Butler
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#54
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#44
Pace72.8#87
Improvement-1.1#254

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#42
First Shot+3.0#97
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#11
Layup/Dunks+2.6#91
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#308
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#148
Freethrows+1.6#89
Improvement+1.2#86

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#90
First Shot+3.0#78
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#215
Layups/Dunks-5.8#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#82
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#39
Freethrows+2.9#32
Improvement-2.3#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 2.3% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 4.2% 12.2% 3.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.3% 67.9% 40.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.2% 65.6% 38.7%
Average Seed 8.9 8.2 9.0
.500 or above 89.0% 96.4% 88.2%
.500 or above in Conference 63.0% 83.5% 60.7%
Conference Champion 2.2% 9.8% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.9% 2.8%
First Four9.1% 8.1% 9.2%
First Round38.3% 63.5% 35.5%
Second Round17.1% 30.9% 15.6%
Sweet Sixteen3.6% 8.1% 3.2%
Elite Eight1.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Final Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 9.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 8
Quad 26 - 49 - 12
Quad 35 - 114 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 317 Southern Indiana W 88-58 97%     1 - 0 +17.7 +5.3 +10.5
  Sat, Nov 8 355 IU Indianapolis W 112-80 99%     2 - 0 +14.9 +4.1 +3.6
  Tue, Nov 11 338 Chicago St. W 98-66 98%     3 - 0 +18.1 +13.3 +3.3
  Sat, Nov 15 38 @SMU L 85-87 31%     3 - 1 +13.1 +13.1 +0.1
  Fri, Nov 21 87 South Carolina W 79-72 65%     4 - 1 +13.1 +10.8 +2.4
  Sun, Nov 23 26 Virginia W 80-73 32%     5 - 1 +21.8 +13.3 +8.7
  Fri, Nov 28 144 Wright St. W 94-69 87%     6 - 1 +23.0 +13.7 +7.5
  Tue, Dec 2 226 Eastern Michigan W 84-68 93%     7 - 1 +9.2 +13.8 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 6 47 Boise St. L 68-77 57%     7 - 2 -0.9 +3.7 -5.0
  Sat, Dec 13 69 Providence W 113-110 2OT 69%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +7.9 +18.3 -10.9
  Tue, Dec 16 6 @Connecticut L 67-81 10%    
  Sat, Dec 20 58 Northwestern W 79-78 52%    
  Mon, Dec 22 352 NJIT W 88-62 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 59 @Creighton L 76-78 41%    
  Sat, Jan 3 36 Villanova W 75-74 52%    
  Tue, Jan 6 16 St. John's L 79-83 34%    
  Wed, Jan 14 76 @Xavier L 78-79 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 56 @Seton Hall L 72-75 41%    
  Tue, Jan 20 113 DePaul W 81-71 81%    
  Fri, Jan 23 88 Marquette W 83-76 74%    
  Wed, Jan 28 16 @St. John's L 76-86 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 101 Georgetown W 83-75 77%    
  Wed, Feb 4 69 @Providence L 85-86 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 88 @Marquette W 80-79 54%    
  Wed, Feb 11 6 Connecticut L 70-78 24%    
  Sun, Feb 15 56 Seton Hall W 75-72 62%    
  Wed, Feb 18 101 @Georgetown W 80-78 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 76 Xavier W 81-76 68%    
  Wed, Feb 25 36 @Villanova L 72-77 31%    
  Wed, Mar 4 59 Creighton W 79-75 63%    
  Sat, Mar 7 113 @DePaul W 78-74 63%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 4.8 5.7 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 16.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.2 5.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 17.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.5 5.0 1.4 0.1 15.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.7 4.0 0.8 0.1 12.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.0 2.8 0.5 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.1 6.9 10.1 12.8 14.1 13.9 12.3 9.9 6.4 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 98.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 71.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 38.1% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.0
15-5 15.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.7% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.8% 99.8% 14.9% 84.9% 6.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 3.7% 98.4% 11.4% 87.0% 7.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.2%
14-6 6.4% 95.1% 8.6% 86.5% 7.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.3 94.6%
13-7 9.9% 87.4% 6.5% 80.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 1.3 86.5%
12-8 12.3% 73.1% 4.5% 68.6% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.6 3.3 1.5 0.0 3.3 71.8%
11-9 13.9% 51.9% 2.9% 49.0% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.0 2.4 0.1 6.7 50.4%
10-10 14.1% 32.4% 1.9% 30.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.3 0.1 9.5 31.0%
9-11 12.8% 9.9% 1.1% 8.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.5 8.9%
8-12 10.1% 1.9% 0.7% 1.2% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.9 1.2%
7-13 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 6.8
6-14 4.1% 0.3% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
5-15 2.1% 2.1
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 43.3% 3.5% 39.8% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.5 6.9 8.8 10.9 7.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 56.7 41.2%