Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#100
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#159
Pace65.1#298
Improvement-3.0#339

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#121
First Shot-3.7#283
After Offensive Rebound+5.7#2
Layup/Dunks-2.4#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#239
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement-1.8#306

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#83
First Shot+2.6#89
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#171
Layups/Dunks+2.4#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#114
Freethrows+2.4#53
Improvement-1.2#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.1% 12.5% 9.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.1 12.4
.500 or above 86.6% 88.6% 71.9%
.500 or above in Conference 84.1% 85.0% 77.4%
Conference Champion 14.8% 15.3% 10.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round12.1% 12.5% 9.2%
Second Round2.1% 2.1% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 88.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 43 - 7
Quad 35 - 48 - 12
Quad 411 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 222 UNC Asheville W 75-58 86%     1 - 0 +10.4 +0.6 +10.4
  Sat, Nov 8 326 Prairie View W 105-62 94%     2 - 0 +30.2 +17.2 +9.1
  Thu, Nov 13 287 Loyola Chicago W 95-74 91%     3 - 0 +11.1 +22.8 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 18 47 @Boise St. L 59-62 19%     3 - 1 +11.1 +0.5 +10.3
  Sat, Nov 22 236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-58 87%     4 - 1 +9.9 +1.2 +9.5
  Wed, Nov 26 39 St. Mary's L 65-70 25%     4 - 2 +7.1 +0.9 +6.1
  Thu, Nov 27 72 Colorado St. L 70-76 39%     4 - 3 +1.9 +10.1 -9.3
  Fri, Nov 28 147 Western Kentucky L 70-75 65%     4 - 4 -4.2 +5.0 -9.7
  Sat, Dec 6 93 @Northern Iowa W 74-69 OT 36%     5 - 4 +13.6 +8.4 +5.1
  Sat, Dec 13 113 DePaul L 58-61 67%     5 - 5 -2.6 -6.6 +3.7
  Wed, Dec 17 246 Wofford W 77-64 88%    
  Sun, Dec 21 260 Eastern Kentucky W 79-66 90%    
  Wed, Dec 31 119 @UAB L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Jan 3 194 @Charlotte W 70-66 65%    
  Wed, Jan 7 208 Rice W 74-63 85%    
  Sun, Jan 11 145 North Texas W 67-60 74%    
  Thu, Jan 15 117 @Florida Atlantic L 73-74 45%    
  Sun, Jan 18 86 @South Florida L 73-78 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 280 East Carolina W 77-63 90%    
  Sat, Jan 24 75 Memphis W 72-71 51%    
  Sun, Feb 1 83 @Tulsa L 71-76 31%    
  Wed, Feb 4 194 Charlotte W 73-63 82%    
  Sun, Feb 8 206 @Tulane W 74-69 68%    
  Wed, Feb 11 86 South Florida W 76-75 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 83 Tulsa W 74-73 53%    
  Wed, Feb 18 280 @East Carolina W 74-66 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 158 Temple W 78-70 75%    
  Thu, Feb 26 75 @Memphis L 69-75 30%    
  Sun, Mar 1 286 @Texas San Antonio W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Mar 7 117 Florida Atlantic W 76-71 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 2.3 4.5 4.5 2.3 0.7 0.1 14.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.6 6.1 3.8 0.8 0.1 14.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 7.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.3 6.6 3.7 0.4 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.5 4.1 0.6 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.2 0.7 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.9 1.0 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 2.8 1.2 0.1 5.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.0 1.2 0.1 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.5 4.5 7.1 10.8 13.2 15.2 15.3 12.3 8.7 5.3 2.4 0.7 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 96.8% 2.3    2.1 0.3 0.0
15-3 83.6% 4.5    3.1 1.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 51.4% 4.5    1.9 2.0 0.6 0.0
13-5 18.9% 2.3    0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.8% 14.8 8.4 4.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 56.1% 46.3% 9.8% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18.2%
17-1 0.7% 37.4% 33.6% 3.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 5.6%
16-2 2.4% 31.5% 31.1% 0.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.7 0.6%
15-3 5.3% 26.4% 26.2% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.1 3.9 0.3%
14-4 8.7% 23.1% 23.1% 11.8 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.7
13-5 12.3% 19.1% 19.1% 12.0 0.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 10.0
12-6 15.3% 14.6% 14.6% 12.3 0.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 13.1
11-7 15.2% 9.3% 9.3% 12.5 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 13.8
10-8 13.2% 5.9% 5.9% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 12.4
9-9 10.8% 4.3% 4.3% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.4
8-10 7.1% 3.1% 3.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.9
7-11 4.5% 2.5% 2.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.3
6-12 2.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 2.5
5-13 1.1% 1.1
4-14 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.1% 12.1% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.4 6.4 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 87.9 0.1%