Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#321
Expected Predictive Rating-12.9#336
Pace73.2#78
Improvement+0.0#172

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#324
First Shot-5.1#317
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#217
Layup/Dunks+0.5#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#340
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement-1.0#264

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#308
First Shot-2.4#254
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#295
Layups/Dunks+1.9#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#303
Freethrows-2.8#331
Improvement+1.0#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.0% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 10.4% 17.6% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 45.2% 52.6% 40.3%
Conference Champion 3.5% 4.9% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.1% 2.1%
First Four3.8% 4.3% 3.5%
First Round2.2% 2.8% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Abilene Christian (Home) - 39.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 410 - 1010 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 5 @Gonzaga L 43-98 0.5%    0 - 1 -30.2 -19.7 -8.6
  Thu, Nov 6 45 @Texas A&M L 70-104 2%     0 - 2 -19.8 -3.4 -13.3
  Wed, Nov 12 232 Samford L 90-93 OT 41%     0 - 3 -10.1 +3.7 -13.6
  Sat, Nov 15 260 @Texas St. L 67-77 25%     0 - 4 -12.5 -6.5 -5.8
  Thu, Nov 20 10 @Vanderbilt L 74-109 1%     0 - 5 -13.8 +5.8 -17.4
  Sat, Dec 6 117 Sam Houston St. L 70-82 18%     0 - 6 -11.7 -12.0 +1.7
  Sun, Dec 14 96 @Minnesota L 53-89 6%     0 - 7 -27.8 -15.1 -12.9
  Wed, Dec 17 29 @North Carolina St. L 72-108 1%     0 - 8 -18.7 +4.4 -22.5
  Mon, Dec 22 223 Abilene Christian L 69-72 40%    
  Sat, Jan 3 203 @Southern L 73-83 19%    
  Mon, Jan 5 282 @Grambling St. L 68-74 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-76 72%    
  Mon, Jan 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 82-66 93%    
  Sat, Jan 17 333 @Alcorn St. L 75-77 42%    
  Mon, Jan 19 317 @Jackson St. L 71-74 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 280 Alabama A&M L 71-72 50%    
  Mon, Jan 26 278 Alabama St. L 76-77 50%    
  Sat, Jan 31 324 @Prairie View L 76-79 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 334 @Florida A&M L 74-76 43%    
  Mon, Feb 9 259 @Bethune-Cookman L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 282 Grambling St. L 70-71 50%    
  Mon, Feb 16 203 Southern L 76-80 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-78 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 365 @Mississippi Valley W 79-69 82%    
  Thu, Feb 26 333 Alcorn St. W 78-74 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 317 Jackson St. W 74-71 59%    
  Thu, Mar 5 324 Prairie View W 79-76 61%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.2 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.4 3.8 4.3 0.7 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 5.7 1.5 0.1 10.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 6.0 2.9 0.2 11.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.9 4.5 0.4 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.4 5.1 1.0 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.0 4.2 1.5 0.1 11.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.1 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.5 7.8 11.0 13.4 14.7 13.7 11.6 8.7 5.8 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.8% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 95.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 68.5% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.1
13-5 34.9% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 10.2% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 27.1% 27.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 23.8% 23.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5
14-4 1.5% 18.1% 18.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.2
13-5 3.2% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.7
12-6 5.8% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 5.1
11-7 8.7% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.7 8.0
10-8 11.6% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.8 10.8
9-9 13.7% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.7 13.0
8-10 14.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 14.4
7-11 13.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.4
6-12 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 7.8% 7.8
4-14 4.5% 4.5
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.1 95.8 0.0%