Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
161 Wright St. 21.8%   17 - 11 14 - 5 -0.2      +1.0 137 -1.3 212 67.4 215 -0.5 166 +1.3 1
163 Robert Morris 22.3%   14   18 - 10 12 - 7 -0.3      +0.8 146 -1.0 202 63.6 312 +0.3 152 -0.9 2
164 Oakland 20.7%   15 - 14 12 - 7 -0.3      +3.4 95 -3.7 287 73.2 63 -0.3 164 -1.0 3
191 Northern Kentucky 9.0%   15 - 12 10 - 9 -1.9      -1.9 221 0.0 168 72.6 73 -2.5 207 -3.7 7
205 Youngstown St. 7.0%   12 - 15 8 - 11 -2.5      -2.1 229 -0.4 184 68.4 186 -5.4 250 -6.4 9
226 Green Bay 8.4%   14 - 14 11 - 8 -3.7      +1.5 126 -5.1 317 60.8 351 -1.8 195 -2.1 4
254 Detroit Mercy 5.7%   12 - 14 11 - 8 -5.1      -1.6 211 -3.5 278 71.2 105 -3.6 229 -2.4 5
259 Purdue Fort Wayne 3.4%   13 - 14 10 - 9 -5.5      -2.7 245 -2.8 260 70.2 131 -2.5 206 -3.1 6
262 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.6%   11 - 19 8 - 12 -5.7      -1.5 210 -4.2 299 68.9 167 -5.9 255 -6.4 8
316 Cleveland St. 0.2%   7 - 20 6 - 13 -9.8      +0.3 160 -10.1 364 72.5 77 -8.6 303 -8.4 10
326 IU Indianapolis 0.1%   5 - 23 3 - 16 -10.5      -3.7 266 -6.8 343 81.2 3 -12.2 341 -12.9 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 25 254 Detroit Mercy 62 163 Robert Morris 73   
Wed, Feb 25 259 Purdue Fort Wayne 70 161 Wright St. 74   
Wed, Feb 25 262 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 78 205 Youngstown St. 65   
Wed, Feb 25 326 IU Indianapolis 74 164 Oakland 86   
Wed, Feb 25 316 Cleveland St. 70 191 Northern Kentucky 81   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 28 191 Northern Kentucky 77 161 Wright St. 75 55%   
Sat, Feb 28 226 Green Bay 73 205 Youngstown St. 71 57%   
Sat, Feb 28 254 Detroit Mercy 79 164 Oakland 87 77%   
Sat, Feb 28 326 IU Indianapolis 82 259 Purdue Fort Wayne 84 58%   
Sat, Feb 28 316 Cleveland St. 73 163 Robert Morris 85 88%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Robert Morris 2.1 90.4 9.6
Oakland 2.2 80.3 19.7
Northern Kentucky 5.6 18.9 28.9 26.3 25.9
Youngstown St. 8.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.9 1.7 16.0 72.1 10.2
Detroit Mercy 4.2 2.9 19.7 33.7 43.7
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.5 19.5 30.7 26.7 23.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.4 56.1 43.9
Cleveland St. 10.0 100.0
IU Indianapolis 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 14 - 6 17 - 12 54.6 45.4
Robert Morris 13 - 7 19 - 10 12.5 87.5
Oakland 13 - 7 16 - 14 22.6 77.4
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 16 - 12 45.4 54.6
Youngstown St. 8 - 12 12 - 16 56.1 43.9
Green Bay 12 - 8 15 - 14 43.9 56.1
Detroit Mercy 11 - 9 12 - 15 77.4 22.6
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 14 42.5 57.5
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 12 11 - 19 100.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 7 - 21 87.5 12.5
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 5 - 24 57.5 42.5

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Robert Morris
Oakland
Northern Kentucky
Youngstown St.
Green Bay
Detroit Mercy
Purdue Fort Wayne
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 21.8% 21.8% 0.0% 0.0 2.2 11.1 8.0 0.4 78.3 0.0%
Robert Morris 22.3% 22.3% 0.0% 14   0.2 5.2 12.9 3.9 0.0 77.7 0.0%
Oakland 20.7% 20.7% 0.0% 1.6 9.8 9.0 0.3 79.3 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 0.4 2.9 4.6 1.1 91.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.1 2.8 4.1 93.0 0.0%
Green Bay 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 0.5 6.2 1.7 91.6 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 4.2 94.4 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.1 1.7 1.6 96.6 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 1.6 98.4 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.3% 1.0 3.7 96.3
2nd Round 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 21.8% 0.0% 21.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 22.3% 0.0% 22.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 20.7% 0.0% 20.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.0% 0.2% 8.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 7.0% 2.8% 5.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 8.4% 0.2% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.7% 3.1% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 3.4% 0.5% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%