Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#56
Expected Predictive Rating+17.0#20
Pace64.8#303
Improvement+3.9#15

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#111
First Shot+1.7#128
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#119
Layup/Dunks+4.0#55
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#308
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement+1.6#65

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#26
First Shot+6.6#24
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#174
Layups/Dunks+5.8#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#194
Freethrows+0.0#180
Improvement+2.3#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 5.4% 8.6% 2.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.4% 59.3% 37.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.7% 57.5% 36.4%
Average Seed 8.9 8.6 9.2
.500 or above 93.9% 97.7% 90.9%
.500 or above in Conference 54.3% 68.2% 43.2%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.7% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 2.0% 7.2%
First Four10.6% 11.0% 10.2%
First Round41.2% 52.8% 31.9%
Second Round17.2% 22.7% 12.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.4% 4.5% 2.5%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.3% 0.7%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 8
Quad 25 - 49 - 11
Quad 35 - 114 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 293 St. Peter's W 77-50 96%     1 - 0 +16.8 +13.2 +7.9
  Fri, Nov 7 301 Wagner W 68-61 96%     2 - 0 -3.8 -3.1 -0.1
  Mon, Nov 10 294 Fairfield W 82-59 96%     3 - 0 +12.6 +5.8 +7.3
  Thu, Nov 13 220 Monmouth W 70-58 93%     4 - 0 +5.4 -3.0 +9.0
  Tue, Nov 18 337 New Haven W 68-45 97%     5 - 0 +9.2 -0.3 +12.6
  Mon, Nov 24 29 North Carolina St. W 85-74 33%     6 - 0 +25.1 +12.8 +11.7
  Tue, Nov 25 37 USC L 81-83 39%     6 - 1 +10.4 +14.4 -4.0
  Wed, Nov 26 155 Washington St. W 75-61 81%     7 - 1 +14.2 +5.4 +9.6
  Wed, Dec 3 242 Central Connecticut St. W 77-61 94%     8 - 1 +8.4 +10.1 +0.0
  Sat, Dec 6 67 @Kansas St. W 78-67 43%     9 - 1 +22.3 +1.8 +19.4
  Sat, Dec 13 132 Rutgers W 81-59 84%     10 - 1 +20.7 +11.0 +10.5
  Fri, Dec 19 69 @Providence L 76-77 44%    
  Tue, Dec 23 36 Villanova W 67-66 50%    
  Tue, Dec 30 88 @Marquette W 71-70 52%    
  Sun, Jan 4 59 Creighton W 70-67 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 101 @Georgetown W 71-69 56%    
  Tue, Jan 13 6 Connecticut L 62-70 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 54 Butler W 75-72 59%    
  Tue, Jan 20 16 @St. John's L 67-78 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 113 @DePaul W 69-66 61%    
  Wed, Jan 28 76 Xavier W 72-67 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 88 Marquette W 74-67 73%    
  Wed, Feb 4 36 @Villanova L 63-69 29%    
  Sat, Feb 7 59 @Creighton L 67-70 40%    
  Wed, Feb 11 69 Providence W 79-74 66%    
  Sun, Feb 15 54 @Butler L 72-75 38%    
  Wed, Feb 18 113 DePaul W 72-63 80%    
  Sat, Feb 21 101 Georgetown W 74-66 75%    
  Sat, Feb 28 6 @Connecticut L 59-73 10%    
  Tue, Mar 3 76 @Xavier L 69-70 45%    
  Fri, Mar 6 16 St. John's L 70-75 33%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 4.0 4.4 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.7 5.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 15.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.2 4.5 1.2 0.1 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.1 4.2 0.9 0.1 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.0 3.5 0.7 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.2 0.7 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.6 6.1 8.9 11.3 13.1 13.8 12.6 10.6 7.9 4.8 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 95.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 67.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 36.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 15.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 22.5% 77.5% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 19.0% 81.0% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.2% 99.5% 15.4% 84.1% 5.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.4%
15-5 2.8% 99.1% 11.7% 87.4% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
14-6 4.8% 98.3% 9.6% 88.7% 7.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.1%
13-7 7.9% 94.4% 6.3% 88.1% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.4 94.1%
12-8 10.6% 86.3% 4.3% 82.0% 9.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.9 2.4 0.8 0.0 1.5 85.7%
11-9 12.6% 72.3% 3.1% 69.2% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 3.5 2.0 0.0 3.5 71.4%
10-10 13.8% 54.5% 1.9% 52.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.0 3.0 0.0 6.3 53.7%
9-11 13.1% 27.9% 1.2% 26.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.4 0.1 9.4 27.0%
8-12 11.3% 8.9% 1.2% 7.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 10.3 7.8%
7-13 8.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.8 0.8%
6-14 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 6.0
5-15 3.6% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 3.6
4-16 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 1.8
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 47.4% 3.1% 44.3% 8.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.1 4.7 7.2 9.4 11.2 9.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 52.6 45.7%