Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
9 Alabama 98.8%   2   7 - 2 0 - 0 23 - 8 13 - 5 +19.1      +13.4 2 +5.8 42 84.0 4 +20.7 12 0.0 1
12 Vanderbilt 99.1%   3   9 - 0 0 - 0 25 - 6 12 - 6 +18.7      +12.4 3 +6.4 33 73.3 84 +22.0 10 0.0 1
15 Florida 92.9%   4   5 - 4 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 6 +17.9      +8.7 25 +9.2 10 75.1 48 +12.4 44 0.0 1
18 Tennessee 86.0%   6   7 - 3 0 - 0 20 - 11 10 - 8 +16.3      +8.0 33 +8.3 12 66.9 248 +12.4 46 0.0 1
19 Georgia 85.1%   6   8 - 1 0 - 0 22 - 9 11 - 7 +15.5      +9.1 19 +6.4 32 85.5 3 +14.1 34 0.0 1
24 Kentucky 63.4%   7   6 - 4 0 - 0 18 - 13 10 - 8 +15.1      +8.0 32 +7.1 23 74.1 65 +4.8 106 0.0 1
25 Arkansas 83.7%   5   7 - 2 0 - 0 20 - 11 10 - 8 +15.1      +7.6 37 +7.5 18 74.0 68 +16.7 27 0.0 1
27 Auburn 78.9%   6   7 - 3 0 - 0 19 - 12 10 - 8 +14.4      +10.0 15 +4.4 62 69.6 183 +18.0 18 0.0 1
38 LSU 53.4%   10   8 - 1 0 - 0 20 - 11 8 - 10 +12.0      +5.9 56 +6.0 37 72.3 112 +13.7 37 0.0 1
42 Texas 38.1%   6 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 14 8 - 10 +11.4      +8.9 22 +2.5 95 68.2 220 +8.3 73 0.0 1
44 Texas A&M 34.3%   7 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +11.2      +6.5 49 +4.6 57 74.8 51 +7.5 78 0.0 1
50 Missouri 36.8%   9 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +10.8      +8.4 26 +2.3 99 70.3 167 +8.7 70 0.0 1
52 Oklahoma 36.0%   6 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 14 7 - 11 +10.5      +8.3 28 +2.1 105 70.0 172 +10.5 58 0.0 1
57 Mississippi 20.8%   5 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 16 7 - 11 +10.0      +4.9 68 +5.1 49 65.8 283 +3.8 116 0.0 1
82 Mississippi St. 4.9%   4 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 19 5 - 13 +7.0      +3.8 85 +3.2 78 69.5 185 +2.1 143 0.0 1
86 South Carolina 3.3%   6 - 3 0 - 0 14 - 17 5 - 13 +6.2      +3.4 91 +2.8 88 64.9 299 +1.5 149 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Dec 8 205 Southern 69 42 Texas 95   
Tue, Dec 9 15 Florida 73 6 Connecticut 77   
Tue, Dec 9 24 Kentucky 103 348 NC Central 67   
Thu, Dec 11 262 Alabama St. 77 50 Missouri 85   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Dec 12 42 Texas 67 6 Connecticut 79 88%   
Sat, Dec 13 9 Alabama 89 5 Arizona 91 57%   
Sat, Dec 13 22 Indiana 76 24 Kentucky 79 61%   
Sat, Dec 13 25 Arkansas 75 21 Texas Tech 76 51%   
Sat, Dec 13 38 LSU 78 35 SMU 79 54%   
Sat, Dec 13 52 Oklahoma 85 45 Oklahoma St. 86 52%   
Sat, Dec 13 68 Cincinnati 78 19 Georgia 85 76%   
Sat, Dec 13 15 Florida 88 80 George Washington 77 84%   
Sat, Dec 13 82 Mississippi St. 79 112 Utah 75 63%   
Sat, Dec 13 57 Mississippi 79 219 Southern Miss 66 89%   
Sat, Dec 13 27 Auburn 84 228 Chattanooga 66 95%   
Sat, Dec 13 284 Central Arkansas 64 12 Vanderbilt 92 99%   
Sat, Dec 13 86 South Carolina 82 362 The Citadel 58 98%   
Sun, Dec 14 224 Bethune-Cookman 68 50 Missouri 85 94%   
Sun, Dec 14 294 Jacksonville 63 44 Texas A&M 84 97%   
Tue, Dec 16 14 Louisville 77 18 Tennessee 78 54%   
Tue, Dec 16 32 Clemson 74 86 South Carolina 64 83%   
Tue, Dec 16 227 LIU Brooklyn 69 82 Mississippi St. 83 90%   
Tue, Dec 16 25 Arkansas 91 198 Queens 71 96%   
Tue, Dec 16 307 Le Moyne 69 42 Texas 92 97%   
Tue, Dec 16 343 UMKC 63 52 Oklahoma 88 98%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Alabama 3.4 29.7 19.4 14.1 10.1 7.5 5.5 4.3 3.1 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Vanderbilt 3.6 28.9 18.1 13.6 9.8 7.7 5.7 4.6 3.4 2.8 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
Florida 4.1 22.9 17.7 13.8 10.5 8.3 6.8 5.3 4.2 3.3 2.5 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1
Tennessee 5.9 10.0 10.3 10.8 10.3 10.0 9.3 8.3 7.1 6.2 5.2 4.2 3.2 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.3
Georgia 5.8 10.8 11.1 11.0 10.3 9.9 8.9 7.7 6.8 5.8 5.0 3.9 3.2 2.6 1.6 1.0 0.4
Kentucky 6.9 6.0 7.6 8.2 9.0 9.2 9.3 9.2 8.3 7.6 6.8 5.8 4.7 3.6 2.5 1.6 0.7
