Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#219
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#173
Pace64.4#309
Improvement+2.3#53

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#278
First Shot-6.0#334
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#66
Layup/Dunks-3.7#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#266
Freethrows-2.1#302
Improvement+2.6#26

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#149
First Shot-1.9#239
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#36
Layups/Dunks+0.0#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#117
Freethrows-5.7#363
Improvement-0.3#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 11.0% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.1 14.6
.500 or above 32.1% 67.0% 32.0%
.500 or above in Conference 41.2% 62.6% 41.1%
Conference Champion 2.7% 12.1% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 4.4% 12.1%
First Four0.6% 0.0% 0.6%
First Round4.3% 11.0% 4.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 64 - 13
Quad 410 - 413 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 234 Nebraska Omaha W 73-71 64%     1 - 0 -5.1 -3.6 -1.4
  Fri, Nov 14 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 22%     1 - 1 -5.6 -0.8 -5.2
  Tue, Nov 18 240 @Texas St. L 49-63 42%     1 - 2 -15.4 -17.6 +0.6
  Mon, Nov 24 286 Texas San Antonio W 61-50 63%     2 - 2 +4.1 -5.2 +10.8
  Tue, Nov 25 121 William & Mary L 58-92 27%     2 - 3 -31.0 -16.7 -12.2
  Tue, Dec 2 292 @Pepperdine W 71-63 53%     3 - 3 +3.8 +7.8 -3.0
  Sat, Dec 6 133 New Mexico St. W 77-69 41%     4 - 3 +6.7 +12.0 -4.4
  Tue, Dec 16 3 @Arizona L 57-86 0.3%   
  Fri, Dec 19 9 @BYU L 57-83 1%    
  Mon, Dec 22 318 @Texas Southern W 71-68 60%    
  Thu, Jan 1 264 Utah Tech W 70-65 68%    
  Sat, Jan 3 84 Utah Valley L 64-71 25%    
  Thu, Jan 8 199 @Tarleton St. L 67-71 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 176 @Texas Arlington L 63-68 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 126 California Baptist L 65-68 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 316 @Southern Utah W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 199 @Tarleton St. L 67-71 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 264 Utah Tech W 70-65 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 316 Southern Utah W 75-66 78%    
  Thu, Feb 5 84 @Utah Valley L 61-74 11%    
  Sat, Feb 7 126 @California Baptist L 62-71 22%    
  Thu, Feb 12 176 Texas Arlington W 66-65 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 199 Tarleton St. W 70-68 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 316 Southern Utah W 75-66 78%    
  Thu, Feb 26 264 @Utah Tech L 67-68 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 84 @Utah Valley L 61-74 12%    
  Thu, Mar 5 126 @California Baptist L 62-71 22%    
  Sat, Mar 7 176 Texas Arlington W 66-65 52%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.9 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.5 6.5 4.1 1.4 0.2 17.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 7.8 7.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 22.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 6.0 8.3 5.0 1.4 0.1 22.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.0 5.6 5.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 17.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.3 7th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.1 5.4 8.7 11.8 14.0 14.3 13.1 10.9 7.5 5.0 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.8% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 86.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
14-4 60.1% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 29.1% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
12-6 7.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 47.8% 47.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 24.8% 24.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.3% 22.2% 22.2% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.6% 15.6% 15.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.2
12-6 5.0% 13.7% 13.7% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.3
11-7 7.5% 10.6% 10.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 6.7
10-8 10.9% 7.2% 7.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 10.1
9-9 13.1% 4.2% 4.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 12.6
8-10 14.3% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.1 0.3 13.9
7-11 14.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.7
6-12 11.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.7
5-13 8.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.6
4-14 5.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-16 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.5 1.0 95.4 0.0%