Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#173
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#128
Pace67.9#220
Improvement-0.2#202

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#153
First Shot-1.4#216
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#65
Layup/Dunks+7.6#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#314
Freethrows-1.8#279
Improvement+0.6#133

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#212
First Shot-0.9#202
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#219
Layups/Dunks+1.2#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#257
Freethrows+2.5#51
Improvement-0.8#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.8% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 15.0
.500 or above 41.8% 48.1% 26.3%
.500 or above in Conference 30.5% 33.4% 23.2%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.7% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 17.0% 15.2% 21.3%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round1.5% 1.7% 1.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 71.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 35 - 67 - 14
Quad 47 - 214 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 314   Central Connecticut St. W 81-70 85%     1 - 0 -0.4 +2.6 -3.0
  Nov 09, 2023 308   Fairfield W 93-80 84%     2 - 0 +1.9 +5.0 -4.6
  Nov 14, 2023 291   Wagner W 69-53 82%     3 - 0 +5.9 +3.1 +4.9
  Nov 18, 2023 52   Northwestern L 61-72 17%     3 - 1 -1.5 +0.6 -3.7
  Nov 19, 2023 62   Washington St. L 57-78 20%     3 - 2 -12.8 -8.0 -6.4
  Nov 26, 2023 91   Yale W 76-72 39%     4 - 2 +6.5 +14.6 -7.5
  Dec 02, 2023 44   @ Providence L 69-84 10%     4 - 3 -1.5 +3.8 -5.2
  Dec 06, 2023 232   Brown W 75-69 71%    
  Dec 10, 2023 107   @ College of Charleston L 72-80 24%    
  Dec 16, 2023 156   Delaware L 71-72 47%    
  Dec 21, 2023 235   New Hampshire W 78-72 71%    
  Dec 30, 2023 210   Northeastern W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 03, 2024 96   Saint Joseph's L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 09, 2024 123   @ Davidson L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 13, 2024 133   Massachusetts W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 17, 2024 99   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 20, 2024 60   @ Dayton L 61-73 14%    
  Jan 24, 2024 170   Fordham W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 27, 2024 98   @ George Mason L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 31, 2024 200   La Salle W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 03, 2024 85   Duquesne L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 06, 2024 162   @ George Washington L 76-80 37%    
  Feb 11, 2024 133   @ Massachusetts L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 18, 2024 119   Loyola Chicago L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 21, 2024 90   Richmond L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 25, 2024 200   @ La Salle L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 28, 2024 93   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-73 21%    
  Mar 02, 2024 188   Saint Louis W 78-74 63%    
  Mar 06, 2024 98   George Mason L 69-71 41%    
  Mar 09, 2024 170   @ Fordham L 68-71 39%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.0 0.9 0.1 3.9 4th
5th 0.4 2.4 1.6 0.1 4.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.9 1.3 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.3 3.2 3.4 0.2 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 4.9 1.3 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.4 3.0 0.1 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.5 4.3 0.6 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.3 2.4 4.9 1.9 0.1 9.6 12th
13th 0.3 1.9 4.9 2.8 0.4 10.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.6 14th
15th 0.1 1.3 2.2 3.5 2.3 0.7 0.1 10.2 15th
Total 0.1 1.3 2.7 5.8 8.7 12.0 12.7 13.4 12.9 11.0 7.9 5.3 3.4 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 87.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 63.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 22.7% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.4% 15.5% 12.8% 2.7% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.1%
14-4 0.8% 4.2% 4.2% 12.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.6% 8.0% 8.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5
12-6 3.4% 4.7% 4.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.2
11-7 5.3% 4.7% 4.7% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.1
10-8 7.9% 3.2% 3.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 7.6
9-9 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9
8-10 12.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.7
7-11 13.4% 1.5% 1.5% 15.7 0.1 0.1 13.2
6-12 12.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.6
5-13 12.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.9
4-14 8.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.7
3-15 5.8% 5.8
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 98.4 0.0%