Arkansas 6.2 8.5 9.9 10.6 10.6 9.3 9.0 8.1 7.2 6.2 5.4 4.7 3.8 2.8 2.2 1.2 0.6
Auburn 7.1 5.7 6.9 8.2 8.6 8.7 9.1 8.8 8.1 7.7 7.1 6.2 4.9 4.2 3.1 1.9 0.8
LSU 8.6 2.5 3.6 5.1 6.2 6.9 7.8 8.0 8.4 8.5 8.5 8.2 7.7 6.5 5.6 4.0 2.4
Texas 9.3 1.5 2.7 3.7 4.9 5.8 6.8 7.5 7.8 8.7 8.6 8.9 9.1 8.3 7.4 5.4 3.0
Texas A&M 9.4 1.2 2.6 3.7 4.8 5.7 6.7 7.4 8.1 8.7 9.2 8.9 8.9 8.4 7.1 5.4 3.2
Missouri 9.7 1.3 2.2 3.3 4.4 5.4 6.0 6.7 7.6 8.2 8.8 9.2 9.3 8.8 7.9 6.4 4.5
Oklahoma 10.0 1.3 2.2 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.8 6.2 7.3 7.6 8.6 8.9 9.4 9.0 9.1 7.6 5.3
Mississippi 10.7 0.7 1.3 2.2 2.8 3.8 4.5 5.5 6.4 7.4 8.3 9.4 10.0 10.9 10.5 9.5 6.9
Mississippi St. 12.9 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.0 4.2 5.4 6.7 8.6 11.2 14.4 18.5 20.8
South Carolina 13.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.1 3.1 4.0 5.6 7.8 10.4 14.1 21.2 27.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Alabama 13 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.0 5.5 8.6 11.7 15.0 16.2 15.0 11.7 7.2 3.0 0.6
Vanderbilt 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.8 6.2 9.1 12.0 14.5 15.3 14.3 10.8 6.8 2.9 0.9
Florida 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.7 4.8 7.4 10.4 13.0 15.0 15.0 12.7 9.1 5.4 2.0 0.5
Tennessee 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.6 6.3 9.5 12.3 14.6 14.9 12.9 10.2 6.7 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
Georgia 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.9 6.2 9.1 11.7 13.8 14.2 12.9 10.6 7.4 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
Kentucky 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.8 8.8 11.8 14.3 14.9 13.4 10.5 7.5 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
Arkansas 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.6 7.1 9.7 12.6 14.0 13.7 13.0 9.5 6.3 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
Auburn 10 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.8 6.3 9.3 12.2 14.0 14.3 13.0 10.1 7.2 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
LSU 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.1 6.9 9.9 12.6 14.1 14.1 12.6 9.5 6.6 3.8 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Texas 8 - 10 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.3 8.6 12.1 13.7 14.4 13.2 11.3 7.8 4.9 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Texas A&M 8 - 10 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.1 8.6 12.0 14.2 15.0 13.4 10.8 7.8 4.9 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Missouri 8 - 10 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.5 6.1 9.3 12.6 14.3 14.1 12.5 10.1 7.1 4.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma 7 - 11 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.2 7.2 10.2 13.0 14.2 13.6 11.6 9.1 6.5 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Mississippi 7 - 11 0.2 0.8 2.6 5.4 9.0 12.1 14.6 14.5 13.0 10.8 7.7 4.7 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 1.0 4.0 8.2 12.7 15.8 15.9 13.7 11.0 7.8 4.8 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 5 - 13 1.6 5.6 10.9 15.6 17.0 15.5 12.8 9.1 5.5 3.3 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Alabama 29.7% 18.9 7.8 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 28.9% 18.3 7.5 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Florida 22.9% 13.6 6.5 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 10.0% 5.3 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Georgia 10.8% 5.7 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kentucky 6.0% 2.9 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Arkansas 8.5% 4.4 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Auburn 5.7% 2.7 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LSU 2.5% 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Texas 1.5% 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 1.2% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Missouri 1.3% 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.3% 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 0.7% 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Alabama 98.8% 20.9% 77.9% 2   15.3 22.3 21.6 15.6 10.6 6.0 3.2 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.2 98.5%
