Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
11 Vanderbilt 99.0%   3   10 - 0 0 - 0 25 - 6 12 - 6 +18.3      +12.0 5 +6.3 32 74.1 61 +21.8 11 0.0 1
13 Florida 93.7%   4   6 - 4 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 6 +17.9      +8.2 31 +9.7 10 74.7 54 +13.6 39 0.0 1
15 Alabama 96.5%   4   7 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 6 +17.6      +12.5 3 +5.1 46 83.8 5 +18.9 15 0.0 1
18 Tennessee 84.9%   6   7 - 3 0 - 0 20 - 11 10 - 8 +16.2      +7.8 34 +8.4 12 67.1 248 +12.0 49 0.0 1
19 Georgia 89.2%   6   9 - 1 0 - 0 23 - 8 11 - 7 +16.0      +9.1 19 +7.0 26 84.3 4 +15.1 30 0.0 1
20 Arkansas 90.8%   5   8 - 2 0 - 0 21 - 10 11 - 7 +15.6      +9.2 17 +6.4 31 72.9 86 +18.9 16 0.0 1
21 Kentucky 74.3%   7   7 - 4 0 - 0 18 - 13 10 - 8 +15.6      +7.6 36 +8.0 15 73.0 84 +9.7 62 0.0 1
28 Auburn 81.2%   6   8 - 3 0 - 0 19 - 12 10 - 8 +14.4      +10.2 13 +4.2 63 69.9 172 +18.5 17 0.0 1
35 LSU 67.7%   9   9 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 10 9 - 9 +12.8      +7.3 41 +5.5 40 70.4 165 +16.3 25 0.0 1
41 Texas 40.4%   6 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 14 8 - 10 +11.9      +8.4 28 +3.5 72 68.2 218 +8.1 76 0.0 1
44 Oklahoma 49.1%   9   7 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +11.3      +8.6 25 +2.7 87 69.2 194 +12.8 42 0.0 1
49 Texas A&M 30.6%   7 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +10.8      +6.2 55 +4.7 55 75.1 48 +7.0 86 0.0 1
50 Missouri 37.4%   9 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +10.8      +8.4 27 +2.4 98 70.3 166 +8.8 70 0.0 1
60 Mississippi 15.0%   6 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 16 6 - 12 +9.1      +4.2 79 +5.0 49 65.9 278 +4.5 109 0.0 1
80 Mississippi St. 6.2%   5 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 18 5 - 13 +7.3      +3.9 82 +3.4 73 69.7 179 +3.8 114 0.0 1
87 South Carolina 2.9%   7 - 3 0 - 0 14 - 17 4 - 14 +6.0      +2.9 107 +3.2 80 65.3 287 +1.7 145 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Dec 11 264 Alabama St. 77 50 Missouri 85   
Fri, Dec 12 41 Texas 63 6 Connecticut 71   
Sat, Dec 13 15 Alabama 75 3 Arizona 96   
Sat, Dec 13 20 Arkansas 93 24 Texas Tech 86   
Sat, Dec 13 27 Indiana 60 21 Kentucky 72   
Sat, Dec 13 35 LSU 89 39 SMU 77   
Sat, Dec 13 44 Oklahoma 85 53 Oklahoma St. 76   
Sat, Dec 13 78 Cincinnati 65 19 Georgia 84   
Sat, Dec 13 13 Florida 80 81 George Washington 70   
Sat, Dec 13 80 Mississippi St. 82 120 Utah 74   
Sat, Dec 13 60 Mississippi 71 202 Southern Miss 67   
Sat, Dec 13 28 Auburn 92 225 Chattanooga 78   
Sat, Dec 13 283 Central Arkansas 72 11 Vanderbilt 83   
Sat, Dec 13 87 South Carolina 71 361 The Citadel 55   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 14 223 Bethune-Cookman 68 50 Missouri 85 94%   
Sun, Dec 14 291 Jacksonville 63 49 Texas A&M 84 96%   
Tue, Dec 16 10 Louisville 77 18 Tennessee 78 51%   
Tue, Dec 16 36 Clemson 73 87 South Carolina 63 82%   
Tue, Dec 16 213 LIU Brooklyn 69 80 Mississippi St. 82 89%   
Tue, Dec 16 20 Arkansas 93 191 Queens 72 96%   
Tue, Dec 16 307 Le Moyne 68 41 Texas 91 97%   
Tue, Dec 16 345 UMKC 62 44 Oklahoma 88 98%   
Wed, Dec 17 76 Memphis 76 11 Vanderbilt 84 77%   
Wed, Dec 17 15 Alabama 97 86 South Florida 83 90%   
Wed, Dec 17 290 Alabama A&M 60 60 Mississippi 77 93%   
Wed, Dec 17 13 Florida 94 363 St. Francis (PA) 58 100%   
Thu, Dec 18 19 Georgia 97 294 Western Carolina 71 98%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Vanderbilt 3.9 27.0 17.2 12.9 10.1 7.8 6.3 5.1 3.9 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
Florida 4.1 24.0 16.6 12.8 10.4 8.5 6.8 5.5 4.4 3.3 2.5 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
Alabama 4.4 20.7 16.5 13.2 10.5 8.7 7.2 6.1 4.8 3.7 2.9 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
Tennessee 5.9 10.8 10.5 10.4 10.0 9.6 8.6 7.8 7.2 6.3 5.4 4.3 3.5 2.5 1.7 0.9 0.4
