Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#270
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#306
Pace80.4#7
Improvement+8.0#2

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#199
First Shot+1.3#148
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#297
Layup/Dunks-0.7#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#29
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#111
Freethrows-3.4#353
Improvement+2.2#62

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#324
First Shot-5.4#339
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#120
Layups/Dunks-5.4#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
Freethrows-0.2#208
Improvement+5.8#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.4% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.1% 2.4% 1.4%
First Round1.1% 1.2% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 66.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 410 - 1011 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 174   @ Louisville L 93-94 23%     0 - 1 +1.1 +9.4 -8.2
  Nov 11, 2023 224   Marist L 59-65 52%     0 - 2 -11.9 -12.2 +0.3
  Nov 17, 2023 303   Sacred Heart W 85-80 68%     1 - 2 -5.4 -6.9 +0.8
  Nov 19, 2023 343   Loyola Maryland W 94-79 83%     2 - 2 -0.5 +4.4 -6.6
  Nov 21, 2023 42   @ Maryland L 68-92 5%     2 - 3 -10.4 -4.6 -2.0
  Nov 25, 2023 318   @ William & Mary L 81-96 55%     2 - 4 -21.8 +2.6 -24.0
  Nov 27, 2023 333   @ Hampton W 80-76 62%     3 - 4 -4.7 -10.3 +4.9
  Nov 30, 2023 359   @ Coppin St. L 70-89 78%     3 - 5 -32.5 -5.5 -26.8
  Dec 02, 2023 271   Lehigh W 92-87 60%     4 - 5 -3.2 +6.7 -10.5
  Dec 06, 2023 336   @ Morgan St. L 80-92 63%     4 - 6 -21.0 -7.5 -12.0
  Dec 09, 2023 154   Towson L 73-89 37%     4 - 7 -18.0 +3.3 -21.9
  Dec 12, 2023 209   @ St. Peter's L 60-66 30%     4 - 8 -6.0 -8.0 +2.0
  Dec 20, 2023 45   @ Iowa L 81-103 5%     4 - 9 -8.6 +2.5 -9.0
  Dec 29, 2023 261   American L 85-87 59%     4 - 10 -9.8 +5.0 -14.7
  Jan 06, 2024 190   Bryant L 67-81 46%     4 - 11 0 - 1 -18.5 -9.7 -7.8
  Jan 11, 2024 106   @ Vermont L 72-77 12%     4 - 12 0 - 2 +2.2 +7.2 -5.2
  Jan 13, 2024 149   @ Umass Lowell L 82-86 19%     4 - 13 0 - 3 -0.2 +6.2 -6.2
  Jan 18, 2024 244   Maine W 70-65 55%     5 - 13 1 - 3 -1.8 +2.7 -4.2
  Jan 20, 2024 275   New Hampshire L 58-64 61%     5 - 14 1 - 4 -14.4 -20.9 +6.9
  Jan 27, 2024 334   NJIT L 74-75 80%     5 - 15 1 - 5 -15.3 -3.0 -12.3
  Feb 01, 2024 190   @ Bryant L 95-99 27%     5 - 16 1 - 6 -3.1 +9.9 -12.2
  Feb 03, 2024 262   @ Albany W 114-102 38%     6 - 16 2 - 6 +9.6 +16.6 -9.4
  Feb 08, 2024 149   Umass Lowell L 80-93 36%     6 - 17 2 - 7 -14.7 -1.8 -11.6
  Feb 10, 2024 106   Vermont L 70-72 24%     6 - 18 2 - 8 -0.2 +3.2 -3.5
  Feb 15, 2024 290   @ Binghamton W 89-78 45%     7 - 18 3 - 8 +6.8 +14.6 -7.6
  Feb 17, 2024 262   Albany W 80-75 59%     8 - 18 4 - 8 -2.8 -2.9 -0.2
  Feb 22, 2024 244   @ Maine L 56-62 34%     8 - 19 4 - 9 -7.4 -13.9 +6.6
  Feb 24, 2024 275   @ New Hampshire W 86-68 40%     9 - 19 5 - 9 +15.0 +10.9 +3.6
  Feb 29, 2024 334   @ NJIT W 79-60 63%     10 - 19 6 - 9 +10.2 +0.6 +9.1
  Mar 05, 2024 290   Binghamton W 81-77 66%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 28.0 28.0 4th
5th 9.1 38.4 47.5 5th
6th 17.4 17.4 6th
7th 7.1 7.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 33.6 66.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 66.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 1.6 64.8
6-10 33.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.5 33.1
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 16.0 2.1 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 66.4% 2.4% 16.0 2.4
Lose Out 33.6% 1.4% 16.0 1.4