New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#275
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#198
Pace74.9#38
Improvement-5.8#352

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#292
First Shot-1.9#231
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#328
Layup/Dunks-2.4#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#121
Freethrows+0.4#145
Improvement-4.0#343

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#210
First Shot+0.0#174
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#283
Layups/Dunks-1.3#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#82
Freethrows-0.2#207
Improvement-1.8#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 57.2% 100.0% 24.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Round1.8% 2.4% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Away) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 34 - 7
Quad 411 - 715 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 76   @ Syracuse L 72-83 8%     0 - 1 -0.9 -3.5 +3.6
  Nov 14, 2023 226   Brown W 82-64 51%     1 - 1 +12.0 +3.4 +7.8
  Nov 18, 2023 231   @ George Washington L 67-79 32%     1 - 2 -12.7 -13.1 +1.2
  Nov 21, 2023 224   Marist W 74-71 51%     2 - 2 -2.9 +5.1 -8.0
  Nov 24, 2023 180   @ Fairfield W 83-80 24%     3 - 2 +4.6 +8.1 -3.6
  Nov 27, 2023 1   @ Connecticut L 64-84 1%     3 - 3 +3.5 -4.9 +9.9
  Nov 30, 2023 303   @ Sacred Heart W 90-84 47%     4 - 3 +1.1 -1.4 +1.4
  Dec 03, 2023 233   Columbia W 80-71 52%     5 - 3 +2.7 +0.9 +1.6
  Dec 06, 2023 331   @ Dartmouth L 64-76 61%     5 - 4 -20.5 -6.9 -14.1
  Dec 11, 2023 360   Stonehill W 75-62 89%     6 - 4 -6.2 -9.7 +2.7
  Dec 21, 2023 204   @ Rhode Island W 81-71 28%     7 - 4 +10.3 +0.5 +9.0
  Dec 31, 2023 13   @ Iowa St. L 70-85 2%     7 - 5 +3.8 +2.6 +2.7
  Jan 06, 2024 149   Umass Lowell L 75-82 35%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -8.7 -5.5 -2.6
  Jan 11, 2024 244   @ Maine W 79-74 34%     8 - 6 1 - 1 +3.6 +5.1 -1.7
  Jan 13, 2024 190   Bryant L 74-89 45%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -19.5 -4.3 -13.9
  Jan 18, 2024 334   @ NJIT W 70-62 62%     9 - 7 2 - 2 -0.8 -2.2 +1.9
  Jan 20, 2024 270   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 64-58 39%     10 - 7 3 - 2 +3.2 -16.2 +19.0
  Jan 25, 2024 290   Binghamton W 79-73 OT 65%     11 - 7 4 - 2 -3.6 -5.0 +0.9
  Jan 27, 2024 262   Albany L 79-86 58%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -14.8 -7.8 -6.2
  Feb 03, 2024 149   @ Umass Lowell W 89-73 19%     12 - 8 5 - 3 +19.8 +15.5 +3.9
  Feb 08, 2024 190   @ Bryant L 66-85 26%     12 - 9 5 - 4 -18.1 -4.9 -12.6
  Feb 10, 2024 244   Maine W 60-57 54%     13 - 9 6 - 4 -3.8 -13.9 +10.0
  Feb 15, 2024 106   @ Vermont L 54-70 12%     13 - 10 6 - 5 -8.8 -13.5 +4.6
  Feb 22, 2024 334   NJIT W 83-78 79%     14 - 10 7 - 5 -9.3 +12.8 -21.5
  Feb 24, 2024 270   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 68-86 60%     14 - 11 7 - 6 -26.2 -12.9 -12.8
  Feb 29, 2024 262   @ Albany L 67-91 37%     14 - 12 7 - 7 -26.4 -13.1 -11.5
  Mar 02, 2024 290   @ Binghamton L 72-74 43%    
  Mar 05, 2024 106   Vermont L 64-71 25%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.4 0.4 3rd
4th 42.8 45.9 10.9 99.6 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 42.8 45.9 11.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 11.3% 3.5% 3.5% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 10.9
8-8 45.9% 2.1% 2.1% 15.2 0.0 0.7 0.3 44.9
7-9 42.8% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.1 0.6 42.2
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.1 1.0 0.8 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 11.3% 3.5% 14.9 0.7 2.5 0.3
Lose Out 42.8% 1.5% 15.9 0.2 1.3