Georgia 5.4 13.9 12.6 11.8 10.2 9.4 8.3 7.4 6.2 5.3 4.4 3.5 2.7 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.4
Arkansas 5.8 11.1 11.0 11.1 10.1 9.4 8.6 7.8 6.8 5.9 5.1 4.3 3.4 2.4 1.7 1.0 0.4
Kentucky 6.5 8.1 8.4 9.0 9.2 9.2 8.9 8.6 8.4 7.3 6.2 5.3 4.6 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.5
Auburn 7.0 6.4 7.4 8.1 8.5 8.9 8.7 8.5 8.2 7.8 6.9 5.9 5.2 3.9 3.0 1.9 0.7
LSU 8.0 3.9 5.1 6.3 7.1 7.6 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.3 8.0 7.5 6.7 5.8 4.2 3.0 1.6
Texas 9.1 2.1 3.1 4.2 5.0 6.0 6.9 7.5 8.0 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.8 7.9 6.6 5.0 2.6
Oklahoma 9.4 2.0 2.8 3.7 4.7 5.5 6.4 7.2 7.5 8.3 8.7 8.6 8.8 8.7 7.5 5.9 3.7
Texas A&M 9.8 1.3 2.1 3.2 4.1 4.8 5.8 6.9 7.4 8.5 9.0 9.0 9.8 9.5 8.6 6.5 3.8
Missouri 9.9 1.5 2.4 3.2 4.1 4.9 5.7 6.5 7.0 8.1 8.4 9.3 9.4 9.2 8.7 7.0 4.6
Mississippi 11.5 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.6 3.3 4.4 5.2 6.3 7.6 9.3 10.7 11.8 12.8 12.0 9.5
Mississippi St. 12.7 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.4 4.3 5.7 7.2 9.3 11.6 14.6 17.8 18.3
South Carolina 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.7 3.6 4.8 7.2 10.1 14.6 21.4 30.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Vanderbilt 12 - 6 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.6 4.2 6.8 10.0 12.9 15.1 15.0 13.3 9.9 5.6 2.3 0.5
Florida 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.6 4.6 7.8 10.9 13.7 15.0 14.7 12.5 8.8 4.6 1.9 0.4
Alabama 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.9 5.4 8.4 11.7 14.1 15.4 14.7 11.6 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.2
Tennessee 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.9 6.5 9.5 12.4 14.0 14.6 13.2 10.0 6.7 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
Georgia 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.8 5.3 8.1 10.9 13.5 14.5 14.1 11.7 8.4 5.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
Arkansas 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.7 6.3 9.0 12.1 14.0 14.5 13.4 10.5 7.0 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
Kentucky 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 5.1 8.0 11.1 14.1 14.3 14.2 12.0 8.2 5.1 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
Auburn 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.6 6.1 9.1 12.1 14.1 14.3 13.2 10.8 7.1 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
LSU 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.3 8.4 11.4 13.7 14.1 13.6 11.3 8.3 5.2 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
Texas 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.9 7.9 11.0 13.7 14.3 14.2 11.7 8.5 5.4 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma 8 - 10 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.0 5.5 8.5 11.8 13.7 14.0 13.3 10.7 7.8 5.1 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
Texas A&M 8 - 10 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.4 6.2 9.8 12.7 14.6 14.6 12.9 10.0 6.7 4.0 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Missouri 8 - 10 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.7 6.6 9.8 13.0 13.9 13.9 12.5 9.7 6.7 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 6 - 12 0.2 1.2 3.8 7.2 10.9 14.0 15.3 14.7 11.9 8.9 5.6 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 0.8 3.2 7.4 11.6 15.1 15.8 14.6 11.8 8.4 5.5 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 1.7 6.3 12.0 16.3 17.5 15.5 12.2 8.2 5.1 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vanderbilt 27.0% 16.8 7.1 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Florida 24.0% 14.5 6.6 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alabama 20.7% 12.0 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Tennessee 10.8% 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Georgia 13.9% 7.7 4.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Arkansas 11.1% 5.7 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kentucky 8.1% 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Auburn 6.4% 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
