Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
148 Oakland 28.2%   15   13 - 12 10 - 5 +0.7      +4.0 78 -3.4 280 74.5 44 +0.7 151 0.0 2
153 Wright St. 24.7%   14 - 10 11 - 4 +0.1      +1.3 133 -1.3 213 66.9 234 -0.7 173 +1.5 1
193 Robert Morris 12.5%   15 - 10 9 - 7 -2.1      -0.1 163 -2.0 239 64.0 307 -1.0 179 -2.8 5
194 Youngstown St. 7.6%   10 - 13 6 - 9 -2.3      -1.1 193 -1.2 209 68.0 200 -5.5 255 -6.8 9
206 Northern Kentucky 8.6%   13 - 11 8 - 8 -2.6      -1.2 194 -1.5 222 71.9 90 -3.0 213 -4.5 7
234 Green Bay 7.4%   13 - 12 10 - 6 -4.1      +1.6 125 -5.7 328 61.1 352 -1.5 191 -1.7 3
253 Purdue Fort Wayne 4.8%   11 - 12 8 - 7 -5.1      -2.2 228 -2.9 261 69.6 153 -2.1 205 -2.7 4
260 Detroit Mercy 3.7%   9 - 13 8 - 7 -5.6      -1.6 213 -4.0 297 70.9 117 -4.6 241 -3.4 6
269 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.7%   9 - 17 6 - 10 -6.1      -2.2 226 -3.9 294 69.8 145 -6.4 264 -7.4 10
306 Cleveland St. 0.6%   7 - 16 6 - 9 -8.5      +0.1 160 -8.6 359 71.3 109 -7.2 276 -6.5 8
328 IU Indianapolis 0.2%   5 - 20 3 - 13 -10.7      -3.4 263 -7.2 349 81.9 3 -11.7 337 -12.4 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Feb 10 328 IU Indianapolis 88 269 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 92   
Thu, Feb 12 148 Oakland 82 194 Youngstown St. 86   
Thu, Feb 12 260 Detroit Mercy 77 153 Wright St. 74   
Thu, Feb 12 328 IU Indianapolis 81 206 Northern Kentucky 84   
Thu, Feb 12 306 Cleveland St. 68 193 Robert Morris 85   
Thu, Feb 12 234 Green Bay 76 253 Purdue Fort Wayne 59   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Feb 15 148 Oakland 78 193 Robert Morris 79 51%   
Sun, Feb 15 234 Green Bay 74 269 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 75 54%   
Sun, Feb 15 260 Detroit Mercy 75 194 Youngstown St. 76 51%   
Sun, Feb 15 306 Cleveland St. 77 153 Wright St. 83 70%   
Sun, Feb 15 328 IU Indianapolis 79 253 Purdue Fort Wayne 88 79%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Oakland 1.7 44.5 47.4 5.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Wright St. 1.2 78.7 19.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Robert Morris 3.7 2.6 10.4 36.5 26.5 14.2 6.8 2.5 0.5 0.0
Youngstown St. 7.2 0.0 2.4 4.8 9.1 14.9 19.8 30.5 12.4 6.0 0.0
Northern Kentucky 5.4 0.0 1.0 11.3 17.8 22.3 21.5 17.1 7.4 1.4 0.1
Green Bay 3.4 3.5 14.4 45.1 21.0 10.1 4.7 1.1 0.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.8 0.5 3.8 19.3 21.2 22.0 16.8 11.8 3.9 0.6 0.0
Detroit Mercy 5.5 0.3 2.4 13.2 14.3 17.6 21.8 18.5 9.6 2.1 0.2
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.8 0.2 0.8 2.6 7.3 19.7 40.0 29.5 0.0
Cleveland St. 8.8 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 7.7 17.3 38.3 31.3 0.0
IU Indianapolis 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 98.6

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Oakland 14 - 6 17 - 13 0.2 1.9 10.2 27.5 38.8 21.4
Wright St. 14 - 6 17 - 12 0.3 4.1 16.1 32.7 33.1 13.8
Robert Morris 11 - 9 17 - 12 2.1 15.6 37.2 34.6 10.5
Youngstown St. 9 - 11 13 - 15 1.3 9.0 24.4 33.7 23.8 7.8
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 15 - 13 4.3 19.9 36.8 30.0 9.1
Green Bay 12 - 8 15 - 14 11.5 32.5 35.6 17.3 3.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 14 2.2 13.8 30.0 32.3 17.7 4.0
Detroit Mercy 10 - 10 11 - 16 6.0 22.8 34.9 25.9 9.2 1.3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 12 11 - 19 13.9 35.4 34.1 14.5 2.2
Cleveland St. 8 - 12 9 - 19 16.1 34.2 31.0 14.9 3.3 0.4
IU Indianapolis 4 - 16 6 - 23 34.6 41.4 19.5 4.3 0.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oakland 44.5% 19.6 22.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0
Wright St. 78.7% 52.9 23.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0
Robert Morris 2.6% 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
Youngstown St.
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 3.5% 0.6 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.5% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Detroit Mercy 0.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oakland 28.2% 28.2% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.7 6.4 13.0 7.8 0.4 71.8 0.0%
Wright St. 24.7% 24.7% 0.0% 0.4 4.3 11.8 7.7 0.7 75.3 0.0%
Robert Morris 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 4.2 6.4 1.3 87.5 0.0%
Youngstown St. 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.1 3.2 3.0 92.4 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.2 2.0 91.4 0.0%
Green Bay 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 4.0 2.7 92.6 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.5 95.2 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 3.0 96.3 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.1 1.6 98.3 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6 99.4 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.1% 1.0 3.9 96.1
2nd Round 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Oakland 28.2% 0.0% 28.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 24.7% 0.1% 24.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 12.5% 0.1% 12.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 7.6% 1.6% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 8.6% 0.4% 8.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 7.4% 0.7% 7.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.8% 1.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 3.7% 2.2% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%