Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#228
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#185
Pace74.3#57
Improvement-1.8#304

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#236
First Shot-3.8#284
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#105
Layup/Dunks+1.6#116
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.8#355
Freethrows+3.2#30
Improvement-2.2#330

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#215
First Shot-1.0#213
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#209
Layups/Dunks-2.6#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#54
Freethrows-1.8#295
Improvement+0.4#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 6.1% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.2 14.6
.500 or above 17.9% 45.5% 17.8%
.500 or above in Conference 38.6% 55.6% 38.6%
Conference Champion 1.8% 10.1% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 10.2% 6.1% 10.2%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round2.2% 6.1% 2.1%
Second Round0.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 49 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 40 @Wisconsin L 64-96 5%     0 - 1 -17.1 -3.1 -13.5
  Thu, Nov 6 64 @West Virginia L 65-73 8%     0 - 2 +3.6 +1.1 +2.3
  Sun, Nov 9 253 Western Michigan W 91-82 66%     1 - 2 +0.9 +1.6 -1.9
  Wed, Nov 19 212 @Weber St. L 85-91 36%     1 - 3 -6.3 +7.9 -13.8
  Fri, Nov 21 176 Texas Arlington W 71-67 39%     2 - 3 +2.9 -3.3 +6.0
  Tue, Nov 25 42 @Wake Forest L 51-99 5%     2 - 4 -33.3 -16.3 -15.7
  Tue, Dec 2 103 @Penn St. L 76-87 15%     2 - 5 -3.8 +0.8 -4.2
  Sun, Dec 14 306 Ball St. W 69-64 76%     3 - 5 -6.1 -7.4 +1.3
  Wed, Dec 17 5 @Gonzaga L 65-94 0.3%   
  Sun, Dec 21 96 @Minnesota L 64-76 12%    
  Tue, Dec 23 276 Green Bay W 76-71 69%    
  Mon, Dec 29 114 @Hofstra L 68-78 17%    
  Wed, Dec 31 220 @Monmouth L 73-76 38%    
  Sat, Jan 3 209 Northeastern W 76-74 59%    
  Thu, Jan 8 229 Hampton W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 190 @Elon L 77-82 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 108 @UNC Wilmington L 68-79 17%    
  Thu, Jan 22 170 @College of Charleston L 72-78 29%    
  Sat, Jan 24 220 Monmouth W 76-73 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 197 Stony Brook W 74-72 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 121 @William & Mary L 78-88 18%    
  Thu, Feb 5 272 Drexel W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 310 @N.C. A&T W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 170 College of Charleston L 74-75 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 121 William & Mary L 81-85 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 108 UNC Wilmington L 71-76 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 272 @Drexel L 71-72 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 139 @Towson L 66-74 23%    
  Tue, Mar 3 310 N.C. A&T W 80-72 76%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.0 0.6 0.1 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.9 1.0 0.1 6.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 4.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.1 2.6 0.3 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.9 4.0 0.5 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.3 1.2 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.6 2.1 0.1 10.9 9th
10th 0.2 1.8 5.1 2.9 0.2 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 2.5 0.6 0.0 7.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.5 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.5 6.3 9.0 12.2 14.1 14.4 12.8 10.2 7.0 4.6 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 83.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 51.7% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.5% 19.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 24.6% 24.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.1% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.3% 10.9% 10.9% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1
12-6 4.6% 8.9% 8.9% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.2
11-7 7.0% 6.6% 6.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 6.5
10-8 10.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 9.9
9-9 12.8% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.6
8-10 14.4% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.2
7-11 14.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 14.0
6-12 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.1
5-13 9.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.0
4-14 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-15 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.5 97.7 0.0%