Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.2 334
Expected Predictive Rating -12.1 342
Pace 78.8 9
Improvement -2.5 285

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- #339 D- D- B- B F
Defense D+ #307 D D B- F+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 281 53% 303 -3.9 312
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 8 36% 254 +4.4 21
Three Pointers 31% 350 31% 306 -6.7 347
1st FG Attempt 0.89 343 -6.2 342
Second Chance 22.5% 351 0.98 250 0.22 345
Turnovers 15.3% 84
Freethrows 0.34 87 76% 56 0.26 58
Total Offense -6.7 339

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 68 59% 206 -2.9 279
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 236 42% 313 +0.0 187
Three Pointers 39% 255 38% 336 -1.2 244
1st FG Attempt 1.10 306 -4.1 306
Second Chance 36.8% 353 1.03 188 0.38 319
Turnovers 18.4% 95
Freethrows 0.39 348 72% 191 0.28 346
Total Defense -4.5 307

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -2.0 353 +0.6 277
Shot Type Accuracy -4.3 321 +3.4 306
Possession Length 15.8 45 15.8 10
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 47 0.18 208
Improvement -1.7 #280 -0.7 #234

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 1.2% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 27.8% 49.2% 15.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.4% 3.7% 1.6%
First Round1.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Away) - 36.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 49 - 119 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 92 @Wichita St. L 62 - 105 4% -18  0% 0 - 1 F -34 F -14 F A F F -16 F D+ D+
 Wed, Nov 12 57 @Oklahoma St. L 67 - 94 2% -16  1% 0 - 2 F+ -14 F -11 D+ F A- C +0 B F B+
 Mon, Nov 17 48 @Missouri L 73 - 91 2% -19  2% 0 - 3 C- -4 D+ -3 D- D+ A+ C +0 C C- C
 Sat, Nov 22 219 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 69 22% +2  57% 0 - 4 C- -4 D -5 F D B C+ +1 C- B+ B-
 Sun, Nov 23 347 North Florida W 85 - 82 54% -5  9% 1 - 4 D -9 D -6 D- F D+ D+ -4 F F+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 143 @North Texas L 69 - 72 8% +2  69% 1 - 5 C +1 C +0 C- D A+ C+ +1 F A A+
 Sat, Dec 13 276 @South Dakota L 85 - 97 23% -9  12% 1 - 6 F+ -16 D+ -3 C- D- D+ F+ -11 D+ F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 49 @LSU L 90 - 104 2% -2  32% 1 - 7 C -0 A +14 A+ D+ B- F -13 C+ F C
 Mon, Dec 29 29 @Texas A&M L 82 - 111 1% -22  0% 1 - 8 D -11 C- -1 D- B B+ D+ -5 D+ D B-
 Sat, Jan 3 272 @Grambling St. L 72 - 76 23% -4  1% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D+ -7 D- -6 F D+ F C -1 D- D- A
 Mon, Jan 5 258 @Southern W 89 - 85 20% +5  84% 2 - 9 1 - 1 C +2 B +6 B- B B- D+ -5 C D C
 Sat, Jan 10 365 Mississippi Valley W 70 - 69 92% -2  21% 3 - 9 2 - 1 F -26 F -17 F F B- F+ -9 F+ F A-
 Mon, Jan 12 317 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73 - 61 56% +6  85% 4 - 9 3 - 1 C -1 F+ -9 D+ F A A- +8 A+ C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 339 @Jackson St. L 78 - 82 39% -4  13% 4 - 10 3 - 2 D- -12 D- -7 F D C+ D -5 F D A-
 Mon, Jan 19 351 @Alcorn St. L 75 - 76 45% -3  14% 4 - 11 3 - 3 D -11 D -5 C- F A- D -6 C F D+
 Sat, Jan 24 318 Alabama St. L 80 - 95 56% -12  0% 4 - 12 3 - 4 F -28 F -14 F B F F -12 F D+ D+
