74 75%     11 - 14 7 - 5 +1.3 +5.7 -5.6
  Feb 22, 2024 303   @ Sacred Heart L 91-99 29%     11 - 15 7 - 6 -12.9 +2.3 -14.1
  Feb 24, 2024 319   @ Le Moyne W 68-58 35%     12 - 15 8 - 6 +3.2 -7.9 +11.1
  Feb 29, 2024 222   Merrimack L 55-74 32%     12 - 16 8 - 7 -24.8 -15.1 -9.7
  Mar 02, 2024 316   @ Wagner L 65-70 32%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 18.0 18.0 3rd
4th 27.9 14.2 42.1 4th
5th 39.9 39.9 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 67.8 32.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 32.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6 31.6
8-8 67.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.8 66.9
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 32.2% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.9
Lose Out 67.8% 1.2% 16.0 1.2