Georgetown
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +6.4 #89
Expected Predictive Rating +6.7 #82
Pace 66.4 #248
Improvement +2.0 #93

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense #85 C B B+ B C-
Defense #105 B- C C C B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #154 1.16 #167 +0.7 #151
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #120 0.75 #183 +1.0 #124
Three Pointers 37% #260 0.98 #235 -2.6 #274
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #214 -1.0 #210
Freethrows 0.34 #76 76% #76 0.26 #55
Second Chance 33.5% #98 1.15 #60 0.39 #58
Turnovers 13.2% #24
Total Offense +3.9 #85

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #318 0.99 #20 +6.0 #22
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #46 0.78 #212 -2.2 #333
Three Pointers 41% #175 1.03 #211 -0.5 #199
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #72 +3.3 #71
Freethrows 0.29 #137 74% #248 0.21 #152
Second Chance 29.8% #144 1.07 #219 0.32 #179
Turnovers 16.7% #164
Total Defense +2.5 #105

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #227 -2.1% #31
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.6% #203 -4.4% #96
Possession Length 16.8 #122 19.1 #357
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 #18 0.16 #148
Improvement +1.5 #107 +0.5 #158

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 3.2% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Average Seed 10.9 10.7 11.4
.500 or above 28.8% 49.8% 20.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.5% 8.7% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 28.0% 12.7% 34.5%
First Four0.7% 1.8% 0.3%
First Round1.0% 2.2% 0.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 29.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 10
Quad 25 - 67 - 16
Quad 32 - 19 - 17
Quad 46 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 356 Morgan St. W 87 - 70 98% +10  1 - 0 -0 -1 F C A+ -1 C C- B
 Fri, Nov 7 106 @Maryland W 70 - 60 46% +10  2 - 0 +17 +2 F C+ C+ +15 A+ C+ B
 Wed, Nov 12 362 Binghamton W 83 - 70 98% +8  3 - 0 -6 +5 F+ B- A+ -11 C- C+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 32 Clemson W 79 - 74 32% +1  4 - 0 +16 +14 B+ C+ A+ +2 A- C+ C
 Sat, Nov 22 324 Wagner W 92 - 75 95% +11  5 - 0 +4 +5 C B- C+ -2 C B+ B+
 Thu, Nov 27 85 Dayton L 79 - 84 OT 49% -7  5 - 1 +2 +6 B+ D A+ -4 C+ C C+
 Fri, Nov 28 40 Miami (FL) L 65 - 78 27% -14  5 - 2 -0 +3 F A+ B+ -4 F B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 258 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90 - 81 91% +11  6 - 2 +1 +16 A- B+ A- -15 C- F F
 Sun, Dec 7 28 @North Carolina L 61 - 81 14% -7  6 - 3 -2 -6 F C A+ +5 C+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 226 St. Peter's W 76 - 68 OT 89% +7  7 - 3 +1 +1 C B- D+ -0 C+ A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 93 @Marquette W 78 - 69 41% +2  8 - 3 1 - 0 +18 +17 C A+ A+ +2 A F D+
 Sat, Dec 20 83 Xavier L 77 - 80 60% +2  8 - 4 1 - 1 +1 +1 C- D+ A -0 C+ B- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. W 97 - 67 99% +22  9 - 4 +7 +10 B- D+ A+ -4 D+ D+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 18 St. John's L 83 - 95 22% -6  9 - 5 1 - 2 +2 +17 A+ B- A- -15 D F B
 Tue, Jan 6 95 @DePaul L 50 - 56 42% -2  9 - 6 1 - 3 +3 -14 F A+ C- +16 A+ B A+
 Sat, Jan 10 53 Seton Hall L 67 - 76 47% +2  9 - 7 1 - 4 -2 +3 D- B- A+ -4 A- D+ C
 Tue, Jan 13 55 @Creighton L 83 - 86 OT 26% +1  9 - 8 1 - 5 +10 +22 A+ A+ B -12 F C+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 10 Connecticut L 62 - 64 16% -4  9 - 9 1 - 6 +15 +10 B A+ D- +5 A+ B- F
 Wed, Jan 21 36 @Villanova L 51 - 66 16% -8  9 - 10 1 - 7 +2 -8 D- D- F +9 A+ B+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 66 @Providence W 81 - 78 31% -9  10 - 10 2 - 7 +14 +16 A+ C A -1 B B D
 Wed, Jan 28 95 DePaul W 70 - 61 65% +10  11 - 10 3 - 7 +12 +14 A+ F+ B -0 A- D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 60 @Butler L 74 - 80 30%
 Wed, Feb 4 55 Creighton L 74 - 75 48%
 Sat, Feb 7 36 Villanova L 68 - 72 34%
 Sat, Feb 14 10 @Connecticut L 62 - 79 6%
 Wed, Feb 18 60 Butler W 78 - 77 51%
 Sat, Feb 21 53 @Seton Hall L 64 - 71 26%
 Tue, Feb 24 93 Marquette W 77 - 73 64%
 Sat, Feb 28 83 @Xavier L 75 - 78 37%
 Tue, Mar 3 18 @St. John's L 70 - 84 9%
 Sat, Mar 7 66 Providence W 83 - 82 53%
Totals 15 - 16 7 - 13 +6 +4 C B B+ +2 B- C C





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.7 5.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 6.5 7.4 0.9 0.0 15.2 7th
8th 0.1 4.5 10.5 2.1 0.0 17.2 8th
9th 0.0 2.5 11.6 4.5 0.2 18.9 9th
10th 1.6 8.9 6.9 0.4 17.8 10th
11th 1.6 5.8 5.2 0.8 0.0 13.4 11th
Total 1.6 7.4 16.7 24.2 22.7 16.0 7.9 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.7% 47.9% 0.7% 47.1% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 47.5%
10-10 2.7% 15.2% 2.0% 13.2% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.3 13.4%
9-11 7.9% 4.1% 1.1% 3.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 7.6 3.0%
8-12 16.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.9 0.2%
7-13 22.7% 0.4% 0.4% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 22.6
6-14 24.2% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.1
5-15 16.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 16.7
4-16 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.4
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.4% 0.4% 1.0% 10.9 98.6 1.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%