Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#171
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#138
Pace76.2#36
Improvement-2.9#336

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#177
First Shot+2.2#117
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#335
Layup/Dunks+0.2#169
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#97
Freethrows-0.9#238
Improvement-2.6#342

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#185
First Shot+0.8#137
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#284
Layups/Dunks-3.2#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#177
Freethrows+3.2#24
Improvement-0.3#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.3% 20.9% 16.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 98.9% 99.7% 98.4%
.500 or above in Conference 96.4% 97.6% 95.6%
Conference Champion 19.8% 23.2% 17.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.5% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round18.1% 20.8% 16.2%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 41.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 34 - 6
Quad 418 - 523 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 114 Hofstra W 81-73 45%     1 - 0 +8.3 +3.5 +4.3
  Tue, Nov 11 346 @UMKC W 105-91 78%     2 - 0 +5.1 +11.2 -8.7
  Fri, Nov 14 196 Fordham W 76-71 67%     3 - 0 -0.4 +1.6 -2.0
  Tue, Nov 18 261 Princeton W 89-69 76%     4 - 0 +11.6 +5.4 +4.3
  Fri, Nov 21 65 Akron L 75-96 19%     4 - 1 -12.6 -5.9 -4.7
  Sat, Nov 22 159 Oregon St. W 91-84 2OT 46%     5 - 1 +7.2 +2.1 +3.8
  Mon, Nov 24 276 Green Bay L 75-80 69%     5 - 2 -11.1 +0.4 -11.7
  Mon, Dec 1 282 @Delaware W 89-66 60%     6 - 2 +19.5 +15.0 +4.5
  Fri, Dec 5 169 Quinnipiac L 68-89 61%     6 - 3 0 - 1 -24.8 -8.0 -15.9
  Sun, Dec 7 257 @Sacred Heart W 81-69 55%     7 - 3 1 - 1 +9.7 +4.7 +4.9
  Wed, Dec 10 297 Bryant W 69-63 81%     8 - 3 -4.4 -4.0 -0.1
  Sat, Dec 13 16 @St. John's L 64-91 3%     8 - 4 -6.7 -4.1 -0.4
  Sat, Dec 20 186 @Vermont L 74-76 42%    
  Mon, Dec 29 298 @Mount St. Mary's W 78-74 63%    
  Fri, Jan 2 165 Siena W 74-72 59%    
  Sun, Jan 4 156 @Marist L 69-73 35%    
  Fri, Jan 9 353 Niagara W 80-65 92%    
  Sun, Jan 11 340 Canisius W 77-64 89%    
  Wed, Jan 14 348 @Rider W 74-66 77%    
  Mon, Jan 19 293 @St. Peter's W 73-70 62%    
  Thu, Jan 22 271 Merrimack W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 320 Manhattan W 87-75 85%    
  Fri, Jan 30 294 Fairfield W 81-72 81%    
  Thu, Feb 5 165 @Siena L 71-75 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 298 Mount St. Mary's W 81-71 80%    
  Fri, Feb 13 340 @Canisius W 74-67 74%    
  Sun, Feb 15 353 @Niagara W 77-68 80%    
  Fri, Feb 20 293 St. Peter's W 76-67 80%    
  Sun, Feb 22 271 @Merrimack W 73-71 56%    
  Fri, Feb 27 348 Rider W 77-63 90%    
  Sun, Mar 1 320 @Manhattan W 84-78 69%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.2 6.1 5.9 3.0 0.7 19.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.1 8.2 6.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 23.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.9 7.7 4.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 20.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.8 6.2 3.1 0.6 0.0 16.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.4 0.8 0.1 5.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 2.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 4.3 7.5 11.3 15.1 16.9 16.4 13.2 7.9 3.2 0.7 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 98.6% 0.7    0.6 0.0
18-2 92.3% 3.0    2.5 0.5 0.0
17-3 74.5% 5.9    3.9 1.8 0.2 0.0
16-4 46.6% 6.1    2.6 2.8 0.7 0.0
15-5 19.7% 3.2    0.9 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-6 4.7% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.8% 19.8 10.6 6.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.7% 44.4% 44.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
18-2 3.2% 36.5% 36.5% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 2.0
17-3 7.9% 31.8% 31.8% 13.7 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.4
16-4 13.2% 27.9% 27.9% 14.1 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.1 0.0 9.5
15-5 16.4% 21.5% 21.5% 14.5 0.2 1.5 1.7 0.2 12.8
14-6 16.9% 18.1% 18.1% 14.8 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.4 13.8
13-7 15.1% 14.5% 14.5% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 12.9
12-8 11.3% 10.1% 10.1% 15.3 0.1 0.6 0.5 10.2
11-9 7.5% 5.9% 5.9% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.0
10-10 4.3% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.1
9-11 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.1
8-12 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
7-13 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.3% 18.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.4 6.9 2.1 81.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.8 3.9 19.6 66.7 9.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%