Minnesota
Big Ten
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#128
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#198
Pace66.2#269
Improvement-1.5#310

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#150
First Shot-0.2#175
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#116
Layup/Dunks+1.0#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#144
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement-1.4#313

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#126
First Shot+0.3#162
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#90
Layups/Dunks-5.5#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#66
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#143
Freethrows+2.9#28
Improvement-0.1#189
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.6% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.9 11.8 13.3
.500 or above 22.7% 24.8% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 5.8% 6.2% 3.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 46.4% 44.7% 58.2%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round1.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 87.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 9
Quad 22 - 64 - 15
Quad 32 - 25 - 17
Quad 48 - 113 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 356   Bethune-Cookman W 80-60 96%     1 - 0 +2.5 -0.2 +2.9
  Nov 10, 2023 306   Texas San Antonio W 102-76 89%     2 - 0 +15.1 +14.3 -1.2
  Nov 16, 2023 93   Missouri L 68-70 52%     2 - 1 +0.2 -0.3 +0.4
  Nov 18, 2023 286   South Carolina Upstate W 67-53 87%     3 - 1 +4.4 -9.3 +14.0
  Nov 21, 2023 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 86-67 96%     4 - 1 +2.1 -2.1 +3.2
  Nov 26, 2023 72   San Francisco L 58-76 32%     4 - 2 -10.5 -4.2 -8.0
  Nov 30, 2023 287   New Orleans W 79-67 87%    
  Dec 03, 2023 27   @ Ohio St. L 63-76 11%    
  Dec 06, 2023 52   Nebraska L 69-73 35%    
  Dec 09, 2023 228   Florida Gulf Coast W 74-65 79%    
  Dec 12, 2023 351   IUPUI W 78-59 96%    
  Dec 21, 2023 236   Ball St. W 75-66 81%    
  Dec 29, 2023 263   Maine W 73-62 85%    
  Jan 04, 2024 55   @ Michigan L 67-77 19%    
  Jan 07, 2024 59   Maryland L 62-65 38%    
  Jan 12, 2024 68   @ Indiana L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 15, 2024 37   Iowa L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 18, 2024 17   @ Michigan St. L 58-73 8%    
  Jan 23, 2024 35   Wisconsin L 63-69 28%    
  Jan 27, 2024 90   @ Penn St. L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 03, 2024 62   Northwestern L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 06, 2024 17   Michigan St. L 61-70 20%    
  Feb 11, 2024 37   @ Iowa L 73-85 15%    
  Feb 15, 2024 1   @ Purdue L 59-80 3%    
  Feb 18, 2024 54   Rutgers L 62-66 37%    
  Feb 22, 2024 27   Ohio St. L 66-73 26%    
  Feb 25, 2024 52   @ Nebraska L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 28, 2024 31   @ Illinois L 64-77 13%    
  Mar 02, 2024 90   Penn St. W 73-72 51%    
  Mar 06, 2024 68   Indiana L 69-71 42%    
  Mar 09, 2024 62   @ Northwestern L 61-70 22%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.1 0.1 2.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.0 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.3 2.2 0.2 6.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.7 0.9 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.2 1.6 5.0 5.1 1.6 0.1 13.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.3 7.1 6.8 2.5 0.2 20.6 13th
14th 1.6 5.1 8.7 9.9 6.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 34.3 14th
Total 1.6 5.1 9.4 13.5 15.0 15.2 12.6 10.1 7.0 4.7 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 0.0%
16-4 40.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 24.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 12.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 92.0% 92.0% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.0%
14-6 0.1% 91.9% 9.7% 82.3% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.1%
13-7 0.4% 58.1% 2.3% 55.8% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 57.1%
12-8 0.8% 27.2% 7.7% 19.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 21.1%
11-9 1.6% 11.1% 2.7% 8.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 8.6%
10-10 2.8% 3.0% 1.5% 1.5% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.7 1.5%
9-11 4.7% 2.2% 2.0% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 0.3%
8-12 7.0% 0.6% 0.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
7-13 10.1% 1.1% 1.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.0
6-14 12.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 12.5
5-15 15.2% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 15.1
4-16 15.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.0
3-17 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.4
2-18 9.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.4
1-19 5.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
0-20 1.6% 1.6
Total 100% 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 98.5 0.8%