Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.6#356
Expected Predictive Rating-14.2#347
Pace68.1#196
Improvement-3.4#313

Offense
Total Offense-9.5#352
First Shot-8.4#352
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#255
Layup/Dunks-6.7#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#340
Freethrows+2.1#56
Improvement-1.1#249

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#346
First Shot-6.4#353
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#154
Layups/Dunks-2.1#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#260
Freethrows-4.0#355
Improvement-2.4#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 98.0% 27.1% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 46 - 166 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 33   @ Nebraska L 52-84 1%     0 - 1 -17.5 -14.3 -2.8
  Nov 09, 2023 13   @ Iowa St. L 47-102 0.5%    0 - 2 -36.2 -15.5 -18.6
  Nov 16, 2023 238   @ Air Force L 58-76 9%     0 - 3 -19.1 -16.0 -3.4
  Nov 17, 2023 264   Nebraska Omaha W 72-70 16%     1 - 3 -3.2 -3.8 +0.7
  Nov 19, 2023 318   William & Mary W 71-60 28%     2 - 3 +1.5 -5.6 +7.3
  Nov 27, 2023 277   Utah Tech L 66-73 25%     2 - 4 -15.5 -11.1 -4.1
  Dec 02, 2023 260   @ Idaho St. L 70-76 11%     2 - 5 -8.3 -2.6 -5.9
  Dec 09, 2023 234   UMKC L 67-72 19%     2 - 6 -11.3 -3.8 -7.8
  Dec 16, 2023 361   @ IUPUI W 73-67 47%     3 - 6 -8.9 -6.6 -2.3
  Dec 19, 2023 163   @ Missouri St. L 57-79 5%     3 - 7 -19.2 -16.8 -1.3
  Dec 31, 2023 328   Southern Indiana L 62-73 41%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -24.4 -14.0 -10.8
  Jan 06, 2024 269   @ Western Illinois L 57-68 12%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -13.7 -8.1 -7.0
  Jan 11, 2024 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 74-68 36%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -5.9 -3.2 -2.8
  Jan 13, 2024 296   @ Tennessee St. L 60-75 15%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -19.5 -15.8 -3.2
  Jan 18, 2024 291   SIU Edwardsville L 59-78 28%     4 - 11 1 - 4 -28.6 -14.0 -16.0
  Jan 20, 2024 315   Eastern Illinois L 68-78 35%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -21.6 -2.6 -19.8
  Jan 25, 2024 211   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-80 8%     4 - 13 1 - 6 -14.0 -4.9 -9.9
  Jan 27, 2024 220   @ Tennessee Martin L 67-76 9%     4 - 14 1 - 7 -9.4 -4.4 -5.4
  Jan 30, 2024 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 58-54 57%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -13.4 -15.6 +2.6
  Feb 01, 2024 269   Western Illinois L 71-79 24%     5 - 15 2 - 8 -16.2 +6.0 -23.3
  Feb 08, 2024 296   Tennessee St. L 55-65 29%     5 - 16 2 - 9 -20.0 -17.1 -3.6
  Feb 10, 2024 327   Tennessee Tech L 53-62 OT 41%     5 - 17 2 - 10 -22.3 -26.9 +4.9
  Feb 15, 2024 291   @ SIU Edwardsville L 63-91 14%     5 - 18 2 - 11 -32.2 -15.2 -15.4
  Feb 17, 2024 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 57-72 19%     5 - 19 2 - 12 -21.1 -15.7 -5.7
  Feb 22, 2024 220   Tennessee Martin L 82-106 18%     5 - 20 2 - 13 -29.8 -2.7 -24.7
  Feb 24, 2024 211   Arkansas Little Rock L 73-82 17%     5 - 21 2 - 14 -14.5 -3.6 -10.9
  Feb 29, 2024 328   @ Southern Indiana W 67-63 23%     6 - 21 3 - 14 -3.9 -5.2 +1.4
  Mar 02, 2024 139   @ Morehead St. L 58-78 3%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 72.7 2.7 75.4 10th
11th 24.6 24.6 11th
Total 97.3 2.7 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 97.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 97.3
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.7% 0.1% 16.0 0.1
Lose Out 97.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0