Vanderbilt 99.1% 19.2% 79.9% 3   14.5 22.0 21.9 15.6 10.7 6.6 3.5 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.9 98.9%
Florida 92.9% 15.2% 77.6% 4   4.5 8.9 14.5 16.5 14.4 11.3 8.8 5.6 3.4 2.7 2.2 0.2 7.2 91.6%
Tennessee 86.0% 9.1% 76.9% 6   1.5 4.4 8.6 11.6 13.5 12.9 11.5 8.1 5.3 4.4 4.2 0.2 14.0 84.6%
Georgia 85.1% 7.6% 77.5% 6   1.3 3.4 6.8 10.1 11.9 12.4 11.9 10.2 7.4 5.9 3.7 0.1 14.9 83.9%
Kentucky 63.4% 6.5% 57.0% 7   0.4 1.2 3.4 6.0 8.1 9.0 9.6 8.2 5.9 5.8 5.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.6 60.9%
Arkansas 83.7% 7.2% 76.6% 5   1.5 3.7 8.5 11.5 13.5 12.5 10.6 7.5 5.4 4.5 4.4 0.3 0.0 16.3 82.5%
Auburn 78.9% 5.2% 73.7% 6   0.9 2.7 7.0 10.2 12.6 11.9 9.5 6.3 5.5 5.4 6.4 0.5 0.0 21.1 77.7%
LSU 53.4% 2.3% 51.1% 10   0.1 0.3 1.2 2.3 4.1 5.7 7.5 8.8 8.4 8.1 6.6 0.3 46.6 52.3%
Texas 38.1% 1.8% 36.3% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.5 3.9 5.8 6.8 5.9 5.5 5.4 0.3 0.0 61.9 37.0%
Texas A&M 34.3% 1.5% 32.9% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 4.3 6.2 6.5 6.9 5.4 0.3 65.7 33.3%
Missouri 36.8% 1.3% 35.5% 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.0 5.2 6.8 7.0 6.6 5.0 0.3 63.2 35.9%
Oklahoma 36.0% 1.1% 34.9% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.3 5.1 7.0 6.4 5.7 5.1 0.2 0.0 64.0 35.3%
Mississippi 20.8% 0.8% 20.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.6 4.1 3.7 3.6 3.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 79.2 20.1%
Mississippi St. 4.9% 0.2% 4.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.1 4.7%
South Carolina 3.3% 0.1% 3.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.1 96.7 3.2%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Alabama 98.8% 0.9% 98.4% 89.1% 58.8% 31.0% 14.9% 6.9% 3.1%
Vanderbilt 99.1% 0.5% 98.8% 88.6% 56.8% 28.8% 13.6% 6.1% 2.7%
Florida 92.9% 2.5% 91.9% 76.2% 43.5% 20.5% 9.2% 4.1% 1.6%
Tennessee 86.0% 4.8% 84.1% 62.8% 30.6% 12.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7%
Georgia 85.1% 4.2% 83.2% 59.2% 26.5% 10.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
Kentucky 63.4% 6.4% 61.0% 41.9% 17.6% 7.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Arkansas 83.7% 5.1% 81.5% 58.6% 26.7% 10.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.5%
Auburn 78.9% 7.4% 75.6% 52.5% 22.6% 8.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
LSU 53.4% 7.5% 49.8% 28.1% 8.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Texas 38.1% 6.2% 35.1% 19.3% 5.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Texas A&M 34.3% 6.2% 31.3% 16.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Missouri 36.8% 5.8% 33.8% 17.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Oklahoma 36.0% 5.7% 33.0% 17.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mississippi 20.8% 4.2% 18.7% 9.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 4.9% 1.4% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 3.3% 1.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.2 0.0 0.5 5.5 21.2 35.5 26.6 9.3 1.3 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 8.8 0.1 1.2 9.2 27.4 35.7 20.5 5.4 0.6 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 6.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 5.2 16.9 29.9 28.4 14.4 3.7 0.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.3% 3.1 0.7 6.4 22.3 34.1 25.0 9.5 1.9 0.2 0.0
Elite Eight 83.2% 1.4 16.8 40.7 30.6 10.2 1.6 0.1 0.0
Final Four 49.8% 0.6 50.2 40.4 8.6 0.7 0.0
Final Game 23.7% 0.2 76.3 22.6 1.2
Champion 10.0% 0.1 90.0 10.0