Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#212
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#232
Pace72.3#110
Improvement-1.7#300

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#217
First Shot-1.1#204
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#228
Layup/Dunks+3.7#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#296
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement-2.4#337

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#223
First Shot-1.8#235
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#162
Layups/Dunks-3.3#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#92
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement+0.7#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 9.7% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 37.4% 60.1% 34.7%
.500 or above in Conference 49.8% 61.3% 48.4%
Conference Champion 7.3% 11.9% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 11.8% 8.1% 12.3%
First Four1.3% 0.5% 1.4%
First Round6.4% 9.6% 6.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Away) - 10.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 411 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 120 @Utah L 89-92 OT 19%     0 - 1 +3.1 +1.4 +2.2
  Wed, Nov 12 46 @Utah St. L 73-83 6%     0 - 2 +4.3 +5.3 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 15 122 @UC Irvine L 70-79 19%     0 - 3 -3.1 -1.3 -0.9
  Wed, Nov 19 228 Campbell W 91-85 64%     1 - 3 -0.9 +10.7 -11.9
  Sat, Nov 22 176 Texas Arlington L 73-74 53%     1 - 4 -5.1 +4.4 -9.6
  Sat, Nov 29 346 UMKC W 82-61 86%     2 - 4 +6.1 +6.7 -0.1
  Wed, Dec 3 300 Oral Roberts W 92-66 76%     3 - 4 +15.2 +7.5 +6.4
  Sun, Dec 7 135 @St. Thomas L 65-88 22%     3 - 5 -18.3 -6.1 -12.1
  Wed, Dec 10 346 @UMKC W 64-60 71%     4 - 5 -4.9 -13.7 +8.6
  Wed, Dec 17 84 @Utah Valley L 67-80 11%    
  Sat, Dec 20 264 Utah Tech W 76-71 69%    
  Thu, Jan 1 177 Portland St. W 73-72 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 279 Sacramento St. W 81-75 71%    
  Thu, Jan 8 270 @Northern Arizona L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 154 @Northern Colorado L 73-80 27%    
  Thu, Jan 15 241 Eastern Washington W 82-78 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 172 Idaho W 76-75 52%    
  Thu, Jan 22 205 @Montana L 77-80 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 174 @Montana St. L 69-74 31%    
  Sat, Jan 31 163 Idaho St. L 70-71 49%    
  Mon, Feb 2 279 @Sacramento St. W 78-77 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 154 Northern Colorado L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 270 Northern Arizona W 76-70 69%    
  Thu, Feb 12 172 @Idaho L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Feb 14 241 @Eastern Washington L 79-81 44%    
  Thu, Feb 19 174 Montana St. W 72-71 52%    
  Sat, Feb 21 205 Montana W 80-77 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 163 @Idaho St. L 68-74 30%    
  Mon, Mar 2 177 @Portland St. L 70-75 33%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.3 1st
2nd 0.4 2.7 3.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 5.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 6.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.3 3.3 0.2 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.3 4.1 0.4 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.5 4.0 0.7 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.3 6.7 10.0 12.2 13.8 13.5 11.4 9.9 6.7 4.3 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 92.6% 1.0    0.9 0.1 0.0
14-4 79.2% 1.9    1.4 0.5 0.1
13-5 51.5% 2.2    1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 20.9% 1.4    0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 40.7% 40.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 33.6% 33.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 23.8% 23.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.4% 24.7% 24.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.8
13-5 4.3% 17.0% 17.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.6
12-6 6.7% 14.9% 14.9% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 5.7
11-7 9.9% 11.3% 11.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 8.8
10-8 11.4% 8.9% 8.9% 15.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 10.4
9-9 13.5% 7.0% 7.0% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 12.6
8-10 13.8% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.1 0.5 13.3
7-11 12.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 11.9
6-12 10.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.8
5-13 6.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.6
4-14 4.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.7 2.3 93.1 0.0%