DePaul
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.6 #95
Expected Predictive Rating +6.4 #84
Pace 68.0 #210
Improvement +4.8 #17

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #140 C+ C C+ C+ C-
Defense #60 B- B- B C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #244 1.22 #112 -0.3 #190
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #144 0.81 #107 +1.2 #110
Three Pointers 42% #167 1.02 #189 +0.3 #163
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #140 +1.2 #139
Freethrows 0.32 #119 71% #231 0.23 #137
Second Chance 28.7% #237 1.15 #57 0.33 #147
Turnovers 15.7% #134
Total Offense +0.8 #140

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #202 1.02 #32 +3.0 #82
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #38 0.73 #125 -1.9 #321
Three Pointers 35% #326 1.10 #291 +1.3 #130
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #101 +2.4 #100
Freethrows 0.31 #215 71% #126 0.22 #203
Second Chance 30.2% #161 0.89 #27 0.27 #72
Turnovers 18.8% #52
Total Defense +4.8 #60

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #238 -1.5% #61
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.1% #128 -3.3% #121
Possession Length 18.1 #260 17.7 #235
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #117 0.12 #28
Improvement +3.6 #26 +1.2 #112

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.7% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 10.7 10.5 11.1
.500 or above 47.5% 67.2% 37.2%
.500 or above in Conference 11.0% 20.7% 5.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.4% 4.7% 19.5%
First Four0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
First Round0.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 34.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 9
Quad 25 - 66 - 15
Quad 34 - 110 - 16
Quad 46 - 116 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 358 Chicago St. W 92 - 62 97% +13  1 - 0 +12 +7 D+ B C +4 B+ D A+
 Fri, Nov 7 334 Stonehill W 72 - 64 96% +8  2 - 0 -6 -9 F C- B- +2 C+ C- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 185 Buffalo L 53 - 66 84% -12  2 - 1 -18 -24 F F F +5 A+ D+ C+
 Fri, Nov 14 61 Northwestern L 79 - 81 49% -3  2 - 2 +4 +11 B- A+ D -7 F A A-
 Tue, Nov 18 363 Gardner-Webb W 93 - 62 98% +16  3 - 2 +10 -1 B- F F+ +7 B- C A-
 Sun, Nov 23 291 Detroit Mercy W 95 - 75 92% +6  4 - 2 +10 +20 A+ A+ B+ -9 F+ B- B
 Fri, Nov 28 111 Georgia Tech W 75 - 61 58% +1  5 - 2 +18 +10 A+ B- C +9 A+ C- D+
 Sat, Nov 29 47 LSU L 63 - 96 30% -23  5 - 3 -22 -5 C F+ D- -17 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76 - 72 95% -1  6 - 3 -9 -8 F C A+ -2 F A- A+
 Tue, Dec 9 356 Morgan St. W 92 - 49 97% +24  7 - 3 +26 +14 A+ C C+ +14 A+ A A+
 Sat, Dec 13 99 @Wichita St. W 61 - 58 40% +1  8 - 3 +11 -1 A+ F+ F +13 B+ A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 16 18 @St. John's L 66 - 79 9% -4  8 - 4 0 - 1 +7 +2 D- B+ A- +5 B- A+ C+
 Sun, Dec 21 10 Connecticut L 54 - 72 14% -5  8 - 5 0 - 2 -1 -8 C D C +6 B+ C A+
 Wed, Dec 31 36 @Villanova L 66 - 71 15% +2  8 - 6 0 - 3 +12 +4 C B- C- +8 A A+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 83 Xavier W 86 - 77 57% +3  9 - 6 1 - 3 +13 +17 A- B+ B+ -4 C C C
 Tue, Jan 6 89 Georgetown W 56 - 50 58% +2  10 - 6 2 - 3 +9 -13 D- D+ F +22 A+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 10 @Connecticut L 60 - 72 6% -15  10 - 7 2 - 4 +11 +5 A D- F+ +5 C A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 16 93 Marquette W 80 - 75 61% -1  11 - 7 3 - 4 +8 +15 C+ A+ A+ -7 F A+ D+
 Tue, Jan 20 60 @Butler L 80 - 87 27% -8  11 - 8 3 - 5 +5 +9 D- A+ C- -4 F+ C+ B
 Sat, Jan 24 53 Seton Hall W 67 - 60 44% +7  12 - 8 4 - 5 +14 +6 B+ C- B- +9 B+ B+ C+
 Wed, Jan 28 89 @Georgetown L 61 - 70 35% -10  12 - 9 4 - 6 +0 +4 C- B- D -5 F A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 83 @Xavier L 73 - 77 34%
 Tue, Feb 3 18 St. John's L 70 - 79 20%
 Sat, Feb 7 66 @Providence L 78 - 84 29%
 Wed, Feb 11 55 Creighton L 73 - 74 45%
 Wed, Feb 18 53 @Seton Hall L 61 - 69 24%
 Sat, Feb 21 66 Providence W 82 - 81 50%
 Wed, Feb 25 55 @Creighton L 70 - 77 25%
 Sun, Mar 1 93 @Marquette L 72 - 75 38%
 Wed, Mar 4 36 Villanova L 66 - 71 31%
 Sat, Mar 7 60 Butler L 75 - 76 48%
Totals 15 - 16 7 - 13 +6 +1 C+ C C+ +5 B- B- B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.6 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.8 7.3 6.7 0.9 0.0 15.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 7.9 10.4 1.9 0.1 20.7 7th
8th 0.1 4.2 10.6 2.4 0.0 17.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 8.7 3.8 0.1 14.1 9th
10th 0.5 4.6 4.7 0.4 10.2 10th
11th 1.8 2.8 0.5 5.1 11th
Total 2.3 9.0 18.6 23.4 21.1 14.6 7.2 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 52.0% 8.0% 44.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 47.8%
12-8 0.7% 15.6% 2.2% 13.3% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 13.6%
11-9 3.0% 10.2% 1.8% 8.4% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.7 8.5%
10-10 7.2% 3.4% 1.4% 2.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.9 2.1%
9-11 14.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.5 0.2%
8-12 21.1% 0.2% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 21.1
7-13 23.4% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 23.4
6-14 18.6% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 18.6
5-15 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 9.0
4-16 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 2.3
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 10.7 99.1 0.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%