Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.9 #28
Expected Predictive Rating +15.7 #27
Pace 83.5 #3
Improvement -3.9 #328

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #30 B- B+ B B+ B
Defense #35 B+ C+ B B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #101 1.29 #56 +4.5 #44
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #320 0.88 #40 -1.8 #273
Three Pointers 45% #100 0.97 #239 +1.0 #145
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #75 +3.7 #75
Freethrows 0.36 #31 76% #61 0.27 #17
Second Chance 37.9% #16 1.11 #92 0.42 #31
Turnovers 13.9% #40
Total Offense +8.3 #30

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #122 0.98 #17 +2.4 #98
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #149 0.71 #105 +0.2 #174
Three Pointers 38% #266 0.94 #81 +3.1 #63
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #35 +5.6 #35
Freethrows 0.25 #37 67% #18 0.17 #21
Second Chance 31.8% #239 0.93 #48 0.30 #114
Turnovers 18.8% #52
Total Defense +6.5 #35

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #44 0.1% #172
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.9% #96 -11.1% #27
Possession Length 14.4 #4 17.6 #229
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.34 #1 0.17 #190
Improvement -2.9 #332 -1.0 #248

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 7.9% 11.8% 3.5%
Top 6 Seed 37.4% 48.1% 25.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 93.3% 97.1% 89.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.0% 96.9% 88.7%
Average Seed 7.0 6.6 7.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 78.3% 88.6% 67.0%
Conference Champion 3.2% 5.3% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four3.5% 1.6% 5.7%
First Round91.8% 96.4% 86.7%
Second Round57.8% 64.2% 50.7%
Sweet Sixteen19.9% 23.5% 15.8%
Elite Eight7.1% 8.3% 5.6%
Final Four2.4% 2.8% 1.9%
Championship Game0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.2%

Next Game: Tennessee (Home) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 37 - 8
Quad 26 - 113 - 10
Quad 32 - 015 - 10
Quad 48 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 302 Bellarmine W 104 - 59 98% +18  1 - 0 +34 +11 C D- A+ +19 A B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 5 331 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 29 99% +27  2 - 0 +51 +12 F+ A+ B+ +36 A+ B A+
 Sun, Nov 9 299 Morehead St. W 120 - 81 98% +21  3 - 0 +28 +25 A+ A+ B+ -2 A F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 113 Georgia Tech W 92 - 87 90% +3  4 - 0 +5 +6 C A D+ -2 B- C+ C
 Mon, Nov 17 315 Florida A&M W 87 - 57 99% +20  5 - 0 +18 +3 F A+ C +12 C+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 79 Xavier W 78 - 77 76% +4  6 - 0 +8 +6 C- B B +3 A D+ C-
 Sun, Nov 23 33 Clemson L 94 - 97 OT 53% +0  6 - 1 +11 +15 A+ C+ C -4 C+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 29 337 Tennessee Tech W 123 - 81 99% +23  7 - 1 +28 +20 A+ C- B+ -1 B- C+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 106 @Florida St. W 107 - 73 77% +19  8 - 1 +41 +26 A+ A+ B +12 B+ A C
 Sat, Dec 13 55 Cincinnati W 84 - 65 68% +1  9 - 1 +29 +14 B- A+ C+ +14 A+ B- B+
 Thu, Dec 18 273 Western Carolina W 112 - 82 98% +16  10 - 1 +21 +18 A+ C C+ -1 F+ C B
 Mon, Dec 22 329 West Georgia W 103 - 74 99% +20  11 - 1 +16 +6 D- A+ B +5 A C+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 224 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 74 97% +1  12 - 1 +8 +7 C- B C -0 B C+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 25 Auburn W 104 - 100 OT 59% +1  13 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +19 A+ B- A+ -3 B- B B-
 Tue, Jan 6 10 @Florida L 77 - 92 23% -6  13 - 2 1 - 1 +8 +8 C B+ A +2 B- B C+
 Sat, Jan 10 78 @South Carolina W 75 - 70 66% -1  14 - 2 2 - 1 +16 +9 B+ F B+ +7 B+ A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 64 Mississippi L 95 - 97 OT 81% -0  14 - 3 2 - 2 +4 +18 A- B- A+ -14 F+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 19 Arkansas W 90 - 76 53% +10  15 - 3 3 - 2 +28 +7 B A D +19 A+ C- A+
 Tue, Jan 20 54 @Missouri W 74 - 72 58% +2  16 - 3 4 - 2 +15 +8 C C B +7 B+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 32 @Texas L 67 - 87 41% -3  16 - 4 4 - 3 -3 +3 C- A- F -7 D- F A
 Wed, Jan 28 20 Tennessee W 80 - 79 53%
 Sat, Jan 31 30 Texas A&M W 90 - 87 61%
 Sat, Feb 7 41 @LSU L 83 - 84 49%
 Wed, Feb 11 10 Florida L 84 - 86 43%
 Sat, Feb 14 52 @Oklahoma W 86 - 84 56%
 Tue, Feb 17 27 @Kentucky L 81 - 84 38%
 Sat, Feb 21 32 Texas W 88 - 84 63%
 Wed, Feb 25 12 @Vanderbilt L 83 - 90 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 78 South Carolina W 85 - 75 83%
 Tue, Mar 3 16 Alabama L 94 - 95 50%
 Sat, Mar 7 85 @Mississippi St. W 85 - 80 68%
Totals 22 - 9 10 - 8 +15 +8 B- B+ B +7 B+ C+ B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.6 1.2 0.2 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 2.5 2.5 0.4 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 4.6 1.1 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.4 5.3 3.2 0.1 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 2.4 6.9 0.9 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.7 7.1 3.7 0.1 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 3.6 8.1 0.7 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 7.1 3.4 0.0 11.6 8th
9th 0.2 3.9 5.8 0.6 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 5.2 1.9 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.0 0.2 5.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.3 2.7 12th
13th 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 16th
Total 0.0 0.6 2.1 6.4 12.5 19.3 22.1 18.3 11.6 5.4 1.5 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 75.8% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 29.7% 1.6    0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
12-6 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 2.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.5% 100.0% 19.9% 80.1% 3.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-5 5.4% 100.0% 11.3% 88.7% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 11.6% 99.9% 9.6% 90.3% 5.3 0.0 0.5 1.9 4.4 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 18.3% 99.8% 6.3% 93.5% 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.7 6.6 5.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8%
10-8 22.1% 99.2% 3.1% 96.1% 7.1 0.0 0.2 1.4 5.1 8.0 5.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.2 99.2%
9-9 19.3% 96.8% 2.3% 94.5% 7.9 0.0 0.4 1.5 4.5 6.6 4.3 1.3 0.1 0.6 96.7%
8-10 12.5% 88.5% 1.1% 87.4% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.6 3.6 1.0 0.0 1.4 88.4%
7-11 6.4% 63.6% 0.9% 62.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.6 0.0 2.3 63.3%
6-12 2.1% 31.1% 0.5% 30.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 1.5 30.8%
5-13 0.6% 2.4% 2.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.4%
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 93.3% 4.6% 88.7% 7.0 6.7 93.0%