Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.7 #225
Expected Predictive Rating -0.8 #179
Pace 73.9 #58
Improvement -6.2 #363

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #277 C D C- D- C
Defense #162 C+ D+ C- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #261 1.11 #239 -2.6 #274
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #234 0.76 #167 -0.9 #228
Three Pointers 47% #71 1.04 #159 +3.4 #73
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #184 -0.1 #178
Freethrows 0.25 #323 68% #314 0.17 #336
Second Chance 23.1% #345 1.05 #169 0.24 #330
Turnovers 17.1% #223
Total Offense -3.8 #277

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #92 1.18 #210 -2.6 #266
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #231 0.64 #26 +1.2 #101
Three Pointers 39% #235 0.96 #95 +2.1 #107
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #140 +0.7 #158
Freethrows 0.27 #73 69% #52 0.19 #61
Second Chance 33.7% #305 1.05 #192 0.35 #268
Turnovers 15.7% #220
Total Defense +0.1 #162

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #169 1.0% #260
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.9% #187 -3.4% #117
Possession Length 17.2 #159 16.4 #42
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #187 0.21 #302
Improvement -6.0 #362 -0.3 #213

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 8.9% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 99.7% 99.9% 99.3%
.500 or above in Conference 91.7% 95.8% 82.2%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.3% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round7.8% 8.8% 5.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 69.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 44 - 6
Quad 416 - 621 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 129 Hofstra W 81 - 73 40% +14  1 - 0 +7 +0 B- D+ F +6 C B+ A-
 Tue, Nov 11 355 @UMKC W 105 - 91 76% +9  2 - 0 +3 +9 A+ F+ F -9 D F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 195 Fordham W 76 - 71 55% -0  3 - 0 -0 +3 A F A -3 A F D+
 Tue, Nov 18 212 Princeton W 89 - 69 59% +18  4 - 0 +14 +6 A- C- C- +6 A- A+ C
 Fri, Nov 21 62 Akron L 75 - 96 12% -18  4 - 1 -12 -4 D C F -6 D C C
 Sat, Nov 22 182 Oregon St. W 91 - 84 2OT 42% -5  5 - 1 +5 +0 C D C- +4 C A+ C-
 Mon, Nov 24 244 Green Bay L 75 - 80 53% +0  5 - 2 -10 -1 D+ C C+ -9 A F F
 Mon, Dec 1 278 @Delaware W 89 - 66 50% +7  6 - 2 +19 +15 A+ F C +4 C+ C- C-
 Fri, Dec 5 176 Quinnipiac L 68 - 89 52% -7  6 - 3 0 - 1 -25 -9 F C+ C -16 D F C
 Sun, Dec 7 277 @Sacred Heart W 81 - 69 50% +4  7 - 3 1 - 1 +8 +3 D C- C +5 D- B- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 344 Bryant W 69 - 63 85% +5  8 - 3 -9 -6 D D B- -3 F B- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 18 @St. John's L 64 - 91 2% -8  8 - 4 -7 -4 D- C- B+ +0 F B- A+
 Sat, Dec 20 198 @Vermont W 83 - 78 34% +0  9 - 4 +5 +11 C+ A- A- -6 C+ C F
 Mon, Dec 29 286 @Mount St. Mary's L 59 - 66 52% +2  9 - 5 1 - 2 -11 -17 F D+ F +6 C+ B+ C+
 Fri, Jan 2 173 Siena W 75 - 72 51% +4  10 - 5 2 - 2 -1 -1 A+ F F +0 B- B+ F+
 Sun, Jan 4 159 @Marist L 38 - 83 26% -21  10 - 6 2 - 3 -42 -28 F F F -13 C+ F F
 Fri, Jan 9 349 Niagara W 71 - 53 86% +16  11 - 6 3 - 3 +3 +2 C- D+ C +3 B+ B- F
 Sun, Jan 11 342 Canisius W 74 - 48 85% +8  12 - 6 4 - 3 +11 +7 A+ C+ F +8 A+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 352 @Rider L 68 - 72 73% -7  12 - 7 4 - 4 -14 +2 C- F+ A+ -17 F F D+
 Mon, Jan 19 226 @St. Peter's L 63 - 77 39% -3  12 - 8 4 - 5 -15 -6 F D- A+ -9 F B+ C+
 Thu, Jan 22 206 Merrimack W 61 - 60 58% +1  13 - 8 5 - 5 -5 -4 D+ F C+ -1 C F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 326 Manhattan W 66 - 57 81% +8  14 - 8 6 - 5 -4 -10 D- F D +7 A+ C B-
 Fri, Jan 30 272 Fairfield W 78 - 73 70%
 Thu, Feb 5 173 @Siena L 68 - 74 29%
 Sat, Feb 7 286 Mount St. Mary's W 76 - 69 73%
 Fri, Feb 13 342 @Canisius W 71 - 66 68%
 Sun, Feb 15 349 @Niagara W 71 - 65 70%
 Fri, Feb 20 226 St. Peter's W 71 - 68 62%
 Sun, Feb 22 206 @Merrimack L 68 - 72 35%
 Fri, Feb 27 352 Rider W 76 - 64 88%
 Sun, Mar 1 326 @Manhattan W 79 - 76 63%
Totals 20 - 11 12 - 8 -4 -4 C D C- +0 C+ D+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 1.1 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 3.3 0.4 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 5.9 2.4 0.0 9.3 3rd
4th 0.5 6.1 7.5 0.6 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 5.8 11.8 3.6 0.1 21.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 6.6 14.5 6.3 0.4 28.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 6.5 2.6 0.1 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.4 0.1 4.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.9 6.1 14.9 23.5 25.3 18.9 7.6 1.5 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 72.5% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 16.6% 1.3    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 1.5% 21.5% 21.5% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.2
14-6 7.6% 14.0% 14.0% 14.4 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.0 6.5
13-7 18.9% 12.7% 12.7% 14.8 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.2 16.5
12-8 25.3% 8.6% 8.6% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.5 23.2
11-9 23.5% 5.4% 5.4% 15.3 0.1 0.7 0.5 22.2
10-10 14.9% 3.3% 3.3% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 14.4
9-11 6.1% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.1 0.2 5.9
8-12 1.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.8
7-13 0.3% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
6-14 0.0% 0.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 14.9 92.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 13.5 6.2 40.0 49.2 4.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%