Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#45
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#84
Pace76.1#38
Improvement+2.5#45

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#47
First Shot+7.3#23
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#213
Layup/Dunks+0.8#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#38
Freethrows+3.8#18
Improvement+1.9#54

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#62
First Shot+2.7#86
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#67
Layups/Dunks+3.3#68
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#111
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#309
Freethrows+2.0#71
Improvement+0.6#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 4.9% 5.0% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.0% 34.4% 15.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 33.0% 33.3% 14.6%
Average Seed 8.5 8.5 9.0
.500 or above 81.8% 82.4% 49.5%
.500 or above in Conference 40.3% 40.6% 22.6%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 6.3% 13.9%
First Four5.7% 5.7% 3.1%
First Round31.3% 31.6% 13.4%
Second Round16.6% 16.8% 6.8%
Sweet Sixteen4.3% 4.3% 1.0%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Texas A&M (Home) - 98.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 33 - 011 - 14
Quad 48 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 273 Northwestern St. W 98-68 96%     1 - 0 +21.1 +11.7 +7.2
  Thu, Nov 6 318 Texas Southern W 104-70 98%     2 - 0 +21.7 +16.7 +1.8
  Sun, Nov 9 53 @Oklahoma St. L 63-87 42%     2 - 1 -10.7 -7.0 -2.8
  Fri, Nov 14 57 Central Florida L 74-86 68%     2 - 2 -5.5 -2.5 -2.2
  Tue, Nov 18 205 Montana W 86-81 94%     3 - 2 -0.9 +8.8 -9.6
  Fri, Nov 21 320 Manhattan W 109-68 98%     4 - 2 +28.6 +20.3 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120-84 99.7%    5 - 2 +10.3 +13.9 -10.5
  Fri, Nov 28 104 Florida St. W 95-59 76%     6 - 2 +40.1 +17.2 +20.2
  Tue, Dec 2 107 @Pittsburgh W 81-73 67%     7 - 2 +14.9 +16.3 -0.8
  Sun, Dec 7 38 SMU L 80-93 OT 47%     7 - 3 -0.9 -2.2 +3.5
  Sun, Dec 14 305 Jacksonville W 112-75 97%     8 - 3 +26.1 +25.1 -2.1
  Sun, Dec 21 303 East Texas A&M W 89-67 98%    
  Mon, Dec 29 326 Prairie View W 93-69 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 34 LSU W 80-79 56%    
  Tue, Jan 6 28 @Auburn L 79-85 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 44 Oklahoma W 83-80 61%    
  Tue, Jan 13 18 @Tennessee L 73-81 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 41 @Texas L 78-82 38%    
  Wed, Jan 21 80 Mississippi St. W 82-75 73%    
  Sat, Jan 24 87 South Carolina W 80-72 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 19 @Georgia L 84-92 24%    
  Tue, Feb 3 15 @Alabama L 86-95 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 13 Florida L 79-83 37%    
  Wed, Feb 11 48 Missouri W 83-80 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 11 @Vanderbilt L 79-89 18%    
  Wed, Feb 18 60 Mississippi W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 44 @Oklahoma L 80-83 40%    
  Wed, Feb 25 21 @Arkansas L 78-85 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 41 Texas W 81-79 59%    
  Tue, Mar 3 22 Kentucky L 80-81 45%    
  Sat, Mar 7 34 @LSU L 77-82 35%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 1.8 0.7 0.1 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.5 0.2 4.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.9 1.2 0.1 6.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.6 3.0 0.2 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 2.0 4.7 1.0 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.7 3.0 0.1 8.5 9th
10th 0.2 3.1 4.9 0.7 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 5.1 2.5 0.1 9.1 11th
12th 0.7 4.2 4.1 0.4 0.0 9.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.4 1.3 0.0 8.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.7 1.8 0.1 7.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.5 1.5 0.2 5.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.2 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.7 5.4 8.9 12.3 14.4 14.8 13.4 10.8 7.2 4.8 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 80.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 52.8% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.4% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.1% 99.7% 9.8% 89.9% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-5 2.4% 99.4% 8.4% 91.0% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
12-6 4.8% 97.2% 5.2% 92.0% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.1%
11-7 7.2% 91.4% 3.7% 87.7% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.6 91.0%
10-8 10.8% 74.8% 1.9% 72.9% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.5 2.1 0.8 0.0 2.7 74.3%
9-9 13.4% 52.6% 1.3% 51.3% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 1.8 0.0 6.3 52.0%
8-10 14.8% 19.5% 1.0% 18.6% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 0.1 11.9 18.7%
7-11 14.4% 4.0% 0.5% 3.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 13.8 3.5%
6-12 12.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.2%
5-13 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 5.4
3-15 2.7% 2.7
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 34.0% 1.6% 32.4% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.5 4.5 6.2 6.7 6.7 4.9 0.1 0.0 66.0 33.0%