 Tue, Jan 27 311 Alabama A&M L 60 - 80 53% -12  8% 4 - 13 3 - 5 F -32 F -19 F F C F -13 F B- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 309 Texas Southern W 85 - 78 52% +2  57% 5 - 13 4 - 5 C- -5 C- -1 D- D- A+ D+ -4 C- F C
 Sat, Feb 7 229 @Bethune-Cookman L 76 - 82 16% -0  44% 5 - 14 4 - 6 D+ -7 D -4 F D A+ C- -2 A+ F D+
 Mon, Feb 9 328 @Florida A&M L 73 - 77 37%
 Sat, Feb 14 258 Southern L 79 - 82 40%
 Mon, Feb 16 272 Grambling St. L 72 - 74 43%
 Thu, Feb 19 365 Mississippi Valley W 83 - 67 93%
 Sat, Feb 21 317 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 80 - 84 34%
 Thu, Feb 26 339 Jackson St. W 84 - 81 61%
 Sat, Feb 28 351 Alcorn St. W 81 - 76 67%
 Thu, Mar 5 309 @Texas Southern L 78 - 83 30%
Totals 9 - 18 8 - 9 -11 D- -7 D- D- B- D+ -5 D D B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D C- D D 35% 34% 31% F D- F+ C- D- B- B- B B D+ C- D D- D 43% 19% 39% D+ D F+ C D B- F+ C F+
0.99 53% 36% 31% -4 -2 0.89 23% 1.0 .22 15% .34 76% .26 1.15 59% 42% 38% +3 +1 1.10 37% 1.0 .38 18% .39 72% .24
Nov
8		 Wichita St. F F F F F 27% 46% 27% F F C A+ A F A+ A A+ F D+ F F F 42% 13% 44% D F C- C- D+ D+ F F F
0.81 43% 25% 7% -21 -4 0.52 28% 1.4 .40 22% .47 79% .37 1.37 59% 57% 43% +9 +1 1.23 41% 1.1 .44 13% .61 76% .46
Nov
12		 Oklahoma St. F F C- C+ D+ 41% 19% 40% C D+ F D+ F A- D- F F C B C+ D+ B 45% 16% 39% B+ B F F+ F B+ F+ B D
0.85 46% 36% 35% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 15% .21 57% .12 1.19 52% 33% 36% -2 +1 1.00 42% 1.2 .51 18% .41 70% .29
Nov
17		 Missouri D+ F F B- D- 35% 28% 37% C D- F A+ D+ A+ D- A+ C C B- A+ F C+ 50% 11% 39% F+ C C+ D+ C- C D+ C D+
0.96 43% 24% 36% -8 -1 0.83 14% 1.5 .21 12% .24 88% .21 1.19 59% 17% 43% +3 +2 1.13 35% 1.3 .44 18% .40 68% .27
Nov
22		 Tennessee Martin D D C+ F F+ 23% 45% 32% F F D- C- D B A+ A A+ C+ D F A+ C- 40% 18% 43% D C- A C+ B+ B- F D F
0.98 55% 38% 20% -7 -4 0.79 27% 0.9 .24 16% .53 77% .41 0.99 63% 57% 24% -1 +1 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 23% .56 70% .39
Nov
23		 North Florida D B+ C D- C- 24% 39% 37% F D- B+ F F D+ A+ C- A+ D+ D+ F F F 36% 11% 53% D+ F F B+ F+ A+ F A- F
1.16 69% 43% 30% +2 -3 1.00 45% 0.5 .23 14% .52 70% .36 1.12 63% 80% 46% +16 +1 1.36 38% 1.0 .38 29% .42 73% .31
Nov
30		 North Texas C C- C+ F C- 49% 27% 24% C+ C- F A+ D A+ C- A+ B C+ F A+ F F 52% 20% 27% C F C- A+ A A+ F C F
0.98 54% 38% 25% -5 0 0.92 18% 1.5 .27 16% .37 82% .30 1.02 74% 0% 50% +7 +1 1.18 34% 0.6 .21 27% .51 69% .35
Dec
13		 South Dakota D+ D A+ D D 67% 12% 22% B+ C- D+ D- D- D+ C D+ C- F+ C F A- D+ 52% 19% 29% D D+ F C F C- F D+ F
1.07 55% 57% 31% -1 +3 1.07 29% 1.1 .31 18% .28 72% .20 1.22 56% 56% 29% 0 +1 1.04 42% 1.0 .42 16% .66 77% .51
Dec
22		 LSU A B F A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% F+ A+ F+ B D+ B- A+ A+ A+ F B+ F B+ B 53% 9% 38% F C+ F D F C F F F
1.20 62% 20% 60% +12 -2 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 15% .44 93% .41 1.39 54% 100% 29% +1 +3 1.09 47% 1.4 .63 15% .77 88% .67
Dec
29		 Texas A&M C- F C D+ D 31% 36% 33% F D- F+ A+ B B+ A+ B+ A+ D+ D A- F+ D 45% 10% 45% C D+ C D- D B- F A F
0.95 44% 38% 32% -5 -3 0.86 20% 1.7 .33 17% .44 77% .34 1.29 67% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.22 34% 1.1 .39 16% .48 69% .33
Jan
3		 Grambling St. D- F+ F C+ D- 33% 31% 35% F F C D D+ F A+ B+ A+ C F A F F 33% 37% 30% A+ D- D- D+ D- A F A- F
0.96 50% 27% 35% -5 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .32 24% .48 78% .37 1.02 71% 25% 46% +5 -3 1.07 33% 1.0 .33 27% .64 66% .42
