Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +6.8 #84
Expected Predictive Rating +10.3 #57
Pace 68.9 #177
Improvement -2.2 #286

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #96 C+ C+ B- B A-
Defense #73 B- C+ B D+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #25 1.11 #234 +3.0 #82
2 Pt. Jumpers 9% #354 0.73 #217 -4.6 #355
Three Pointers 46% #86 1.08 #90 +3.9 #59
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #116 +2.3 #116
Freethrows 0.35 #38 73% #172 0.26 #49
Second Chance 35.3% #53 1.00 #230 0.35 #105
Turnovers 15.0% #98
Total Offense +3.1 #96

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #214 1.13 #144 +1.0 #139
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #20 0.73 #126 -2.4 #337
Three Pointers 34% #342 0.94 #79 +4.7 #22
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #70 +3.3 #70
Freethrows 0.33 #267 75% #321 0.25 #291
Second Chance 27.4% #74 1.07 #228 0.29 #112
Turnovers 18.9% #51
Total Defense +3.7 #73

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 4.0% #9 -2.0% #42
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.5% #170 -4.6% #92
Possession Length 16.9 #133 17.6 #225
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #110 0.11 #26
Improvement -1.8 #279 -0.4 #219

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.1% 17.3% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.1% 17.2% 7.4%
Average Seed 10.3 10.2 10.4
.500 or above 96.2% 99.4% 93.3%
.500 or above in Conference 23.7% 35.6% 12.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 0.7% 5.9%
First Four6.2% 8.2% 4.3%
First Round8.1% 12.0% 4.5%
Second Round2.1% 3.0% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 47.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 34 - 6
Quad 24 - 39 - 10
Quad 35 - 414 - 13
Quad 45 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 148 Portland St. W 89 - 79 81% +6  1 - 0 +8 +7 B- B+ D- -1 F A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 161 Montana W 91 - 68 82% +11  2 - 0 +20 +11 B- C- A+ +7 A D- A+
 Wed, Nov 12 155 Montana St. W 77 - 68 82% +4  3 - 0 +6 -2 C- C C- +8 C+ B A+
 Tue, Nov 18 314 Louisiana W 93 - 66 95% +12  4 - 0 +15 +15 B C- B+ -1 D B- B
 Fri, Nov 21 124 Seattle L 69 - 77 77% +2  4 - 1 -9 -1 D C A+ -8 C D B+
 Thu, Nov 27 72 Minnesota W 72 - 68 46% +1  5 - 1 +12 +11 D A+ A+ +2 D+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 28 26 Saint Louis W 78 - 77 21% -6  6 - 1 +16 +11 B C+ B +6 A+ D- D+
 Mon, Dec 1 218 Portland W 94 - 72 89% +14  7 - 1 +16 +20 A A+ A+ -4 D- C A+
 Sun, Dec 7 125 UNLV L 74 - 75 77% +2  7 - 2 -2 -2 F A+ D- +0 C+ B B
 Sat, Dec 13 249 @San Jose St. W 86 - 82 79% +8  8 - 2 +2 +12 A+ A+ F -10 C F F
 Wed, Dec 17 157 Texas Arlington W 76 - 60 82% +12  9 - 2 +13 +8 A- B- C- +6 C A+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 80 Colorado W 77 - 68 49% +3  10 - 2 +16 +5 D+ B B+ +11 B+ C+ A+
 Sat, Dec 27 217 Cal St. Northridge W 88 - 80 89% +1  11 - 2 +2 +6 A+ F D+ -5 D+ A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 81 Notre Dame L 40 - 47 60% -5  11 - 3 0 - 1 -3 -22 F F A- +18 A+ B- A
 Fri, Jan 2 19 Louisville W 80 - 76 23% +3  12 - 3 1 - 1 +18 +20 A A+ A- -1 A+ F B
 Wed, Jan 7 59 @Virginia Tech W 69 - 68 29% -5  13 - 3 2 - 1 +13 +14 A- B A+ -0 B A C
 Sat, Jan 10 22 @Virginia L 55 - 70 12% -6  13 - 4 2 - 2 +5 -4 C F F +7 B+ A C
 Wed, Jan 14 28 North Carolina W 95 - 90 31% -5  14 - 4 3 - 2 +17 +22 A+ F A- -5 C- D+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 3 Duke L 50 - 80 10% -15  14 - 5 3 - 3 -9 -7 D A- F -6 B F C
 Sat, Jan 24 69 California L 66 - 78 56% -1  14 - 6 3 - 4 -7 -4 F D A+ -2 C+ C+ C
 Wed, Jan 28 40 @Miami (FL) L 70 - 79 19% -1  14 - 7 3 - 5 +7 +8 C+ A- D+ -2 C B D+
 Sat, Jan 31 105 @Florida St. L 78 - 79 48%
 Wed, Feb 4 32 Clemson L 67 - 71 34%
 Sat, Feb 7 111 Georgia Tech W 78 - 72 73%
 Wed, Feb 11 132 @Boston College W 70 - 68 58%
 Sat, Feb 14 68 @Wake Forest L 73 - 78 33%
 Sat, Feb 21 69 @California L 70 - 75 34%
 Wed, Feb 25 92 Pittsburgh W 74 - 70 65%
 Sat, Feb 28 37 SMU L 76 - 80 35%
 Wed, Mar 4 81 @Notre Dame L 69 - 72 38%
 Sat, Mar 7 24 @North Carolina St. L 70 - 82 13%
Totals 18 - 13 7 - 11 +7 +3 C+ C+ B- +4 B- C+ B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.5 0.4 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.8 2.3 0.1 8.1 8th
9th 0.5 6.1 6.0 0.5 0.0 13.1 9th
10th 0.1 3.6 8.9 2.1 0.0 14.7 10th
11th 1.1 9.2 4.3 0.2 14.8 11th
12th 0.1 4.7 7.4 0.7 0.0 12.9 12th
13th 0.8 7.7 2.0 0.0 10.6 13th
14th 0.0 2.8 4.0 0.2 7.1 14th
15th 0.3 3.8 0.8 0.0 5.0 15th
16th 0.0 1.1 1.9 0.1 3.1 16th
17th 0.1 1.4 0.4 2.0 17th
18th 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 18th
Total 0.6 3.3 9.9 18.5 23.0 21.1 14.5 6.6 2.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 88.4% 1.2% 87.2% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 88.2%
11-7 2.1% 75.1% 0.2% 74.8% 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.5 75.0%
10-8 6.6% 48.2% 0.4% 47.8% 10.2 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.2 3.4 48.0%
9-9 14.5% 29.1% 29.1% 10.5 0.3 1.5 2.4 0.0 10.3 29.1%
8-10 21.1% 10.3% 10.3% 10.8 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.0 18.9 10.3%
7-11 23.0% 2.1% 2.1% 10.9 0.0 0.4 0.0 22.5 2.1%
6-12 18.5% 0.2% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 18.5 0.2%
5-13 9.9% 9.9
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.1% 0.0% 12.1% 10.3 87.9 12.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%