Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -0.4 170
Results Rating +0.4 149
Consistency 0.12 37
Pace 63.9 303
Improvement -1.3 236

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 296 D- C+ F+ B B-
Defense B 61 B C C D B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 22 D- 50% 340 +0.6 157
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 63 C- 37% 206 -0.4 199
Three Pointers 34% 310 F+ 29% 353 -6.1 346
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 105 F+ -6.2 352
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 340
Second Chance B 35.1% 49 D 0.95 304 C+ 0.33 126
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.5% 286
Other Turnovers F 9.6% 356
Turnovers F+ 20.1% 347
Freethrows B 0.34 51 C 73% 183 B 0.25 64
Total Offense D+ -4.9 296

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 43% 267 C- 11.9% 236
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 106 D+ 6.3% 275
Three Pointers B 90% 44 C 0.9% 202
Total C- 52% 247 D 7.0% 325


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 213 C 57% 159 -0.8 145
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 32 C- 39% 226 +2.6 347
Three Pointers 36% 327 A 28% 3 -5.9 2
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 55 B -3.3 49
1st FG Attempt B 0.94 45
Second Chance B- 28.3% 105 D+ 1.08 264 C 0.31 169
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.9% 148
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 274
Turnovers C 16.5% 191
Freethrows D 0.35 319 B- 71% 108 D 0.25 306
Total Defense B +4.5 61

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 306 C- 10.3% 200
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 226 C 5.3% 135
Three Pointers B- 80% 72 C 0.8% 158
Total C+ 54% 149 C 5.6% 179

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.3 344 16.8 80
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 139 0.24 351
Consistency 0.10 34 0.14 281
Improvement -1.0 245 -0.3 196

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 170 170 169
Results Rating Rank 152 150 150
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 56 - 11
Quad 410 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 54 @New Mexico L 56 - 74 10% -12  4% 0 - 1 C- -4 F -14 F B- F A +11 B+ A B
 Sat, Nov 15 195 Missouri St. W 67 - 49 67% +7  67% 1 - 1 B+ +13 F+ -10 C F+ F A+ +24 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 294 @Evansville W 84 - 76 66% +3  68% 2 - 1 C+ +3 B+ +9 A+ A+ F D -5 B- F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 181 Campbell L 67 - 71 53% +4  82% 2 - 2 D+ -5 F -14 F D+ F+ A +9 B F A
 Sat, Nov 22 210 @Weber St. W 74 - 73 47% +0  47% 3 - 2 C +1 C +0 C- C- D C+ +1 B- F C
