Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#299
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#344
Pace69.5#174
Improvement-2.7#330

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#323
First Shot-7.3#339
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#89
Layup/Dunks-0.6#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
Freethrows-2.9#322
Improvement-3.5#359

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#225
First Shot-5.4#337
After Offensive Rebounds+3.6#10
Layups/Dunks-11.5#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#39
Freethrows+1.3#108
Improvement+0.9#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.6% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 5.0% 6.8% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 17.6% 19.8% 13.9%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.9% 11.6% 15.1%
First Four0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
First Round0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 63.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 47 - 89 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 45   @ Xavier L 63-77 4%     0 - 1 -0.5 -4.6 +4.7
  Nov 12, 2023 219   @ Towson L 62-66 22%     0 - 2 -3.4 +2.6 -6.7
  Nov 17, 2023 22   @ Wisconsin L 68-78 3%     0 - 3 +6.0 +6.0 -0.5
  Nov 24, 2023 245   Jacksonville L 65-74 49%     0 - 4 -16.2 -13.7 -1.9
  Nov 26, 2023 316   Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-72 63%    
  Nov 29, 2023 186   @ Northern Kentucky L 59-77 19%     0 - 5 -16.1 -12.7 -3.2
  Dec 02, 2023 158   Youngstown St. L 57-71 33%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -16.8 -19.9 +3.3
  Dec 06, 2023 199   @ Canisius L 66-75 20%    
  Dec 11, 2023 156   Delaware L 67-72 33%    
  Dec 20, 2023 349   @ St. Francis (PA) W 70-68 59%    
  Dec 22, 2023 121   Cornell L 74-81 25%    
  Dec 29, 2023 278   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-76 35%    
  Dec 31, 2023 287   @ Green Bay L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 04, 2024 357   IUPUI W 74-64 81%    
  Jan 10, 2024 130   Wright St. L 74-81 27%    
  Jan 12, 2024 169   Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 17, 2024 323   Detroit Mercy W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 20, 2024 357   @ IUPUI W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 28, 2024 193   @ Cleveland St. L 64-73 20%    
  Feb 01, 2024 155   @ Oakland L 66-77 16%    
  Feb 03, 2024 323   @ Detroit Mercy L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 08, 2024 287   Green Bay W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 10, 2024 278   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 14, 2024 158   @ Youngstown St. L 69-80 18%    
  Feb 17, 2024 130   @ Wright St. L 71-84 12%    
  Feb 22, 2024 155   Oakland L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 25, 2024 193   Cleveland St. L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 28, 2024 186   Northern Kentucky L 66-69 38%    
  Mar 02, 2024 169   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 68-78 18%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.0 0.9 0.1 3.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.7 4.7 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.7 4.0 0.7 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.8 6.9 4.2 0.9 0.0 16.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.6 7.4 4.0 0.9 0.0 19.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.8 5.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 17.3 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 2.1 2.2 1.7 0.4 0.1 7.6 11th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.7 5.2 9.1 12.4 14.1 14.2 12.6 10.8 7.4 5.0 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-5 64.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 34.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 6.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.2% 17.7% 17.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.7% 14.3% 14.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-7 1.6% 7.4% 7.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.5
12-8 2.8% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.6
11-9 5.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.9
10-10 7.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 7.2
9-11 10.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.6
8-12 12.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.5
7-13 14.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.1
6-14 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.1
5-15 12.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.3
4-16 9.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-17 5.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.2
2-18 2.7% 2.7
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 98.8 0.0%