LSU
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#35
Expected Predictive Rating+16.3#25
Pace70.4#165
Improvement-3.0#340

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#41
First Shot+7.0#25
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#160
Layup/Dunks+8.6#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#277
Freethrows+2.1#73
Improvement-1.4#295

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#40
First Shot+3.8#59
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#73
Layups/Dunks+3.9#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#313
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#249
Freethrows+3.8#11
Improvement-1.5#292
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 7.5% 7.6% 1.0%
Top 6 Seed 23.2% 23.5% 10.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 67.7% 68.2% 48.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.6% 67.1% 47.7%
Average Seed 7.5 7.5 8.3
.500 or above 97.8% 98.1% 87.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.7% 57.1% 40.7%
Conference Champion 3.9% 3.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 3.4% 7.6%
First Four7.4% 7.4% 7.3%
First Round64.0% 64.4% 45.0%
Second Round37.6% 38.0% 21.3%
Sweet Sixteen12.6% 12.8% 6.0%
Elite Eight4.3% 4.4% 2.0%
Final Four1.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 97.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 9
Quad 25 - 210 - 11
Quad 35 - 014 - 11
Quad 47 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 199 Tarleton St. W 96-60 95%     1 - 0 +30.4 +23.4 +8.0
  Mon, Nov 10 245 New Orleans W 93-58 96%     2 - 0 +27.2 +11.4 +14.5
  Thu, Nov 13 186 Florida International W 98-81 94%     3 - 0 +12.3 +13.3 -2.7
  Tue, Nov 18 331 Alcorn St. W 107-81 98%     4 - 0 +12.6 +24.0 -12.5
  Fri, Nov 21 235 Nebraska Omaha W 99-73 96%     5 - 0 +18.9 +11.4 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 28 135 Drake W 71-62 85%     6 - 0 +10.7 -0.5 +11.4
  Sat, Nov 29 114 DePaul W 96-63 82%     7 - 0 +36.3 +27.6 +9.1
  Wed, Dec 3 150 @Boston College W 78-69 OT 81%     8 - 0 +12.7 +3.9 +8.1
  Sun, Dec 7 24 Texas Tech L 58-82 42%     8 - 1 -9.1 -9.7 +0.9
  Sat, Dec 13 39 SMU W 89-77 53%     9 - 1 +24.0 +28.4 -3.4
  Fri, Dec 19 256 SE Louisiana W 82-61 98%    
  Mon, Dec 22 327 Prairie View W 91-65 99%    
  Mon, Dec 29 202 Southern Miss W 85-66 96%    
  Sat, Jan 3 49 @Texas A&M L 78-79 46%    
  Tue, Jan 6 87 South Carolina W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Jan 10 11 @Vanderbilt L 77-85 22%    
  Wed, Jan 14 21 Kentucky W 77-76 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 50 Missouri W 81-76 68%    
  Tue, Jan 20 13 @Florida L 73-81 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 20 @Arkansas L 76-82 30%    
  Wed, Jan 28 80 Mississippi St. W 80-72 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 87 @South Carolina W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 19 Georgia L 83-84 49%    
  Tue, Feb 10 20 Arkansas W 79-78 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 18 @Tennessee L 71-77 29%    
  Tue, Feb 17 41 @Texas L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 15 Alabama L 85-87 44%    
  Wed, Feb 25 60 @Mississippi W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 44 Oklahoma W 81-76 66%    
  Tue, Mar 3 28 @Auburn L 76-81 34%    
  Sat, Mar 7 49 Texas A&M W 81-76 67%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 4.0 0.8 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.9 1.9 0.1 8.1 6th
7th 0.4 3.8 3.8 0.4 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.8 5.2 1.4 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.5 3.1 0.1 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 4.6 0.8 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 4.3 2.1 0.1 7.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 6.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.0 0.8 0.0 5.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.1 0.1 4.2 14th
15th 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.0 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.3 8.4 11.4 13.7 14.1 13.6 11.3 8.3 5.2 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 93.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 95.8% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 81.1% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 49.1% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 18.4% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 25.8% 74.2% 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.1% 100.0% 22.6% 77.4% 3.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.7% 100.0% 12.0% 88.0% 4.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-5 5.2% 99.7% 10.9% 88.8% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-6 8.3% 99.4% 8.0% 91.4% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.2 2.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 99.3%
11-7 11.3% 98.8% 5.4% 93.4% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.9 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.7%
10-8 13.6% 95.4% 2.4% 93.0% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.0 3.8 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.6 95.3%
9-9 14.1% 86.4% 1.7% 84.7% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.0 3.8 2.5 0.8 0.0 1.9 86.2%
8-10 13.7% 64.5% 0.9% 63.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.3 2.5 0.0 4.9 64.2%
7-11 11.4% 34.6% 0.4% 34.3% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.3 0.1 7.5 34.4%
6-12 8.4% 10.6% 0.2% 10.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 7.5 10.4%
5-13 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 1.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 5.2 1.0%
4-14 2.8% 2.8
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 67.7% 3.3% 64.4% 7.5 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.2 6.6 9.1 9.9 10.1 9.6 8.2 6.4 0.2 32.3 66.6%