Villanova
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#36
Expected Predictive Rating+13.8#36
Pace60.9#358
Improvement-0.2#201

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#36
First Shot+5.9#40
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#72
Layup/Dunks+1.5#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.2#10
Freethrows-1.1#252
Improvement+0.1#170

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#52
First Shot+3.3#71
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#84
Layups/Dunks+0.7#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows+2.9#34
Improvement-0.3#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 4.0% 5.7% 2.0%
Top 6 Seed 14.6% 19.7% 9.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 62.7% 71.8% 52.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 59.3% 69.0% 49.0%
Average Seed 8.1 7.8 8.5
.500 or above 95.3% 98.2% 92.1%
.500 or above in Conference 80.0% 84.0% 75.7%
Conference Champion 6.1% 7.2% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.7% 1.8%
First Four9.1% 8.4% 9.8%
First Round58.1% 67.6% 47.7%
Second Round31.7% 38.5% 24.3%
Sweet Sixteen9.1% 11.6% 6.4%
Elite Eight3.1% 4.1% 2.1%
Final Four1.0% 1.4% 0.6%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Neutral) - 52.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 26 - 39 - 11
Quad 37 - 116 - 12
Quad 45 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 9 BYU L 66-71 25%     0 - 1 +14.3 +3.4 +10.8
  Sat, Nov 8 202 Queens W 94-74 94%     1 - 1 +14.2 +15.5 -0.7
  Tue, Nov 11 257 Sacred Heart W 94-60 96%     2 - 1 +25.7 +21.6 +6.4
  Sat, Nov 15 138 Duquesne W 87-77 90%     3 - 1 +8.5 +13.3 -4.7
  Wed, Nov 19 239 @La Salle W 70-55 89%     4 - 1 +13.7 +10.7 +5.7
  Tue, Nov 25 215 Old Dominion W 89-75 95%     5 - 1 +7.6 +17.4 -9.0
  Mon, Dec 1 158 Temple W 74-56 92%     6 - 1 +15.2 +11.2 +7.7
  Sat, Dec 6 256 Penn W 90-63 94%     7 - 1 +21.8 +18.9 +4.6
  Tue, Dec 9 1 @Michigan L 61-89 6%     7 - 2 +1.9 -2.2 +6.9
  Sat, Dec 13 107 Pittsburgh W 79-61 86%     8 - 2 +18.9 +21.1 +1.5
  Fri, Dec 19 40 Wisconsin W 74-73 52%    
  Tue, Dec 23 56 @Seton Hall L 66-67 50%    
  Wed, Dec 31 113 DePaul W 74-62 87%    
  Sat, Jan 3 54 @Butler L 74-75 48%    
  Wed, Jan 7 59 Creighton W 72-66 72%    
  Sat, Jan 10 88 @Marquette W 73-69 62%    
  Tue, Jan 13 69 @Providence W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 16 St. John's L 72-74 43%    
  Wed, Jan 21 101 Georgetown W 77-66 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 6 @Connecticut L 62-73 15%    
  Fri, Jan 30 69 Providence W 80-73 75%    
  Wed, Feb 4 56 Seton Hall W 69-63 71%    
  Sat, Feb 7 101 @Georgetown W 74-69 65%    
  Tue, Feb 10 88 Marquette W 76-66 81%    
  Sat, Feb 14 59 @Creighton W 70-69 51%    
  Tue, Feb 17 76 @Xavier W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Feb 21 6 Connecticut L 65-70 32%    
  Wed, Feb 25 54 Butler W 77-72 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 16 @St. John's L 69-77 24%    
  Wed, Mar 4 113 @DePaul W 71-65 70%    
  Sat, Mar 7 76 Xavier W 75-67 75%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 6.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 2.4 4.7 4.9 3.2 0.9 0.1 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 6.3 8.2 5.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 25.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.0 5.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 17.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.0 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.6 3.0 0.7 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.2 5.4 8.3 11.0 13.0 14.0 13.3 11.4 8.2 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 92.9% 0.9    0.7 0.2
17-3 65.3% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1
16-4 33.1% 1.8    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
15-5 12.8% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.1 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 30.8% 69.2% 2.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.9% 99.6% 25.7% 73.9% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
17-3 2.6% 99.7% 23.3% 76.5% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
16-4 5.3% 99.7% 20.1% 79.7% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 8.2% 98.5% 15.7% 82.9% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.3%
14-6 11.4% 94.9% 11.7% 83.1% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.5 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.6 94.2%
13-7 13.3% 87.5% 8.9% 78.6% 8.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.7 3.2 2.6 0.7 0.0 1.7 86.3%
12-8 14.0% 74.9% 7.6% 67.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.7 3.3 1.9 0.0 3.5 72.8%
11-9 13.0% 55.4% 4.9% 50.5% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.7 2.3 0.0 5.8 53.1%
10-10 11.0% 36.6% 3.8% 32.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.0 0.1 7.0 34.1%
9-11 8.3% 12.7% 1.9% 10.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 7.2 11.0%
8-12 5.4% 3.3% 1.0% 2.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.3 2.3%
7-13 3.2% 0.8% 0.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 3.1
6-14 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 1.7
5-15 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 0.8
4-16 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 62.7% 8.2% 54.5% 8.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.2 6.4 8.2 9.6 10.6 11.4 8.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 37.4 59.3%