Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
156 Robert Morris 22.8%   14   19 - 10 13 - 7 0.0      +0.7 148 -0.7 193 63.4 319 +0.5 149 -0.7 2
160 Wright St. 21.5%   18 - 11 15 - 5 -0.2      +1.7 124 -1.8 225 67.4 211 0.0 156 +2.1 1
168 Oakland 18.5%   15 - 15 12 - 8 -0.7      +3.5 89 -4.2 296 73.2 57 -1.1 177 -1.9 5
191 Northern Kentucky 9.5%   15 - 13 10 - 10 -1.9      -1.4 202 -0.5 188 72.7 69 -2.9 216 -4.2 7
210 Green Bay 12.3%   15 - 14 12 - 8 -2.9      +1.8 122 -4.7 311 61.0 350 -1.6 187 -1.7 4
215 Youngstown St. 4.9%   12 - 16 8 - 12 -3.1      -2.5 240 -0.7 191 68.5 180 -5.5 250 -6.6 9
240 Detroit Mercy 5.5%   13 - 14 12 - 8 -4.4      -1.0 185 -3.5 278 71.3 103 -2.8 212 -1.5 3
258 Purdue Fort Wayne 3.3%   14 - 14 11 - 9 -5.3      -2.4 237 -2.9 260 69.8 139 -2.1 195 -2.6 6
263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.3%   11 - 19 8 - 12 -5.7      -1.7 215 -4.0 290 69.0 166 -5.9 254 -6.3 8
321 Cleveland St. 0.2%   7 - 21 6 - 14 -10.0      +0.1 164 -10.0 362 72.3 80 -8.7 307 -8.5 10
328 IU Indianapolis 0.2%   5 - 24 3 - 17 -10.6      -3.6 261 -7.0 348 80.8 4 -12.5 341 -13.5 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 25 240 Detroit Mercy 62 156 Robert Morris 73   
Wed, Feb 25 258 Purdue Fort Wayne 70 160 Wright St. 74   
Wed, Feb 25 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 78 215 Youngstown St. 65   
Wed, Feb 25 328 IU Indianapolis 74 168 Oakland 86   
Wed, Feb 25 321 Cleveland St. 70 191 Northern Kentucky 81   
Sat, Feb 28 240 Detroit Mercy 95 168 Oakland 89   
Sat, Feb 28 328 IU Indianapolis 81 258 Purdue Fort Wayne 87   
Sat, Feb 28 321 Cleveland St. 64 156 Robert Morris 83   
Sat, Feb 28 191 Northern Kentucky 91 160 Wright St. 92   
Sat, Feb 28 210 Green Bay 85 215 Youngstown St. 63   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Mar 2 321 Cleveland St. 92 328 IU Indianapolis 88 64%   
Wed, Mar 4 191 Northern Kentucky 81 168 Oakland 85 66%   
Wed, Mar 4 156 Robert Morris 74 215 Youngstown St. 68 72%   
Wed, Mar 4 240 Detroit Mercy 81 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 76 66%   
Wed, Mar 4 210 Green Bay 76 258 Purdue Fort Wayne 71 70%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Robert Morris 2.0 100.0
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Oakland 3.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 8.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 3.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 10.0 100.0
IU Indianapolis 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Robert Morris 13 - 7 20 - 10 100.0
Wright St. 15 - 5 18 - 11 100.0
Oakland 12 - 8 16 - 15 100.0
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 15 - 14 100.0
Green Bay 12 - 8 16 - 14 100.0
Youngstown St. 8 - 12 12 - 17 100.0
Detroit Mercy 12 - 8 14 - 14 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 15 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 12 11 - 20 100.0
Cleveland St. 7 - 14 8 - 21 36.5 63.5
IU Indianapolis 3 - 18 5 - 25 63.5 36.5

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Robert Morris
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Oakland
Northern Kentucky
Green Bay
Youngstown St.
Detroit Mercy
Purdue Fort Wayne
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Robert Morris 22.8% 22.8% 0.0% 14   0.1 5.6 14.0 3.1 0.0 77.2 0.0%
Wright St. 21.5% 21.5% 0.0% 0.1 2.8 12.7 5.9 0.1 78.5 0.0%
Oakland 18.5% 18.5% 0.0% 0.1 4.6 13.5 0.3 81.5 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 0.3 3.7 5.2 0.4 90.5 0.0%
Green Bay 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.6 9.7 1.0 87.7 0.0%
Youngstown St. 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.4 4.4 95.1 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 0.1 4.0 1.4 94.6 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.1 2.4 0.8 96.7 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 1.3 98.7 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.9% 1.0 2.1 97.9
2nd Round 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Robert Morris 22.8% 0.0% 22.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 21.5% 0.0% 21.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 18.5% 0.0% 18.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.5% 0.0% 9.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 12.3% 0.0% 12.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 4.9% 2.8% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.5% 0.2% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 3.3% 0.1% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%