 Sat, Nov 29 106 Stephen F. Austin W 66 - 61 43% -3  23% 4 - 2 B- +6 C +1 C- C- F+ B+ +6 B+ C B+
 Tue, Dec 2 145 @Arkansas St. L 63 - 83 35% -10  14% 4 - 3 F+ -16 F -13 F A D+ C- -2 D+ A C-
 Thu, Dec 11 134 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 58 - 50 31% +0  54% 5 - 3 B+ +13 D+ -2 D B F A+ +17 A+ A B-
 Wed, Dec 17 60 @Stanford L 60 - 76 12% -12  3% 5 - 4 C- -3 D- -8 C F D+ B +4 C C B+
 Mon, Dec 22 313 @Oral Roberts W 69 - 57 71% +6  92% 6 - 4 B- +6 D -6 D+ B- F A+ +12 A+ B- B
 Mon, Dec 29 229 Tarleton St. L 63 - 69 74% -6  3% 6 - 5 0 - 1 D- -13 F+ -10 F C- F D+ -4 D+ D+ F
 Thu, Jan 1 115 California Baptist W 63 - 51 48% +4  81% 7 - 5 1 - 1 B+ +12 D+ -3 F B C A+ +17 B A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 264 @Southern Utah W 86 - 77 58% +1  48% 8 - 5 2 - 1 B- +6 B- +5 A- D F C+ +1 C B- C
 Sat, Jan 10 249 Abilene Christian W 82 - 72 77% +6  91% 9 - 5 3 - 1 C+ +2 A- +11 D+ A+ B F+ -8 F D- D
 Thu, Jan 15 200 @Utah Tech W 56 - 52 45% +5  84% 10 - 5 4 - 1 C+ +5 F -19 F F F A+ +24 A+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 17 100 @Utah Valley L 74 - 86 21% -14  0% 10 - 6 4 - 2 C- -4 B- +4 F A+ D+ D- -8 B- F F+
 Wed, Jan 21 229 Tarleton St. W 71 - 64 74% +1  45% 11 - 6 5 - 2 C +0 D+ -3 D+ C- C+ B- +3 C+ A- A+
 Thu, Jan 29 264 Southern Utah W 80 - 61 78% +14  96% 12 - 6 6 - 2 B +10 C- -1 D+ B F+ A +11 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 115 California Baptist L 77 - 87 OT 48% -5  0% 12 - 7 6 - 3 D -10 D+ -3 D C- D+ D -5 C- D+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 200 @Utah Tech L 84 - 87 2OT 45% -1  36% 12 - 8 6 - 4 C- -2 C +0 F+ A A C- -2 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 100 @Utah Valley L 60 - 81 21% -9  16% 12 - 9 6 - 5 D- -13 C +0 B+ D- F F -17 F F D-
 Thu, Feb 12 249 @Abilene Christian L 63 - 67 57% -2  28% 12 - 10 6 - 6 D+ -6 D- -8 B+ D+ F C+ +1 A+ F F+
 Sat, Feb 14 264 Southern Utah L 73 - 78 78% -3  9% 12 - 11 6 - 7 D- -14 D- -7 D- D C D -6 F C- A-
 Thu, Feb 19 200 Utah Tech W 63 - 50 67% +6  89% 13 - 11 7 - 7 B- +8 D- -8 F A- F A+ +17 A+ A B-
 Sat, Feb 21 100 Utah Valley L 54 - 66 40% +0  54% 13 - 12 7 - 8 D -10 F -17 F F F A- +7 A+ D- D
 Thu, Feb 26 115 @California Baptist L 56 - 68 26% -7  11% 13 - 13 7 - 9 D+ -6 D- -7 F B- C+ C -0 D C D-
 Thu, Mar 5 229 @Tarleton St. W 65 - 60 52% +0  45% 14 - 13 8 - 9 C+ +4 C +2 F A+ D+ B- +3 B B- C-
 Sat, Mar 7 249 @Abilene Christian W 64 - 57 57% -4  20% 15 - 13 9 - 9 C+ +5 D -5 F C+ D A +10 B+ A+ F
 Thu, Mar 12 264 Southern Utah W 69 - 63 69% +4  79% 16 - 13 C +0 F -11 F C+ C- A+ +11 A B C
