UT Rio Grande Valley
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#207
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#247
Pace72.5#101
Improvement-1.0#251

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#256
First Shot-3.0#261
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#203
Layup/Dunks-0.2#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#77
Freethrows-2.6#313
Improvement-3.2#358

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#157
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#137
Layups/Dunks+1.5#124
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#223
Freethrows-1.6#283
Improvement+2.2#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 5.0% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 34.5% 48.5% 24.8%
.500 or above in Conference 55.5% 70.2% 45.3%
Conference Champion 2.3% 4.1% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 2.6% 9.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round3.4% 4.9% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lamar (Away) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 32 @Baylor L 81-96 5%     0 - 1 +1.3 +5.0 -2.2
  Sat, Nov 8 316 @Southern Utah W 95-72 62%     1 - 1 +16.8 +15.5 +0.3
  Tue, Nov 11 47 @Boise St. L 65-85 6%     1 - 2 -5.9 -3.9 -0.5
  Sat, Nov 22 251 @Missouri St. L 67-74 46%     1 - 3 -9.1 +0.7 -10.5
  Mon, Nov 24 14 @Illinois L 73-87 2%     1 - 4 +6.8 +7.6 -0.9
  Wed, Dec 3 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 60-73 24%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -8.6 -8.2 -0.6
  Sun, Dec 7 192 Austin Peay W 63-50 58%     2 - 5 +7.9 -8.9 +16.9
  Thu, Dec 11 176 Texas Arlington L 50-58 54%     2 - 6 -12.1 -11.9 -1.9
  Tue, Dec 16 223 @Lamar L 66-68 41%    
  Mon, Dec 29 247 New Orleans W 79-74 67%    
  Wed, Dec 31 259 Nicholls St. W 75-70 69%    
  Sat, Jan 3 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-68 61%    
  Mon, Jan 5 191 Incarnate Word W 74-72 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 303 @East Texas A&M W 74-72 57%    
  Mon, Jan 12 273 @Northwestern St. L 71-72 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 70 McNeese St. L 67-75 23%    
  Mon, Jan 19 258 SE Louisiana W 72-67 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 274 @Houston Christian L 71-72 49%    
  Mon, Jan 26 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Jan 31 191 @Incarnate Word L 71-75 36%    
  Mon, Feb 2 274 Houston Christian W 74-68 70%    
  Sat, Feb 7 247 @New Orleans L 76-77 45%    
  Mon, Feb 9 259 @Nicholls St. L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 140 Stephen F. Austin L 71-72 45%    
  Mon, Feb 16 223 Lamar W 69-65 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 258 @SE Louisiana L 69-70 47%    
  Mon, Feb 23 70 @McNeese St. L 64-78 11%    
  Sat, Feb 28 303 East Texas A&M W 77-69 75%    
  Mon, Mar 2 273 Northwestern St. W 75-69 69%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 11 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.7 2.7 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.4 4.3 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.3 4.7 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.3 4.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.0 6.1 8.1 10.3 11.7 12.3 11.7 10.5 8.2 5.8 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
19-3 88.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-4 60.6% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
17-5 32.6% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
16-6 12.8% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 3.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.1% 24.0% 24.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.3% 31.0% 31.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-4 0.8% 22.1% 22.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
17-5 2.0% 14.7% 14.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.7
16-6 3.8% 15.7% 15.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.2
15-7 5.8% 11.3% 11.3% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 5.2
14-8 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 7.6
13-9 10.5% 4.3% 4.3% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 10.0
12-10 11.7% 2.2% 2.2% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.5
11-11 12.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.1
10-12 11.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.5
9-13 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.3
8-14 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.1
7-15 6.1% 6.1
6-16 4.0% 4.0
5-17 2.3% 2.3
4-18 1.2% 1.2
3-19 0.5% 0.5
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 0.6 96.5 0.0%