Mississippi
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#60
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#109
Pace65.9#278
Improvement-1.0#253

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#79
First Shot+2.3#114
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#73
Layup/Dunks-1.7#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#256
Freethrows+3.9#17
Improvement-4.0#363

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#49
First Shot+7.4#15
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#318
Layups/Dunks+9.8#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#286
Freethrows+1.6#87
Improvement+3.0#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.6% 1.6% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.0% 15.6% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.5% 15.1% 5.2%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.1
.500 or above 38.6% 40.1% 14.8%
.500 or above in Conference 20.7% 21.3% 11.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 16.0% 25.4%
First Four3.4% 3.6% 1.4%
First Round13.2% 13.7% 4.3%
Second Round6.2% 6.5% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Neutral) - 94.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 54 - 13
Quad 23 - 36 - 16
Quad 33 - 19 - 17
Quad 46 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 256 SE Louisiana W 88-58 94%     1 - 0 +21.7 +18.4 +4.8
  Fri, Nov 7 358 Louisiana Monroe W 86-65 98%     2 - 0 +3.7 -0.2 +2.8
  Tue, Nov 11 76 Memphis W 83-77 67%     3 - 0 +10.6 +16.3 -5.5
  Fri, Nov 14 312 Cal St. Bakersfield W 82-60 96%     4 - 0 +10.3 +13.8 -0.9
  Tue, Nov 18 193 Austin Peay W 72-65 90%     5 - 0 +2.0 +1.4 +0.8
  Tue, Nov 25 23 Iowa L 69-74 28%     5 - 1 +10.1 +9.2 +0.5
  Wed, Nov 26 120 Utah L 74-75 72%     5 - 2 +2.1 +6.1 -4.1
  Tue, Dec 2 33 Miami (FL) L 66-75 46%     5 - 3 +1.2 +1.7 -0.8
  Sat, Dec 6 16 @St. John's L 58-63 15%     5 - 4 +15.3 -6.3 +21.7
  Sat, Dec 13 202 Southern Miss W 71-67 87%     6 - 4 +1.2 -0.5 +1.9
  Wed, Dec 17 290 Alabama A&M W 76-60 94%    
  Sat, Dec 20 29 North Carolina St. L 73-78 32%    
  Mon, Dec 29 331 Alcorn St. W 84-61 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 44 @Oklahoma L 72-77 31%    
  Wed, Jan 7 20 Arkansas L 73-76 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 50 Missouri W 75-74 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 19 @Georgia L 74-84 18%    
  Sat, Jan 17 80 @Mississippi St. L 71-72 46%    
  Tue, Jan 20 28 Auburn L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 21 @Kentucky L 69-78 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 11 Vanderbilt L 74-80 29%    
  Tue, Feb 3 18 @Tennessee L 65-75 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 41 @Texas L 70-76 30%    
  Wed, Feb 11 15 Alabama L 79-84 31%    
  Sat, Feb 14 80 Mississippi St. W 74-69 67%    
  Wed, Feb 18 49 @Texas A&M L 72-77 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 13 Florida L 70-76 31%    
  Wed, Feb 25 35 LSU L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 28 @Auburn L 71-79 23%    
  Wed, Mar 4 11 @Vanderbilt L 71-83 14%    
  Sat, Mar 7 87 South Carolina W 72-66 71%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 1.2 0.1 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 1.5 0.1 4.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.7 1.9 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.2 2.8 4.1 0.5 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.7 5.4 2.0 0.0 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 5.1 4.3 0.3 10.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 4.2 5.5 1.4 0.0 11.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.0 2.4 0.1 12.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.9 3.2 4.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.0 15th
16th 0.2 1.2 2.8 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.5 16th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.8 7.2 10.9 14.0 15.3 14.7 11.9 8.9 5.6 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 87.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 53.0% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 6.3% 93.8% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 12.0% 88.0% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.8% 98.7% 5.7% 93.0% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.6%
12-6 1.7% 96.0% 5.7% 90.3% 7.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.8%
11-7 3.3% 90.6% 2.7% 87.9% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 90.3%
10-8 5.6% 69.8% 1.7% 68.1% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.6 1.7 69.3%
9-9 8.9% 41.5% 0.9% 40.6% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.4 0.1 5.2 41.0%
8-10 11.9% 10.8% 0.5% 10.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.1 10.6 10.3%
7-11 14.7% 1.7% 0.3% 1.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 14.4 1.4%
6-12 15.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 15.3 0.1%
5-13 14.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 14.0
4-14 10.9% 10.9
3-15 7.2% 7.2
2-16 3.8% 3.8
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 15.0% 0.6% 14.4% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.0 0.1 85.0 14.5%