 Fri, Mar 13 100 Utah Valley L 65 - 67 29% -5  6% 16 - 14 C+ +3 C +0 B- D B B- +3 B- B- C+
Totals 16 - 14 9 - 9 +0 D+ -5 A+ F+ B- B +4 F+ C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C- F+ F+ 45% 49% 34% B- D- B D C+ F+ B C B B C C- A B 38% 27% 36% B B B- D+ C C D B- D
1.02 50% 37% 29% -6 +1 0.90 35% 0.9 .33 20% .34 73% .25 1.02 57% 39% 28% -3 -1 0.94 28% 1.1 .31 17% .35 71% .25
Nov
8		 New Mexico F C A F F 34% 15% 51% B F A+ F B- F A+ C- A+ A D F A+ A- 45% 8% 47% D B+ B+ A+ A B F F F
0.78 57% 50% 14% -14 0 0.76 40% 0.8 .31 32% .49 71% .35 1.03 64% 50% 26% -2 +2 1.02 27% 0.7 .18 17% .45 81% .37
Nov
15		 Missouri St. F+ D C+ A+ C 44% 31% 25% B C A- F F+ F D F F A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 57% 18% 25% F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.98 57% 40% 42% +3 -1 1.06 40% 0.6 .25 22% .32 35% .11 0.72 52% 13% 9% -17 +2 0.70 30% 0.3 .08 25% .47 67% .31
Nov
18		 Evansville B+ A A+ A+ A+ 33% 28% 38% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A A+ D F+ A+ A- B 35% 26% 39% C- B- D- F F C- F B- F
1.23 69% 64% 47% +18 -1 1.36 56% 1.3 .72 31% .50 83% .42 1.11 69% 25% 28% -3 -1 0.93 26% 2.0 .53 18% .55 71% .39
Nov
21		 Campbell F F F C- F 56% 21% 23% B+ F C- D+ D+ F+ B F C A C C+ A+ B 51% 20% 29% B- B C F F A F A+ F+
0.91 48% 9% 33% -12 +1 0.81 30% 1.1 .33 20% .34 65% .22 0.97 57% 33% 23% -6 +1 0.91 34% 1.4 .47 23% .57 59% .34
Nov
22		 Weber St. C C+ F D+ D+ 58% 12% 31% A C- C- C+ C- D F A+ F+ C+ D- B A- C+ 40% 26% 34% A B- A F F C B- F D
1.11 63% 17% 31% -1 +3 1.06 27% 1.1 .30 18% .22 83% .18 1.10 65% 31% 29% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.7 .41 17% .31 88% .27
Nov
29		 Stephen F. Austin C F A+ A D+ 59% 15% 26% A C- A+ F C- F+ A+ A- A+ B+ B+ D+ A B+ 41% 37% 22% B B+ D+ B C B+ A- F B
1.07 39% 67% 40% -4 +2 0.97 41% 0.7 .30 21% .51 80% .41 0.99 48% 42% 27% -5 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .31 16% .15 75% .12
Dec
2		 Arkansas St. F F+ F F F 45% 27% 29% C F A- B A D+ A+ F B C- F D A+ D- 40% 28% 32% A D+ C- A+ A C- F C+ F
0.87 50% 23% 7% -19 0 0.63 36% 1.1 .40 17% .43 62% .26 1.14 76% 40% 24% +3 -1 1.06 39% 0.7 .28 19% .50 72% .36
Dec
11		 UT Rio Grande Valley D+ C+ B+ F D 30% 16% 53% C D A- C B F F B- F A+ C+ A+ B A+ 36% 20% 43% B- A+ A+ C+ A B- C- B C
1.00 62% 43% 26% -5 0 0.93 39% 0.8 .33 23% .25 73% .18 0.87 56% 11% 32% -8 0 0.86 16% 1.0 .16 19% .24 73% .17
Dec
17		 Stanford D- D+ D+ D+ C- 46% 22% 32% B- C F F F D+ A+ F+ A+ B F+ A+ B+ C+ 57% 14% 30% D+ C A F C B+ F D- F
0.89 53% 33% 31% -5 0 0.93 14% 0.8 .10 21% .54 69% .37 1.13 68% 17% 31% +1 +2 1.09 27% 1.3 .35 18% .58 78% .45
Dec
