Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.4#348
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#340
Pace64.6#291
Improvement+2.6#67

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#306
First Shot-5.1#312
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#191
Layup/Dunks-1.5#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#131
Freethrows-3.9#356
Improvement-1.6#273

Defense
Total Defense-8.1#360
First Shot-6.7#358
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#299
Layups/Dunks-1.9#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#357
Freethrows+0.6#147
Improvement+4.2#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 19.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 47 - 158 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 355   @ Siena L 71-73 47%     0 - 1 -14.6 +1.3 -16.0
  Nov 11, 2023 175   @ Georgetown W 68-67 8%     1 - 1 +3.1 +6.2 -2.9
  Nov 14, 2023 303   Sacred Heart L 77-84 38%     1 - 2 -17.4 -4.2 -12.9
  Nov 17, 2023 168   @ Winthrop L 51-89 8%     1 - 3 -35.6 -19.0 -18.7
  Nov 18, 2023 314   Elon L 69-83 32%     1 - 4 -22.5 -4.8 -18.8
  Nov 19, 2023 361   IUPUI W 74-61 66%     2 - 4 -4.6 +1.8 -4.9
  Nov 25, 2023 30   @ St. John's L 45-91 1%     2 - 5 -30.8 -19.0 -13.6
  Nov 29, 2023 244   Maine L 57-72 26%     2 - 6 -21.8 -11.3 -11.5
  Dec 02, 2023 267   @ Central Connecticut St. L 67-78 16%     2 - 7 -13.6 -3.3 -10.7
  Dec 08, 2023 93   @ Boston College L 64-95 3%     2 - 8 -22.2 -7.6 -14.0
  Dec 18, 2023 191   Quinnipiac L 57-77 20%     2 - 9 -24.6 -16.5 -8.7
  Dec 21, 2023 216   @ Harvard L 72-74 11%     2 - 10 -2.2 +7.0 -9.4
  Jan 03, 2024 292   @ Bucknell L 58-70 19%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -16.3 -11.5 -5.7
  Jan 06, 2024 330   @ Army L 57-70 31%     2 - 12 0 - 2 -21.4 -8.8 -14.1
  Jan 10, 2024 323   Navy L 70-80 46%     2 - 13 0 - 3 -22.4 -3.3 -19.7
  Jan 13, 2024 271   @ Lehigh W 69-66 OT 16%     3 - 13 1 - 3 +0.2 -6.7 +6.8
  Jan 17, 2024 307   Lafayette L 68-72 40%     3 - 14 1 - 4 -14.8 +2.3 -17.6
  Jan 20, 2024 343   Loyola Maryland W 86-78 58%     4 - 14 2 - 4 -7.5 +12.0 -19.0
  Jan 24, 2024 261   @ American L 65-84 15%     4 - 15 2 - 5 -21.4 -8.5 -13.3
  Jan 27, 2024 271   Lehigh L 72-78 31%     4 - 16 2 - 6 -14.2 -5.7 -8.3
  Jan 29, 2024 295   Boston University W 65-63 37%     5 - 16 3 - 6 -8.0 -4.9 -2.9
  Feb 03, 2024 343   @ Loyola Maryland W 70-67 37%     6 - 16 4 - 6 -7.0 -4.5 -2.5
  Feb 07, 2024 307   @ Lafayette L 59-75 22%     6 - 17 4 - 7 -21.4 -4.0 -19.9
  Feb 10, 2024 261   American W 58-56 29%     7 - 17 5 - 7 -5.8 -8.1 +2.7
  Feb 14, 2024 141   @ Colgate L 55-85 6%     7 - 18 5 - 8 -25.8 -15.5 -9.8
  Feb 17, 2024 330   Army L 53-59 52%     7 - 19 5 - 9 -19.9 -16.0 -4.5
  Feb 21, 2024 292   Bucknell W 73-59 36%     8 - 19 6 - 9 +4.2 +10.1 -3.2
  Feb 25, 2024 323   @ Navy L 66-76 27%     8 - 20 6 - 10 -16.9 -7.1 -10.2
  Feb 28, 2024 141   Colgate L 58-77 13%     8 - 21 6 - 11 -20.2 -7.3 -15.3
  Mar 02, 2024 295   @ Boston University L 63-72 19%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 14.6 14.6 7th
8th 44.5 4.6 49.0 8th
9th 36.4 36.4 9th
10th 10th
Total 80.8 19.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 19.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.1
6-12 80.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 80.8
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 19.2% 0.1% 16.0 0.1
Lose Out 80.8% 0.1% 16.0 0.1