Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.6 #30
Expected Predictive Rating +15.0 #32
Pace 77.2 #19
Improvement +6.5 #7

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #36 B+ C+ B- B B+
Defense #37 C+ B- A- C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #107 1.24 #94 +3.2 #76
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% #349 0.88 #42 -3.5 #340
Three Pointers 49% #35 1.13 #40 +7.0 #16
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #29 +6.6 #29
Freethrows 0.34 #82 75% #99 0.25 #66
Second Chance 34.1% #83 1.03 #206 0.35 #111
Turnovers 14.5% #71
Total Offense +8.0 #36

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #297 1.09 #91 +3.6 #67
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #161 0.77 #197 -0.3 #206
Three Pointers 45% #79 1.03 #209 -2.2 #285
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #141 +1.1 #141
Freethrows 0.29 #152 73% #209 0.21 #149
Second Chance 28.1% #92 0.97 #82 0.27 #79
Turnovers 20.4% #18
Total Defense +6.5 #37

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.2% #19 -0.7% #109
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 9.5% #48 -1.6% #156
Possession Length 14.9 #13 18.0 #282
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #98 0.14 #72
Improvement +3.1 #39 +3.3 #29

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 5.1% 8.7% 2.9%
Top 6 Seed 29.8% 43.5% 21.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.1% 96.2% 87.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 90.7% 96.0% 87.5%
Average Seed 7.3 6.7 7.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 95.4% 99.1% 93.1%
Conference Champion 12.2% 20.2% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.7% 1.1% 5.3%
First Round89.4% 95.8% 85.4%
Second Round54.0% 62.1% 48.9%
Sweet Sixteen17.0% 21.4% 14.2%
Elite Eight5.8% 7.0% 5.1%
Final Four1.9% 2.3% 1.6%
Championship Game0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 38.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 35 - 9
Quad 26 - 212 - 11
Quad 33 - 015 - 11
Quad 48 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 268 Northwestern St. W 98 - 68 98% +19  1 - 0 +21 +12 C- B- B- +7 B B- B+
 Thu, Nov 6 306 Texas Southern W 104 - 70 98% +12  2 - 0 +23 +15 A C- A +4 F+ C- A+
 Sun, Nov 9 63 @Oklahoma St. L 63 - 87 60% -14  2 - 1 -12 -8 F F+ F -3 C- B- D+
 Fri, Nov 14 49 Central Florida L 74 - 86 74% +2  2 - 2 -4 -1 D- A D+ -2 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 161 Montana W 86 - 81 94% +10  3 - 2 +2 +12 A+ F C -10 F A- C+
 Fri, Nov 21 326 Manhattan W 109 - 68 99% +21  4 - 2 +28 +21 A+ D A+ +4 D- A A+
 Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120 - 84 100% +23  5 - 2 +9 +15 B C C+ -13 F B- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 105 Florida St. W 95 - 59 83% +22  6 - 2 +40 +17 A A+ C- +20 A+ B+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 92 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 73 71% +4  7 - 2 +17 +18 B- A B+ -0 C+ F+ B-
 Sun, Dec 7 37 SMU L 80 - 93 OT 53% -5  7 - 3 +1 -3 C C- D+ +6 A+ D+ D+
 Sun, Dec 14 285 Jacksonville W 112 - 75 98% +24  8 - 3 +27 +26 A A+ C -2 D- B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 311 East Texas A&M W 118 - 77 98% +22  9 - 3 +29 +23 A+ A+ C+ -0 A- B- C+
 Mon, Dec 29 345 Prairie View W 111 - 82 99% +22  10 - 3 +14 +11 B C+ B- -2 C F B
 Sat, Jan 3 47 LSU W 75 - 72 73% +4  11 - 3 1 - 0 +11 +2 B C F +9 B+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 25 @Auburn W 90 - 88 35% -0  12 - 3 2 - 0 +21 +19 A+ A+ C- +1 B+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 54 Oklahoma W 83 - 76 76% +1  13 - 3 3 - 0 +14 +11 B F+ A +3 B D A+
 Tue, Jan 13 20 @Tennessee L 82 - 87 2OT 29% +3  13 - 4 3 - 1 +15 +7 A- F+ B +10 A+ B A
 Sat, Jan 17 33 @Texas W 74 - 70 40% +3  14 - 4 4 - 1 +21 +15 A- B- A+ +7 A- A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 21 73 Mississippi St. W 88 - 68 82% +10  15 - 4 5 - 1 +25 +18 B C- A+ +7 D+ A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 24 90 South Carolina W 92 - 69 86% +15  16 - 4 6 - 1 +26 +21 A+ A- B +5 A- A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 29 @Georgia L 87 - 90 39%
 Tue, Feb 3 16 @Alabama L 88 - 94 27%
 Sat, Feb 7 5 Florida L 80 - 84 36%
 Wed, Feb 11 56 Missouri W 84 - 76 77%
 Sat, Feb 14 12 @Vanderbilt L 79 - 87 25%
 Wed, Feb 18 64 Mississippi W 81 - 72 79%
 Sat, Feb 21 54 @Oklahoma W 82 - 81 55%
 Wed, Feb 25 21 @Arkansas L 84 - 89 30%
 Sat, Feb 28 33 Texas W 85 - 82 61%
 Tue, Mar 3 27 Kentucky W 81 - 79 59%
 Sat, Mar 7 47 @LSU W 81 - 80 51%
Totals 21 - 10 11 - 7 +15 +8 B+ C+ B- +7 C+ B- A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 3.2 5.3 2.6 0.6 0.1 12.2 1st
2nd 0.1 3.4 7.5 2.5 0.1 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 7.9 4.0 0.2 13.4 3rd
4th 0.3 5.9 7.2 0.6 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 2.4 8.9 1.9 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.4 6.3 4.7 0.2 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.5 0.6 8.1 7th
8th 0.4 3.6 2.2 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 2.6 0.2 3.8 9th
10th 0.3 1.4 0.7 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.1 1.0 3.5 9.3 16.9 21.5 21.0 15.3 7.9 2.8 0.6 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
15-3 94.9% 2.6    2.1 0.5 0.0
14-4 66.8% 5.3    2.1 2.3 0.7 0.1
13-5 20.8% 3.2    0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 5.1 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
16-2 0.6% 100.0% 19.7% 80.3% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.8% 100.0% 10.9% 89.1% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 100.0%
14-4 7.9% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 5.3 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.9 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 15.3% 99.8% 6.9% 92.9% 6.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.2 5.1 4.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 21.0% 99.1% 5.4% 93.6% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.7 7.4 5.0 1.5 0.2 0.2 99.0%
11-7 21.5% 96.3% 3.3% 93.0% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.2 7.0 4.4 1.3 0.2 0.8 96.2%
10-8 16.9% 87.3% 1.9% 85.4% 8.8 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.7 4.6 3.5 0.8 2.2 87.1%
9-9 9.3% 73.0% 1.0% 72.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.6 1.6 0.0 2.5 72.7%
8-10 3.5% 36.5% 0.4% 36.0% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.0 2.2 36.2%
7-11 1.0% 12.1% 1.0% 11.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 11.2%
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.1% 4.6% 86.6% 7.3 8.9 90.7%