22		 Oral Roberts D F F A+ D- 57% 2% 41% A+ D+ D+ A+ B- F B+ D- B- A+ B- B A+ A+ 46% 19% 35% C- A+ D A+ B- B F F F
1.03 40% 0% 44% -5 +4 1.00 29% 1.4 .42 21% .38 65% .24 0.85 50% 33% 12% -16 +1 0.71 32% 0.8 .24 21% .47 84% .39
Dec
29		 Tarleton St. F+ F D+ C- F 39% 21% 39% C F C D C- F A+ D+ A+ D+ D- C C D- 35% 39% 26% A D+ A+ F D+ F F A+ B-
0.96 47% 38% 33% -5 0 0.92 33% 1.0 .33 27% .59 71% .42 1.05 63% 39% 33% +2 -3 1.00 20% 1.7 .34 11% .48 46% .22
Jan
1		 California Baptist D+ F F D- F 38% 29% 33% D F A- C B C A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B- A+ C+ 33% 40% 28% A+ B A+ B- A+ A+ C C C
0.99 44% 25% 29% -12 -1 0.76 34% 0.9 .31 16% .43 87% .37 0.80 57% 35% 25% -5 -3 0.86 25% 0.9 .21 27% .30 71% .21
Jan
3		 Southern Utah B- D- B+ A+ A 41% 22% 37% C A- D- C D F A+ B+ A+ C+ F A- A+ C 47% 22% 31% D+ C A- D- B- C F D- F
1.18 50% 45% 56% +10 0 1.22 24% 1.0 .24 18% .42 76% .32 1.06 71% 27% 25% -1 +1 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 19% .36 76% .27
Jan
10		 Abilene Christian A- D B+ A+ D+ 52% 26% 21% C- D+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ D- F F 28% 46% 26% A+ F A- F D- D F B+ F
1.24 55% 45% 44% +3 0 1.10 46% 1.4 .63 20% .55 86% .47 1.09 55% 44% 50% +8 -4 1.10 25% 1.4 .36 18% .59 66% .39
Jan
15		 Utah Tech F F D+ F F 62% 13% 26% A F C+ F F F A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 51% 23% 26% C- A+ D C+ C- F F+ A+ B-
0.83 41% 33% 25% -14 +3 0.79 33% 0.5 .15 24% .41 81% .33 0.77 44% 17% 7% -22 +1 0.58 32% 0.9 .28 12% .30 50% .15
Jan
17		 Utah Valley B- D+ F+ F F 41% 22% 37% C- F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A+ D- D+ D+ B C 44% 30% 26% A+ B- F F F F+ F A F
1.07 53% 30% 24% -10 0 0.83 42% 1.4 .58 22% .48 77% .37 1.24 64% 40% 31% +2 -1 1.04 45% 1.6 .73 16% .48 61% .29
Jan
21		 Tarleton St. D+ C- A+ F D- 49% 8% 44% A D+ C- C+ C- C+ A+ D- A+ B- D B A+ C+ 52% 34% 14% C C+ D+ A+ A- A+ F+ F F
1.05 58% 100% 24% -2 +2 1.03 31% 1.1 .35 21% .66 69% .45 0.95 61% 33% 17% -4 -1 0.93 34% 0.6 .22 27% .39 95% .36
Jan
29		 Southern Utah C- C- F A- D 53% 18% 29% B+ D+ A+ F B F+ A+ C+ A+ A A+ F+ A A 27% 43% 31% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D F A- F
1.14 56% 22% 40% -1 +1 1.02 51% 0.7 .37 17% .38 73% .27 0.87 31% 43% 27% -9 -4 0.78 20% 0.8 .15 17% .45 65% .29
Jan
31		 California Baptist D+ F A- F+ D 32% 25% 42% D D A- F C- D+ C A B D C- D+ C D 36% 34% 30% A+ C- A+ F D+ F F B- F
0.99 42% 47% 28% -7 -1 0.86 34% 0.7 .23 17% .32 81% .26 1.11 56% 41% 33% 0 -2 0.98 28% 1.4 .38 13% .53 69% .37
Feb
5		 Utah Tech C D B F F 46% 18% 36% C+ F+ C A+ A A F F F C- B D+ F+ C+ 48% 21% 31% C- C+ D- F F F F+ B D
