Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#243
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#214
Pace71.7#89
Improvement+3.6#40

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#174
First Shot-1.4#215
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#77
Layup/Dunks-2.4#281
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#139
Freethrows+0.9#103
Improvement-1.8#282

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#306
First Shot-2.0#251
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#330
Layups/Dunks+0.4#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#250
Freethrows-1.7#289
Improvement+5.4#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 3.7% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 58.2% 100.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.5%
First Round2.9% 3.5% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 58.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 84 - 11
Quad 411 - 315 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 48   @ Providence L 69-79 7%     0 - 1 +2.9 +3.5 -0.5
  Nov 14, 2023 31   @ Colorado L 79-106 5%     0 - 2 -11.9 +6.4 -16.4
  Nov 20, 2023 205   Stetson L 67-85 44%     0 - 3 -20.5 -5.5 -16.4
  Nov 21, 2023 355   Siena W 61-59 85%     1 - 3 -13.3 -10.3 -2.8
  Nov 25, 2023 215   Southern Miss L 84-90 56%     1 - 4 -11.6 +10.7 -22.4
  Dec 02, 2023 227   @ Green Bay L 58-70 37%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -12.6 -6.0 -8.4
  Dec 06, 2023 166   @ St. Thomas L 71-75 26%     1 - 6 -1.5 +6.4 -8.3
  Dec 09, 2023 181   @ UC Davis W 81-79 30%     2 - 6 +3.5 +8.4 -5.0
  Dec 13, 2023 194   Longwood L 67-80 53%     2 - 7 -17.7 -5.1 -13.3
  Dec 22, 2023 144   Chattanooga W 85-83 OT 39%     3 - 7 +0.7 +1.0 -0.4
  Dec 29, 2023 305   Robert Morris W 78-75 73%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -7.5 -2.4 -5.2
  Dec 31, 2023 153   Wright St. W 91-83 42%     5 - 7 2 - 1 +6.0 +14.2 -8.0
  Jan 04, 2024 145   @ Oakland L 95-100 22%     5 - 8 2 - 2 -0.9 +9.6 -9.8
  Jan 06, 2024 353   @ Detroit Mercy W 84-61 77%     6 - 8 3 - 2 +11.0 -0.2 +10.0
  Jan 12, 2024 206   Cleveland St. W 88-80 55%     7 - 8 4 - 2 +2.7 +8.7 -6.1
  Jan 18, 2024 185   @ Northern Kentucky L 72-90 31%     7 - 9 4 - 3 -16.8 -0.1 -16.4
  Jan 20, 2024 153   @ Wright St. L 81-95 24%     7 - 10 4 - 4 -10.6 +0.2 -10.0
  Jan 25, 2024 353   Detroit Mercy W 87-71 89%     8 - 10 5 - 4 -1.4 +1.4 -3.4
  Jan 27, 2024 145   Oakland L 87-91 2OT 40%     8 - 11 5 - 5 -5.4 -2.4 -2.3
  Feb 01, 2024 171   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 68-65 27%     9 - 11 6 - 5 +5.2 -4.7 +9.8
  Feb 04, 2024 361   IUPUI W 87-67 93%     10 - 11 7 - 5 -0.3 +2.5 -3.4
  Feb 08, 2024 133   @ Youngstown St. L 85-97 OT 20%     10 - 12 7 - 6 -7.0 +0.1 -5.2
  Feb 10, 2024 305   @ Robert Morris L 60-71 54%     10 - 13 7 - 7 -16.1 -14.9 -1.4
  Feb 14, 2024 206   @ Cleveland St. W 71-68 34%     11 - 13 8 - 7 +3.2 -0.7 +4.0
  Feb 17, 2024 185   Northern Kentucky W 73-72 51%     12 - 13 9 - 7 -3.2 +2.1 -5.3
  Feb 23, 2024 133   Youngstown St. L 80-84 OT 36%     12 - 14 9 - 8 -4.4 -1.8 -2.3
  Feb 25, 2024 171   Purdue Fort Wayne W 96-88 47%     13 - 14 10 - 8 +4.8 +21.0 -16.3
  Feb 28, 2024 361   @ IUPUI W 75-70 84%     14 - 14 11 - 8 -9.9 -7.9 -2.2
  Mar 02, 2024 227   Green Bay W 72-70 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 58.2 58.2 4th
5th 41.8 41.8 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 41.8 58.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 58.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.6 0.0 0.9 1.3 56.1
11-9 41.8% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.1 1.1 40.6
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 1.0 2.3 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 58.2% 3.7% 15.6 0.0 1.6 2.2
Lose Out 41.8% 2.9% 15.9 0.3 2.6