Jan
5		 Southern B B+ A+ C B+ 33% 41% 26% F B- F A+ B B- C+ D- C- D+ A- A F C+ 49% 24% 27% F+ C D- C D C F F F
1.17 67% 55% 36% +10 -3 1.17 23% 1.9 .42 17% .38 71% .27 1.12 46% 25% 46% -4 0 0.94 36% 1.0 .36 17% .56 80% .44
Jan
10		 Mississippi Valley F F B+ B- D- 24% 40% 36% F F F F F B- A+ F A F+ B+ F D- F+ 35% 37% 29% D F+ F C+ F A- F A D
0.99 45% 44% 38% +1 -4 0.98 18% 0.7 .13 15% .60 61% .37 0.97 47% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 38% 0.8 .32 25% .36 63% .23
Jan
12		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F+ F A- A+ C+ 33% 38% 29% F D+ D+ F F A A+ F B- A- A+ A+ B A+ 35% 23% 42% C- A+ D A- C+ B- F A+ D+
1.05 44% 44% 43% +2 -3 1.00 31% 0.8 .26 10% .50 61% .30 0.88 41% 18% 30% -13 -1 0.75 30% 0.8 .25 20% .42 61% .25
Jan
17		 Jackson St. D- D- C- D F 31% 31% 39% F F D- C+ D C+ A+ B+ A+ D F B D F 37% 17% 46% F F F A+ D A- F A- D
1.05 53% 33% 32% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.1 .32 15% .56 77% .43 1.11 70% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 42% 0.8 .32 23% .35 70% .25
Jan
19		 Alcorn St. D B+ D- A C+ 38% 29% 33% F C- F F F A- C- A+ B- D C+ F A+ B- 44% 17% 39% F C F C+ F D+ D F F
1.07 70% 33% 41% +7 -1 1.13 13% 0.5 .07 14% .32 84% .27 1.09 54% 56% 24% -5 +1 0.94 48% 0.8 .38 19% .28 81% .23
Jan
24		 Alabama St. F B- F F F 40% 33% 27% F F D- A+ B F A+ A+ A+ F C- D+ F F 44% 17% 39% F+ F B+ F D+ D+ D B C-
0.95 63% 25% 23% -7 -2 0.85 29% 1.6 .46 27% .56 88% .49 1.13 58% 40% 52% +11 +1 1.25 25% 1.1 .28 17% .33 65% .21
Jan
27		 Alabama A&M F C- F F F 43% 34% 23% F+ F C+ F F C F B+ F F F F+ D- F 37% 33% 30% B F C- B+ B- C+ A+ F B-
0.88 58% 26% 23% -8 -1 0.84 34% 0.3 .11 16% .21 75% .16 1.17 75% 44% 38% +10 -2 1.19 26% 0.9 .22 18% .23 92% .21
Jan
31		 Texas Southern C- B- F D- D- 35% 23% 42% F+ D- F B- D- A+ C A B- D+ A- D F D+ 42% 28% 30% C C- F F F C F A F
1.14 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.2 .29 9% .37 80% .30 1.05 48% 43% 40% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.5 .53 17% .44 63% .28
Feb
7		 Bethune-Cookman D F+ A+ F F 42% 24% 34% D F D- C+ D A+ B+ C+ B+ C- A- A+ A+ A+ 58% 19% 23% F A+ F D- F D+ F D+ F
1.00 46% 53% 14% -11 0 0.79 26% 1.2 .30 9% .38 73% .27 1.08 48% 20% 17% -15 +2 0.75 40% 1.1 .44 16% .53 71% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.3 0.6 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 0.6 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.5 0.2 4.9 4th
5th 0.1 5.7 1.6 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 2.1 8.0 0.3 10.4 6th
7th 0.3 9.1 3.5 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 3.4 11.8 0.4 15.7 8th
9th 1.2 11.3 4.6 0.0 17.1 9th
10th 0.4 5.8 9.1 0.5 15.7 10th
11th 0.3 3.5 6.9 1.9 0.0 12.6 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.3 3.9 13.9 26.0 28.2 19.0 7.4 1.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.4% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.2
10-8 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.6 6.8
9-9 19.0% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 1.0 18.0
8-10 28.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.6 27.6
7-11 26.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 25.9
6-12 13.9% 13.9
5-13 3.9% 3.9
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.2%