Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.4 #241
Expected Predictive Rating -8.0 #293
Pace 70.2 #143
Improvement +1.9 #95

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #185 C C D+ C C-
Defense #286 D D- C+ D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #181 1.12 #223 -0.8 #211
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #101 0.79 #122 +1.9 #85
Three Pointers 37% #261 1.10 #74 -0.4 #198
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #156 +0.6 #156
Freethrows 0.30 #211 75% #105 0.22 #174
Second Chance 30.2% #200 1.08 #134 0.32 #160
Turnovers 18.3% #294
Total Offense -0.8 #185

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #57 1.22 #261 -4.1 #310
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #283 0.92 #354 -0.1 #186
Three Pointers 39% #232 1.10 #288 -0.8 #217
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #324 -4.9 #321
Freethrows 0.32 #250 75% #330 0.24 #283
Second Chance 33.2% #289 1.18 #332 0.39 #334
Turnovers 17.3% #121
Total Defense -3.7 #286

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #253 1.6% #314
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.2% #141 8.1% #323
Possession Length 17.5 #186 17.0 #120
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #299 0.21 #309
Improvement -1.5 #258 +3.4 #27

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.3% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.1% 52.6% 24.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 1.0% 9.1%
First Four4.0% 4.5% 3.3%
First Round3.2% 3.8% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Arizona (Away) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 112 - 17
Quad 47 - 510 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 34 @UCLA L 74 - 80 3% -7  0 - 1 +11 +8 A+ D D +3 C B- D
 Wed, Nov 5 162 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 24% -1  0 - 2 -5 -7 C+ F D- +2 B F C+
 Sat, Nov 8 80 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 9% -1  0 - 3 +5 +17 A+ D B- -11 D- C D+
 Wed, Nov 12 124 @Seattle L 67 - 94 18% -15  0 - 4 -22 -1 C+ D- C+ -20 F F A
 Sun, Nov 23 219 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 35% -20  0 - 5 -27 -10 D- C+ F -17 F B- C
 Tue, Nov 25 144 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 21% -2  0 - 6 -4 +2 C D+ C+ -6 C+ D- D
 Wed, Dec 3 284 @Denver L 89 - 93 49% -0  0 - 7 -8 +9 A+ C- F -18 F A D-
 Sat, Dec 6 355 UMKC W 90 - 66 88% +15  1 - 7 +7 +4 D- A+ D +1 C F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 140 California Baptist L 83 - 88 40% -5  1 - 8 -7 +10 B A C- -17 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 17 131 Washington St. L 63 - 78 28% -12  1 - 9 -13 -12 D- F D+ -1 D C B+
 Sat, Dec 20 104 @Utah L 77 - 101 13% -11  1 - 10 -16 +5 D C C+ -21 F F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 14 @BYU L 81 - 109 2% -9  1 - 11 -6 +12 A- A C- -16 F D- C-
 Sat, Jan 3 188 @Idaho L 81 - 84 30% -2  1 - 12 0 - 1 -2 +9 D- A+ F -11 F+ F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 155 Montana St. L 64 - 68 44% +0  1 - 13 0 - 2 -7 -5 F D+ C -2 C- C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 161 Montana W 66 - 65 44% -2  2 - 13 1 - 2 -2 -1 C+ D+ C -1 B C- C
 Thu, Jan 15 215 @Weber St. L 80 - 91 34% -1  2 - 14 1 - 3 -11 +0 D+ B+ F+ -11 D F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 228 @Idaho St. W 84 - 66 36% +15  3 - 14 2 - 3 +17 +12 A+ F D- +6 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 148 Portland St. L 61 - 65 42% -5  3 - 15 2 - 4 -6 -7 D- C+ D+ +0 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 24 294 Sacramento St. W 75 - 67 72% +7  4 - 15 3 - 4 -3 +2 D- A+ C -4 D+ C B+
 Thu, Jan 29 313 @Northern Arizona W 76 - 74 56%
 Sat, Jan 31 197 @Northern Colorado L 77 - 82 32%
 Thu, Feb 5 161 @Montana L 74 - 81 24%
 Sat, Feb 7 155 @Montana St. L 70 - 78 24%
 Thu, Feb 12 228 Idaho St. W 76 - 74 58%
 Sat, Feb 14 215 Weber St. W 80 - 78 57%
 Thu, Feb 19 294 @Sacramento St. W 81 - 80 51%
 Sat, Feb 21 148 @Portland St. L 69 - 77 23%
 Thu, Feb 26 197 Northern Colorado W 80 - 79 53%
 Sat, Feb 28 313 Northern Arizona W 79 - 71 76%
 Mon, Mar 2 188 Idaho W 76 - 75 52%
Totals 9 - 21 8 - 10 -4 -1 C C D+ -4 D D- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 2.8 0.9 0.1 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.4 6.6 2.6 0.2 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 6.0 9.7 3.6 0.3 0.0 20.1 5th
6th 0.5 5.6 10.8 4.4 0.3 21.7 6th
7th 0.2 3.8 9.2 3.9 0.2 17.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 6.1 3.3 0.3 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.7 10th
Total 0.3 1.7 5.2 12.4 18.8 21.6 18.9 12.3 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 24.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 18.3% 18.3% 15.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
12-6 2.1% 15.5% 15.5% 15.8 0.1 0.3 1.7
11-7 6.3% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6 5.7
10-8 12.3% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.8 11.4
9-9 18.9% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 1.0 17.9
8-10 21.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.9 20.7
7-11 18.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.4 18.4
6-12 12.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 12.2
5-13 5.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.1
4-14 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 16.0 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%