1.10 55% 42% 21% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.4 .47 10% .16 64% .10 1.14 54% 42% 39% +1 +1 1.05 33% 1.2 .39 12% .30 70% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Utah Valley C C A+ F B+ 55% 24% 21% C+ B+ B+ F D- F A+ D A+ F A F F F 37% 12% 51% B F F+ D- F D- F F F
1.02 56% 88% 14% +4 +1 1.12 36% 0.6 .23 25% .64 68% .43 1.38 47% 60% 52% +13 +1 1.29 42% 1.2 .50 17% .45 91% .41
Feb
12		 Abilene Christian D- B+ A+ B+ B+ 63% 23% 14% B- B+ F+ A- D+ F A- F+ C+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 27% 33% C+ A+ D+ F F F+ C- D D+
0.94 68% 50% 40% +10 +1 1.26 19% 1.3 .24 33% .51 65% .33 1.00 47% 23% 25% -13 -1 0.75 33% 1.1 .38 16% .36 75% .27
Feb
14		 Southern Utah D- F A+ C F+ 45% 26% 30% C- D- C- F+ D C A+ D+ A+ D D+ F D- F 36% 29% 36% A- F F+ B+ C- A- F B- F
1.05 38% 58% 36% -3 0 0.96 29% 0.8 .24 13% .48 69% .33 1.12 63% 69% 38% +12 -1 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 23% .43 70% .30
Feb
19		 Utah Tech D- A F F F 49% 21% 30% C F A C A- F C F D- A+ A- F+ A+ A+ 13% 33% 54% A+ A+ A A A B- C F D+
1.03 74% 0% 14% -9 +1 0.85 43% 1.1 .46 20% .28 57% .16 0.82 50% 47% 20% -10 -3 0.76 20% 0.7 .14 18% .24 83% .20
Feb
21		 Utah Valley F F+ F+ F F 46% 22% 33% C F C+ F F F A+ F A A- A A+ A+ A+ 60% 18% 22% C- A+ F A- D- D F A+ D
0.81 48% 30% 27% -10 0 0.83 31% 0.5 .14 26% .54 59% .32 0.99 48% 25% 10% -16 +2 0.73 51% 0.9 .47 18% .40 59% .24
Feb
26		 California Baptist D- F A+ F F 45% 27% 27% C- F B C B- C+ D+ D D C B- C- F F+ 33% 31% 35% A+ D A+ F C D- A C- A
0.89 35% 50% 7% -18 0 0.65 32% 0.9 .29 14% .30 69% .20 1.08 50% 40% 41% +2 -2 1.02 27% 1.2 .33 14% .20 73% .15
Mar
5		 Tarleton St. C B- D+ F F 29% 21% 50% D+ F B A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ B- A F+ A B+ 45% 28% 28% C- B D- A B- C- F A+ F
1.07 64% 38% 21% -8 -1 0.84 38% 1.4 .54 23% .60 86% .52 0.99 44% 45% 27% -7 0 0.88 36% 0.8 .28 18% .63 61% .38
Mar
7		 Abilene Christian D F F A+ F 67% 16% 16% A- F A- F+ C+ D A+ A+ A+ A B- F A+ A- 49% 19% 32% F+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F B F+ C+
0.98 41% 0% 57% -12 +3 0.84 34% 0.9 .31 24% .59 83% .49 0.87 52% 56% 13% -9 +1 0.85 18% 0.7 .12 14% .30 76% .23
Mar
12		 Southern Utah F F F F F 56% 17% 27% A- F A F C+ C- A+ A A+ A+ C F A+ A 35% 16% 49% C- A B- B B C A C+ A
0.97 38% 22% 21% -19 +2 0.67 41% 0.8 .33 14% .37 78% .29 0.88 58% 56% 19% -9 0 0.85 27% 0.9 .24 20% .17 70% .12
Mar
13		 Utah Valley C A- F+ F+ B- 58% 25% 18% C+ B- D+ D- D B A+ D- A B- B F B- C 32% 22% 46% A+ B- B+ C- B- C+ F A- F
1.04 65% 30% 29% +1 +1 1.05 27% 0.9 .24 18% .47 67% .31 1.07 54% 56% 32% +1 -1 1.02 31% 1.1 .34 21% .53 62% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%