Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#44
Expected Predictive Rating+13.0#41
Pace69.2#193
Improvement+0.8#123

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#26
First Shot+4.1#74
After Offensive Rebound+4.4#10
Layup/Dunks+2.6#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#115
Freethrows-0.2#197
Improvement-2.0#318

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#86
First Shot+1.9#114
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#120
Layups/Dunks+1.9#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#295
Freethrows+1.7#80
Improvement+2.8#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.7% 2.7% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 11.2% 11.3% 2.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49.3% 49.5% 22.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 48.4% 48.6% 22.3%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 8.5
.500 or above 81.1% 81.4% 48.1%
.500 or above in Conference 41.3% 41.4% 21.7%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.1% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 7.5% 20.3%
First Four6.6% 6.6% 3.3%
First Round45.9% 46.1% 21.2%
Second Round24.7% 24.8% 7.1%
Sweet Sixteen6.6% 6.6% 1.9%
Elite Eight2.1% 2.1% 0.9%
Final Four0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 99.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 46 - 11
Quad 25 - 310 - 14
Quad 31 - 012 - 14
Quad 47 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 363 St. Francis (PA) W 102-66 99%     1 - 0 +17.5 +16.4 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 8 5 @Gonzaga L 68-83 11%     1 - 1 +9.7 +3.0 +7.5
  Tue, Nov 11 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 95-69 99%     2 - 1 +10.3 +16.1 -5.6
  Sat, Nov 15 25 Nebraska L 99-105 36%     2 - 2 +8.9 +30.3 -21.3
  Thu, Nov 20 300 Oral Roberts W 95-71 97%     3 - 2 +13.2 +14.6 -1.5
  Sun, Nov 23 330 Alcorn St. W 72-53 98%     4 - 2 +5.6 -5.3 +11.3
  Fri, Nov 28 88 Marquette W 75-74 70%     5 - 2 +6.9 +14.1 -7.1
  Tue, Dec 2 42 @Wake Forest W 86-68 37%     6 - 2 +32.7 +17.4 +14.8
  Sat, Dec 6 61 Arizona St. L 70-86 59%     6 - 3 -6.9 -2.2 -4.0
  Sat, Dec 13 53 Oklahoma St. W 85-76 54%     7 - 3 +19.3 +13.5 +5.6
  Tue, Dec 16 346 UMKC W 88-62 99%    
  Mon, Dec 22 347 Stetson W 89-63 99%    
  Mon, Dec 29 365 Mississippi Valley W 93-56 100.0%   
  Sat, Jan 3 60 Mississippi W 77-72 68%    
  Wed, Jan 7 80 @Mississippi St. W 78-77 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 45 @Texas A&M L 80-83 39%    
  Tue, Jan 13 13 Florida L 77-81 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 15 Alabama L 86-89 38%    
  Tue, Jan 20 87 @South Carolina W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Jan 24 48 @Missouri L 78-81 40%    
  Tue, Jan 27 21 Arkansas L 79-80 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 41 Texas W 79-77 59%    
  Wed, Feb 4 22 @Kentucky L 75-82 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 11 @Vanderbilt L 77-87 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 19 Georgia L 84-86 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 18 @Tennessee L 71-79 24%    
  Sat, Feb 21 45 Texas A&M W 83-80 60%    
  Tue, Feb 24 28 Auburn L 79-80 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 34 @LSU L 75-80 34%    
  Tue, Mar 3 48 Missouri W 81-78 61%    
  Sat, Mar 7 41 @Texas L 76-80 37%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 1.5 0.2 4.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 2.8 0.4 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.6 1.3 0.0 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.4 3.1 0.2 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 2.0 4.6 1.0 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.4 2.8 0.1 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.8 4.9 0.7 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.8 2.1 0.1 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.7 0.4 0.0 9.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.2 1.2 0.0 8.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 1.9 0.1 7.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.0 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.9 16th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.7 8.8 11.9 13.4 14.1 12.7 10.4 8.0 5.1 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 81.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 55.4% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 20.9% 79.1% 2.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.5% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.8% 100.0% 9.4% 90.6% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 5.1% 99.7% 7.0% 92.7% 6.2 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
11-7 8.0% 98.7% 3.3% 95.4% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.1 98.7%
10-8 10.4% 95.0% 1.9% 93.1% 8.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.5 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.5 94.9%
9-9 12.7% 83.8% 1.1% 82.6% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.5 2.5 0.6 0.0 2.1 83.6%
8-10 14.1% 54.0% 0.7% 53.3% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.7 2.9 0.1 6.5 53.7%
7-11 13.4% 20.0% 0.3% 19.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 0.1 10.7 19.7%
6-12 11.9% 2.8% 0.1% 2.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.6 2.7%
5-13 8.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 8.8 0.1%
4-14 5.7% 5.7
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 49.3% 1.7% 47.5% 8.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.4 5.2 7.8 9.6 8.0 6.7 5.7 0.2 50.7 48.4%