Sacred Heart
Northeast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#243
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#228
Pace73.5#74
Improvement+2.2#29

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#239
First Shot-0.8#196
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#261
Layup/Dunks-0.5#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#205
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#195
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement-0.8#275

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#234
First Shot-0.3#182
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#297
Layups/Dunks-2.7#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#60
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
Freethrows+0.3#176
Improvement+3.0#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.8% 48.5% 36.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 86.5% 92.1% 78.1%
.500 or above in Conference 94.8% 96.1% 92.9%
Conference Champion 45.8% 49.6% 40.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.3% 0.7%
First Four20.1% 19.8% 20.4%
First Round32.9% 37.7% 25.6%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 5
Quad 417 - 618 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 158   @ Iona L 81-88 23%     0 - 1 -3.6 +8.0 -11.6
  Nov 14, 2023 334   @ Holy Cross W 84-77 65%     1 - 1 -1.3 +2.0 -3.6
  Nov 17, 2023 280   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 80-85 46%     1 - 2 -8.3 -8.2 +0.7
  Nov 18, 2023 308   Loyola Maryland W 66-51 64%     2 - 2 +7.0 -9.8 +16.6
  Nov 21, 2023 259   Binghamton W 89-75 65%     3 - 2 +5.7 +15.4 -9.1
  Nov 26, 2023 126   @ Saint Joseph's L 55-64 17%     3 - 3 -3.2 -14.6 +11.8
  Nov 30, 2023 239   New Hampshire W 77-74 60%    
  Dec 02, 2023 307   Boston University W 72-65 73%    
  Dec 06, 2023 57   @ St. John's L 74-90 7%    
  Dec 09, 2023 302   Fairfield W 78-71 73%    
  Dec 16, 2023 47   @ Providence L 63-80 5%    
  Dec 19, 2023 268   @ Albany L 76-78 44%    
  Dec 21, 2023 276   Dartmouth W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 04, 2024 359   St. Francis (PA) W 80-66 89%    
  Jan 06, 2024 296   @ Merrimack W 68-67 50%    
  Jan 13, 2024 347   LIU Brooklyn W 84-72 85%    
  Jan 15, 2024 357   @ Le Moyne W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 21, 2024 295   Wagner W 67-61 70%    
  Jan 25, 2024 359   @ St. Francis (PA) W 77-69 76%    
  Jan 27, 2024 317   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 01, 2024 355   Stonehill W 82-69 88%    
  Feb 03, 2024 357   Le Moyne W 81-67 89%    
  Feb 08, 2024 335   @ Central Connecticut St. W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 10, 2024 347   @ LIU Brooklyn W 81-75 68%    
  Feb 17, 2024 295   @ Wagner L 64-65 49%    
  Feb 22, 2024 317   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-74 73%    
  Feb 24, 2024 335   Central Connecticut St. W 75-65 81%    
  Feb 29, 2024 355   @ Stonehill W 79-72 73%    
  Mar 02, 2024 296   Merrimack W 71-65 70%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 3.1 8.3 12.9 12.0 6.9 2.1 45.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 4.3 8.1 7.5 3.2 0.5 23.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 3.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 2.1 0.9 0.1 4.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.9 5.6 8.2 12.0 14.8 16.6 16.1 12.5 6.9 2.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 2.1    2.1
15-1 100.0% 6.9    6.9 0.1
14-2 96.1% 12.0    10.6 1.4 0.0
13-3 80.2% 12.9    9.2 3.5 0.2
12-4 50.2% 8.3    3.9 3.6 0.8 0.1
11-5 20.7% 3.1    0.7 1.4 0.8 0.2
10-6 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 45.8% 45.8 33.5 10.1 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 2.1% 88.2% 88.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3
15-1 6.9% 80.0% 80.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 1.8 1.4
14-2 12.5% 69.5% 69.5% 15.5 0.1 0.6 3.0 5.0 3.8
13-3 16.1% 58.5% 58.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.7 7.5 6.7
12-4 16.6% 46.3% 46.3% 15.9 0.0 0.8 6.9 8.9
11-5 14.8% 36.4% 36.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.2 9.4
10-6 12.0% 24.5% 24.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.8 9.1
9-7 8.2% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 0.0 1.3 6.8
8-8 5.6% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.6 5.0
7-9 2.9% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.2 2.7
6-10 1.4% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.1 1.3
5-11 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-12 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 43.8% 43.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.6 8.9 31.6 56.2 0.0%