Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.4 #304
Expected Predictive Rating -9.3 #320
Pace 67.5 #218
Improvement +1.1 #133

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #315 C- D- D+ C- D+
Defense #265 C- D+ C C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #312 1.08 #272 -4.1 #311
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #88 0.79 #121 +2.1 #75
Three Pointers 41% #173 1.02 #182 +0.3 #159
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #229 -1.7 #229
Freethrows 0.28 #269 73% #156 0.20 #232
Second Chance 22.7% #347 0.97 #282 0.22 #351
Turnovers 17.9% #278
Total Offense -5.6 #315

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #51 1.10 #99 -1.7 #234
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #75 0.88 #337 -2.8 #350
Three Pointers 32% #358 1.09 #282 +3.4 #59
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #214 -1.1 #215
Freethrows 0.32 #243 72% #159 0.23 #233
Second Chance 34.7% #321 1.04 #172 0.36 #285
Turnovers 16.0% #204
Total Defense -2.8 #265

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.8% #301 -0.1% #153
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.5% #197 2.3% #223
Possession Length 17.8 #218 16.6 #56
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #110 0.19 #241
Improvement -0.5 #213 +1.6 #87

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.8% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.6% 5.4% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 58.1% 75.8% 45.3%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 0.6% 5.0%
First Four4.1% 5.0% 3.4%
First Round2.4% 3.3% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Home) - 42.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 410 - 1112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 4 @Houston L 57 - 75 1% -15  0 - 1 +6 -2 C- D B- +8 A D A+
 Sun, Nov 9 57 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 3% -18  0 - 2 -9 -14 C F F +3 C+ C- A
 Fri, Nov 14 118 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 10% -4  0 - 3 -6 +1 C+ F+ A- -8 D- D C-
 Tue, Nov 18 353 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 79% +9  1 - 3 +0 -5 D+ C- D +4 B+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 169 Columbia L 67 - 82 33% -9  1 - 4 -19 -7 C D- C- -12 D F C+
 Tue, Nov 25 159 @Marist L 55 - 78 15% -13  1 - 5 -20 -9 F C- A+ -12 F C+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 133 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 17% +1  1 - 6 -0 +2 D+ C D -2 A+ C F+
 Sat, Nov 29 270 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 42% -1  2 - 6 -2 +4 A+ F C- -6 C- D+ C+
 Tue, Dec 2 362 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 67% -1  2 - 7 -22 -10 F D- F+ -12 F B+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 211 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 41% -7  2 - 8 -11 +3 C A+ F -14 C F C-
 Sun, Dec 21 199 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 20% -7  2 - 9 -13 -6 B+ F+ F -8 F A A-
 Wed, Dec 31 334 Army L 78 - 85 OT 71% -3  2 - 10 0 - 1 -21 -11 D F B- -9 C- F B+
 Sat, Jan 3 322 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 44% +8  2 - 11 0 - 2 -14 -12 F C- F -1 A+ F C
 Wed, Jan 7 323 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 67% +5  3 - 11 1 - 2 -5 -7 C D- F +2 B B D-
 Sat, Jan 10 214 @Colgate W 78 - 77 22% +2  4 - 11 2 - 2 +1 +10 B D+ A- -9 C- C- C
 Wed, Jan 14 286 @Boston University W 93 - 91 OT 34% +6  5 - 11 3 - 2 -2 +7 C- F+ A -9 D A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 175 Navy L 79 - 82 2OT 35% +0  5 - 12 3 - 3 -7 -1 C- F A+ -7 C F B-
 Mon, Jan 19 318 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 81 65% -2  6 - 12 4 - 3 -5 +11 A- D C+ -16 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 315 Lafayette W 64 - 59 65% +7  7 - 12 5 - 3 -7 -10 D- D+ F +3 B+ C+ D+
 Wed, Jan 28 334 @Army L 64 - 67 49% -3  7 - 13 5 - 4 -11 -12 F+ F F +1 C- C C+
 Sat, Jan 31 214 Colgate L 72 - 74 42%
 Wed, Feb 4 318 @Loyola Maryland L 72 - 74 42%
 Sat, Feb 7 323 @Holy Cross L 69 - 70 46%
 Wed, Feb 11 233 American L 70 - 71 46%
 Sat, Feb 14 315 @Lafayette L 70 - 72 42%
 Wed, Feb 18 175 @Navy L 63 - 73 17%
 Sat, Feb 21 286 Boston University W 71 - 69 55%
 Wed, Feb 25 233 @American L 67 - 74 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 322 Bucknell W 72 - 68 67%
Totals 11 - 18 9 - 9 -8 -6 C- D- D+ -3 C- D+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.8 5.5 1.5 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.1 4.0 15.4 13.1 3.1 0.3 0.0 36.0 4th
5th 1.0 10.0 7.7 1.0 0.0 19.7 5th
6th 0.2 5.4 6.5 0.7 12.7 6th
7th 0.9 5.5 0.9 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.6 1.8 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 0.4 1.8 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 1.0 5.7 13.8 21.4 24.5 19.2 9.9 3.7 0.8 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 30.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.8% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8
12-6 3.7% 13.2% 13.2% 15.9 0.1 0.4 3.2
11-7 9.9% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9 9.0
10-8 19.2% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 1.1 18.1
9-9 24.5% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 1.1 23.4
8-10 21.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.5 20.9
7-11 13.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 13.5
6-12 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-13 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 16.0 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%