Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#87
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#75
Pace74.1#60
Improvement-0.9#251

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#89
First Shot+5.8#40
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#307
Layup/Dunks+4.7#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#187
Freethrows+1.8#78
Improvement-0.5#227

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#95
First Shot+5.9#29
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#339
Layups/Dunks-1.8#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#143
Freethrows+2.5#49
Improvement-0.4#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 12.3% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.1% 9.6% 4.3%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 10.5
.500 or above 54.0% 60.6% 37.3%
.500 or above in Conference 33.3% 35.9% 26.9%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 6.3% 10.3%
First Four3.2% 3.6% 2.0%
First Round8.7% 10.2% 4.9%
Second Round3.7% 4.3% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.2% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 71.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 23 - 45 - 13
Quad 36 - 211 - 15
Quad 44 - 015 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 235   New Hampshire W 83-72 88%     1 - 0 +4.5 -1.1 +4.4
  Nov 08, 2023 199   Canisius W 89-77 84%     2 - 0 +7.3 +14.1 -6.7
  Nov 14, 2023 127   Colgate W 79-75 73%     3 - 0 +3.5 +0.8 +2.4
  Nov 20, 2023 8   Tennessee L 56-73 17%     3 - 1 -0.7 -10.8 +11.5
  Nov 21, 2023 10   Gonzaga L 57-76 17%     3 - 2 -2.8 -10.8 +8.3
  Nov 28, 2023 94   LSU W 80-57 64%     4 - 2 +25.2 +7.1 +17.6
  Dec 02, 2023 30   @ Virginia L 62-84 19%     4 - 3 0 - 1 -6.8 +4.4 -12.7
  Dec 05, 2023 121   Cornell W 86-80 72%    
  Dec 09, 2023 145   @ Georgetown W 80-78 57%    
  Dec 17, 2023 49   Oregon L 75-79 35%    
  Dec 21, 2023 293   Niagara W 80-64 93%    
  Dec 30, 2023 50   Pittsburgh L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 02, 2024 12   @ Duke L 67-80 12%    
  Jan 10, 2024 97   Boston College W 76-72 65%    
  Jan 13, 2024 14   @ North Carolina L 73-86 13%    
  Jan 16, 2024 50   @ Pittsburgh L 73-80 28%    
  Jan 20, 2024 39   Miami (FL) L 78-80 41%    
  Jan 23, 2024 71   Florida St. W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 27, 2024 67   North Carolina St. W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 30, 2024 97   @ Boston College L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 03, 2024 70   @ Wake Forest L 76-81 33%    
  Feb 07, 2024 157   Louisville W 80-71 78%    
  Feb 10, 2024 34   Clemson L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 13, 2024 14   North Carolina L 76-83 28%    
  Feb 17, 2024 104   @ Georgia Tech L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 20, 2024 67   @ North Carolina St. L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 24, 2024 153   Notre Dame W 73-64 78%    
  Feb 27, 2024 58   Virginia Tech W 76-75 51%    
  Mar 02, 2024 157   @ Louisville W 77-74 59%    
  Mar 05, 2024 34   @ Clemson L 71-80 22%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 0.7 0.1 4.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.3 1.4 0.1 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.0 0.3 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.5 2.7 4.9 1.8 0.1 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.3 2.2 5.3 3.1 0.3 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.6 3.3 0.6 10.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5 4.1 1.0 11.2 12th
13th 0.2 1.3 3.7 3.6 1.2 0.1 10.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.0 0.8 0.1 6.8 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.1 15th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.8 5.2 7.6 10.8 12.8 13.0 13.1 11.0 9.0 6.1 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 86.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 55.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
14-6 6.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 13.5% 86.5% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.4% 100.0% 1.0% 99.0% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.0% 92.4% 10.8% 81.6% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 91.5%
14-6 2.0% 74.7% 8.6% 66.1% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.5 72.3%
13-7 3.7% 57.4% 4.9% 52.5% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.6 55.2%
12-8 6.1% 35.1% 6.0% 29.1% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.0 4.0 31.0%
11-9 9.0% 16.9% 3.9% 13.0% 10.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.5 13.6%
10-10 11.0% 6.3% 3.3% 3.0% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.3 3.1%
9-11 13.1% 2.5% 2.1% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 12.7 0.4%
8-12 13.0% 2.3% 2.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 12.7
7-13 12.8% 1.7% 1.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5
6-14 10.8% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 10.7
5-15 7.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.5
4-16 5.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.2
3-17 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-18 1.1% 1.1
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.5% 2.6% 7.9% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.3 2.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 89.5 8.1%