IUPUI
Horizon
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-17.6#361
Expected Predictive Rating-17.5#357
Pace68.5#183
Improvement-1.1#237

Offense
Total Offense-9.8#354
First Shot-10.1#357
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#156
Layup/Dunks+0.0#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-11.7#362
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement-1.2#255

Defense
Total Defense-7.8#358
First Shot-6.5#355
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#289
Layups/Dunks-5.0#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#253
Freethrows+0.6#150
Improvement+0.1#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 0.0% 3.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Away) - 4.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 42 - 133 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 304   @ Valparaiso W 66-56 12%     1 - 0 +5.0 -5.8 +11.2
  Nov 14, 2023 52   @ Indiana St. L 57-96 1%     1 - 1 -26.4 -11.7 -14.5
  Nov 17, 2023 314   Elon L 72-86 19%     1 - 2 -22.5 -1.2 -22.3
  Nov 18, 2023 168   @ Winthrop L 61-74 4%     1 - 3 -10.6 -9.3 -1.8
  Nov 19, 2023 348   Holy Cross L 61-74 34%     1 - 4 -26.4 -13.0 -14.9
  Nov 29, 2023 153   @ Wright St. L 74-103 4%     1 - 5 -25.6 -4.6 -20.3
  Dec 02, 2023 185   Northern Kentucky L 55-71 11%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -20.2 -16.8 -4.0
  Dec 07, 2023 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 58-75 14%     1 - 7 -23.1 -16.1 -7.1
  Dec 12, 2023 62   @ Minnesota L 65-101 1%     1 - 8 -24.4 -5.8 -17.7
  Dec 16, 2023 356   Lindenwood L 67-73 53%     1 - 9 -24.3 -13.6 -10.7
  Dec 29, 2023 353   Detroit Mercy W 67-55 49%     2 - 9 1 - 1 -5.4 -9.5 +5.2
  Dec 31, 2023 206   Cleveland St. L 77-86 13%     2 - 10 1 - 2 -14.3 +2.8 -17.5
  Jan 04, 2024 305   @ Robert Morris L 48-92 12%     2 - 11 1 - 3 -49.1 -24.2 -28.7
  Jan 07, 2024 133   @ Youngstown St. L 65-75 3%     2 - 12 1 - 4 -5.0 -11.8 +7.6
  Jan 10, 2024 227   Green Bay L 58-68 14%     2 - 13 1 - 5 -16.0 -4.3 -14.0
  Jan 13, 2024 145   Oakland L 66-88 7%     2 - 14 1 - 6 -23.4 -8.2 -15.1
  Jan 17, 2024 171   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 85-79 4%     3 - 14 2 - 6 +8.2 +8.4 -0.6
  Jan 20, 2024 305   Robert Morris L 63-80 25%     3 - 15 2 - 7 -27.5 -11.6 -17.1
  Jan 25, 2024 133   Youngstown St. L 50-78 6%     3 - 16 2 - 8 -28.4 -24.5 -3.8
  Jan 28, 2024 153   Wright St. L 76-83 8%     3 - 17 2 - 9 -9.0 -5.9 -2.9
  Feb 01, 2024 227   @ Green Bay L 56-79 7%     3 - 18 2 - 10 -23.6 -12.5 -13.1
  Feb 04, 2024 243   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-87 7%     3 - 19 2 - 11 -21.3 -10.7 -10.0
  Feb 10, 2024 171   Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-92 10%     3 - 20 2 - 12 -30.2 -11.4 -17.8
  Feb 14, 2024 353   @ Detroit Mercy L 66-81 29%     3 - 21 2 - 13 -27.0 -14.3 -12.5
  Feb 17, 2024 145   @ Oakland L 59-107 3%     3 - 22 2 - 14 -43.9 -10.0 -35.8
  Feb 25, 2024 185   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-80 5%     3 - 23 2 - 15 -14.8 -7.5 -7.2
  Feb 28, 2024 243   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-75 16%     3 - 24 2 - 16 -11.8 -11.9 +0.3
  Mar 02, 2024 206   @ Cleveland St. L 64-82 5%    
Projected Record 3 - 25 2 - 17





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 95.5 4.5 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 95.5 4.5 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17 4.5% 4.5
2-18 95.5% 95.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.5%
Lose Out 95.5%