Preseason Rankings
UMKC
Summit League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#301
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.4#330
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#231
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 7.5% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.8 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 18.7% 38.4% 15.8%
.500 or above in Conference 36.5% 52.1% 34.1%
Conference Champion 4.1% 8.3% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 19.0% 11.5% 20.1%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
First Round4.0% 7.3% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Illinois (Away) - 12.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2025 141   @ Southern Illinois L 60-72 13%    
  Nov 11, 2025 199   Iona L 65-67 41%    
  Nov 15, 2025 36   @ Texas L 54-78 2%    
  Nov 19, 2025 55   @ TCU L 54-74 3%    
  Nov 24, 2025 327   @ Lindenwood L 66-67 47%    
  Nov 29, 2025 279   @ Weber St. L 62-66 36%    
  Dec 03, 2025 282   Idaho St. W 65-63 57%    
  Dec 06, 2025 247   @ Eastern Washington L 64-70 31%    
  Dec 10, 2025 279   Weber St. W 65-63 56%    
  Dec 16, 2025 47   @ Oklahoma L 57-79 3%    
  Dec 18, 2025 73   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-79 6%    
  Dec 21, 2025 276   Austin Peay W 66-64 55%    
  Dec 31, 2025 321   @ Denver L 65-66 46%    
  Jan 03, 2026 182   @ Nebraska Omaha L 63-72 22%    
  Jan 08, 2026 208   North Dakota St. L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 10, 2026 315   North Dakota W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 15, 2026 294   @ South Dakota L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 17, 2026 151   @ South Dakota St. L 63-74 18%    
  Jan 24, 2026 182   Nebraska Omaha L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 28, 2026 321   Denver W 68-63 66%    
  Feb 01, 2026 148   @ St. Thomas L 62-73 18%    
  Feb 04, 2026 294   South Dakota W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 12, 2026 310   @ Oral Roberts L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 14, 2026 148   St. Thomas L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 19, 2026 315   @ North Dakota L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 21, 2026 208   @ North Dakota St. L 61-69 26%    
  Feb 26, 2026 151   South Dakota St. L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 28, 2026 310   Oral Roberts W 69-65 61%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 9.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.2 4.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 5.6 4.4 1.1 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.3 5.0 0.8 0.0 14.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.1 4.1 0.7 0.0 14.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.8 5.4 3.0 0.6 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.7 2.3 3.9 3.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 12.2 9th
Total 0.7 2.3 4.9 7.8 10.3 11.9 13.0 12.7 10.2 9.3 7.1 4.8 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 96.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
13-3 79.8% 1.1    0.7 0.3 0.0
12-4 42.2% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 14.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
10-6 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 36.8% 36.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 44.3% 44.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 30.2% 30.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.4% 28.8% 28.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-4 2.8% 19.1% 19.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.3
11-5 4.8% 14.3% 14.3% 16.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 4.1
10-6 7.1% 9.6% 9.6% 18.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 6.4
9-7 9.3% 5.7% 5.7% 19.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 8.8
8-8 10.2% 4.4% 4.4% 17.6 0.1 0.4 9.8
7-9 12.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 12.4
6-10 13.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.7
5-11 11.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.8
4-12 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.3
3-13 7.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.7
2-14 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.9
1-15 2.3% 2.3
0-16 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 16.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.4 95.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%