Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +10.2 #53
Expected Predictive Rating +12.2 #47
Pace 65.3 #274
Improvement -0.3 #199

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #145 C- B B- B- C+
Defense #11 A- B A+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #17 1.13 #212 +3.7 #64
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #141 0.68 #300 -0.2 #184
Three Pointers 32% #342 0.94 #274 -6.0 #340
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #250 -2.6 #250
Freethrows 0.34 #59 72% #189 0.25 #81
Second Chance 36.7% #32 1.05 #179 0.38 #60
Turnovers 15.0% #92
Total Offense +0.6 #145

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #157 0.95 #9 +3.6 #66
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #239 0.66 #45 +1.9 #49
Three Pointers 42% #151 0.92 #68 +1.5 #126
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #22 +7.0 #15
Freethrows 0.36 #328 70% #78 0.25 #311
Second Chance 28.9% #110 0.89 #26 0.26 #44
Turnovers 22.5% #4
Total Defense +9.7 #11

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #148 0.7% #227
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.7% #276 -13.7% #10
Possession Length 15.7 #41 18.6 #336
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #119 0.10 #15
Improvement -1.7 #274 +1.4 #95

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 42.8% 46.7% 30.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.0% 44.8% 29.0%
Average Seed 9.8 9.8 10.1
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.5%
.500 or above in Conference 61.8% 69.5% 37.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.1% 2.8%
First Four15.2% 15.7% 13.7%
First Round34.4% 37.9% 23.2%
Second Round12.3% 13.9% 7.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 2.2% 1.2%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Home) - 75.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 33 - 8
Quad 26 - 39 - 11
Quad 36 - 115 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 226 St. Peter's W 77 - 50 93% +16  1 - 0 +20 +16 C A+ A+ +9 A+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 324 Wagner W 68 - 61 97% +3  2 - 0 -6 -7 F+ C+ D- +2 D- C- A+
 Mon, Nov 10 272 Fairfield W 82 - 59 95% +10  3 - 0 +14 +5 F A A +10 B- A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 186 Monmouth W 70 - 58 91% +2  4 - 0 +7 +0 D- D A+ +7 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 333 New Haven W 68 - 45 98% +14  5 - 0 +9 -0 C D+ C +12 A B- B
 Mon, Nov 24 24 North Carolina St. W 85 - 74 29% +8  6 - 0 +27 +14 B A+ B +12 A- A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 44 USC L 81 - 83 44% +2  6 - 1 +10 +16 A+ F+ A -6 C- D+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 131 Washington St. W 75 - 61 79% +11  7 - 1 +16 +5 B- A+ F +11 A+ B+ A
 Wed, Dec 3 296 Central Connecticut St. W 77 - 61 96% +9  8 - 1 +5 +5 B F C +2 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 87 @Kansas St. W 78 - 67 53% +8  9 - 1 +21 +2 D- B+ B +17 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 119 Rutgers W 81 - 59 84% +11  10 - 1 +22 +11 A A+ F +12 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 66 @Providence W 72 - 67 45% +3  11 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +1 C C+ D- +16 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 23 36 Villanova L 56 - 64 47% -8  11 - 2 1 - 1 +3 -6 F D A+ +8 D+ C+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 93 @Marquette W 79 - 73 56% -2  12 - 2 2 - 1 +15 +9 F A+ B- +5 A+ C- D
 Sun, Jan 4 55 Creighton W 56 - 54 62% -5  13 - 2 3 - 1 +9 -10 F F B+ +19 A+ B B+
 Sat, Jan 10 89 @Georgetown W 76 - 67 53% -2  14 - 2 4 - 1 +18 +7 D- B+ B- +11 A+ B A-
 Tue, Jan 13 10 Connecticut L 64 - 69 26% -7  14 - 3 4 - 2 +12 +6 C A+ D +6 B+ D A+
 Sat, Jan 17 60 Butler L 66 - 77 66% -6  14 - 4 4 - 3 -5 -3 F B D -3 C+ A+ D
 Tue, Jan 20 18 @St. John's L 60 - 65 17% +7  14 - 5 4 - 4 +15 +2 C B- C +13 A+ A- A+
 Sat, Jan 24 95 @DePaul L 60 - 67 56% -7  14 - 6 4 - 5 +2 -3 D- C+ B+ +5 C+ B+ A
 Wed, Jan 28 83 Xavier W 86 - 68 73% -2  15 - 6 5 - 5 +22 +12 C- B+ A- +9 B D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 93 Marquette W 73 - 65 76%
 Wed, Feb 4 36 @Villanova L 61 - 68 26%
 Sat, Feb 7 55 @Creighton L 68 - 71 40%
 Wed, Feb 11 66 Providence W 79 - 74 66%
 Sun, Feb 15 60 @Butler L 70 - 72 43%
 Wed, Feb 18 95 DePaul W 69 - 61 76%
 Sat, Feb 21 89 Georgetown W 71 - 64 74%
 Sat, Feb 28 10 @Connecticut L 58 - 71 12%
 Tue, Mar 3 83 @Xavier W 71 - 70 51%
 Fri, Mar 6 18 St. John's L 69 - 73 34%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 10 +10 +1 C- B B- +10 A- B A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.3 4.2 2.8 0.8 0.1 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 9.2 12.8 6.7 1.5 0.1 32.0 4th
5th 1.2 9.8 12.8 4.8 0.6 0.0 29.3 5th
6th 0.2 5.0 8.3 2.3 0.1 0.0 16.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 4.4 1.1 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 0.9 0.0 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.1 11th
Total 0.1 1.0 4.5 11.6 21.0 24.6 20.0 11.5 4.5 1.1 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.1% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.1% 98.2% 13.8% 84.3% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.9%
13-7 4.5% 93.9% 7.7% 86.1% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.3 93.3%
12-8 11.5% 80.8% 5.5% 75.3% 9.4 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.1 3.3 1.2 0.0 2.2 79.6%
11-9 20.0% 62.7% 4.0% 58.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 5.2 4.2 0.0 7.5 61.2%
10-10 24.6% 43.3% 2.9% 40.4% 10.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.8 5.5 0.0 14.0 41.6%
9-11 21.0% 19.9% 1.6% 18.3% 10.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.1 0.1 16.8 18.6%
8-12 11.6% 6.5% 1.1% 5.4% 11.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 10.9 5.4%
7-13 4.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 4.4 0.2%
6-14 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 1.0
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 42.8% 3.1% 39.7% 9.8 57.2 41.0%