LSU 3.9% 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas 2.1% 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma 2.0% 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 1.3% 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Missouri 1.5% 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vanderbilt 99.0% 17.7% 81.3% 3   12.3 20.9 22.5 16.1 11.1 7.3 3.7 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.0 98.8%
Florida 93.7% 15.9% 77.8% 4   4.3 9.5 15.2 16.3 14.7 11.8 8.6 5.3 3.3 2.6 2.0 0.1 0.0 6.3 92.5%
Alabama 96.5% 14.9% 81.6% 4   7.0 14.2 19.1 17.6 13.7 10.0 5.7 3.1 2.2 2.0 1.7 0.2 3.5 95.9%
Tennessee 84.9% 9.1% 75.8% 6   1.5 4.1 8.7 11.2 13.4 12.4 11.7 8.3 5.1 4.4 3.8 0.2 0.0 15.1 83.4%
Georgia 89.2% 10.1% 79.2% 6   1.8 4.5 9.4 11.9 13.2 12.8 11.7 9.0 6.8 5.1 3.0 0.1 10.8 88.0%
Arkansas 90.8% 8.8% 82.1% 5   2.2 6.0 12.1 14.5 15.2 13.5 9.6 6.2 4.1 3.5 3.6 0.2 9.2 89.9%
Kentucky 74.3% 7.8% 66.5% 7   0.7 2.4 5.9 9.1 10.9 10.7 9.8 7.4 5.9 5.5 5.8 0.4 0.0 25.7 72.1%
Auburn 81.2% 5.4% 75.8% 6   1.0 3.4 7.7 11.1 13.4 12.1 9.1 6.3 5.3 5.4 5.9 0.5 0.0 18.8 80.2%
LSU 67.7% 3.3% 64.4% 9   0.2 0.8 2.3 4.2 6.6 9.1 9.9 10.1 9.6 8.2 6.4 0.2 32.3 66.6%
Texas 40.4% 2.0% 38.4% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.8 4.2 6.4 7.2 6.4 5.8 5.3 0.3 0.0 59.6 39.2%
Oklahoma 49.1% 1.6% 47.5% 9   0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.9 5.1 7.7 9.7 8.5 7.0 5.7 0.2 0.0 50.9 48.3%
Texas A&M 30.6% 1.3% 29.3% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.6 5.7 5.9 6.5 4.6 0.2 69.4 29.7%
Missouri 37.4% 1.3% 36.2% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.3 5.2 6.7 7.0 6.6 5.1 0.2 62.6 36.6%
Mississippi 15.0% 0.6% 14.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.0 0.1 85.0 14.5%
Mississippi St. 6.2% 0.2% 6.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 93.8 6.0%
South Carolina 2.9% 0.1% 2.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.1 2.9%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vanderbilt 99.0% 0.7% 98.8% 87.7% 55.7% 27.5% 12.7% 5.4% 2.3%
Florida 93.7% 2.3% 92.8% 76.9% 44.1% 20.8% 9.3% 4.0% 1.6%
Alabama 96.5% 2.1% 95.7% 81.1% 47.6% 21.9% 9.7% 3.9% 1.4%
Tennessee 84.9% 4.5% 83.0% 62.5% 30.0% 12.5% 5.3% 2.1% 0.7%
Georgia 89.2% 3.5% 87.6% 65.2% 31.0% 12.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7%
Arkansas 90.8% 4.2% 88.9% 67.0% 33.0% 13.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.6%
Kentucky 74.3% 6.6% 71.7% 52.0% 24.1% 9.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Auburn 81.2% 7.1% 78.1% 54.7% 23.7% 8.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
LSU 67.7% 7.4% 64.0% 37.6% 12.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Texas 40.4% 6.2% 37.6% 21.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Oklahoma 49.1% 6.5% 45.8% 24.3% 6.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Texas A&M 30.6% 5.4% 28.0% 14.3% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Missouri 37.4% 5.9% 34.5% 17.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mississippi 15.0% 3.4% 13.2% 6.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 6.2% 1.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 2.9% 0.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.6 0.0 0.1 1.9 12.8 31.7 34.3 15.9 3.1 0.2 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 9.3 0.0 0.3 4.0 18.6 35.8 29.5 10.4 1.4 0.1
2nd Round 100.0% 6.7 0.0 0.5 3.5 12.5 26.1 30.4 19.4 6.4 1.1 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 99.5% 3.2 0.5 5.4 20.7 32.9 26.5 11.1 2.5 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 82.5% 1.4 17.5 40.2 30.4 10.2 1.6 0.2 0.0
Final Four 48.0% 0.6 52.0 39.1 8.4 0.6 0.0
Final Game 21.4% 0.2 78.6 20.5 0.9
Champion 8.2% 0.1 91.8 8.2