Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
144 Wright St. 65.5%   15   20 - 11 15 - 5 +0.7      +2.3 114 -1.6 221 67.8 196 +0.5 147 +2.1 1
164 Robert Morris 0.0%   20 - 11 13 - 7 +0.1      +0.3 159 -0.2 186 62.8 324 +0.2 152 -0.6 2
174 Oakland 0.0%   15 - 16 12 - 8 -0.8      +3.5 91 -4.3 301 73.2 59 -1.6 191 -1.8 5
185 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   17 - 14 10 - 10 -1.4      -0.3 171 -1.2 211 73.4 57 -2.3 202 -4.2 7
217 Green Bay 0.0%   16 - 15 12 - 8 -3.3      +1.8 123 -5.1 314 60.5 356 -1.7 193 -1.5 4
219 Youngstown St. 0.0%   12 - 17 8 - 12 -3.4      -3.0 250 -0.4 191 68.3 182 -5.5 249 -6.5 9
220 Detroit Mercy 34.5%   15 - 14 12 - 8 -3.4      -0.7 183 -2.7 255 70.9 111 -2.0 198 -1.5 3
262 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   14 - 15 11 - 9 -5.5      -2.9 248 -2.6 254 69.3 151 -2.5 206 -2.5 6
271 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   11 - 20 8 - 12 -6.2      -2.0 223 -4.2 300 68.8 167 -6.0 254 -6.2 8
322 Cleveland St. 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 14 -10.2      -0.2 170 -10.0 362 72.9 66 -8.4 298 -8.4 10
327 IU Indianapolis 0.0%   5 - 25 3 - 17 -10.8      -3.7 270 -7.1 347 81.5 3 -13.0 342 -13.5 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Mar 8 217 Green Bay 76 185 Northern Kentucky 96   
Mon, Mar 9 220 Detroit Mercy 70 164 Robert Morris 64   
Mon, Mar 9 185 Northern Kentucky 90 144 Wright St. 103   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Mar 10 220 Detroit Mercy 76 144 Wright St. 80 65%   





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Robert Morris 2.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 3.0 100.0
Oakland 3.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 8.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 10.0 100.0
IU Indianapolis 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 15 - 5 21 - 11 100.0
Robert Morris 13 - 7 20 - 11 100.0
Detroit Mercy 12 - 8 15 - 15 100.0
Oakland 12 - 8 15 - 16 100.0
Green Bay 12 - 8 16 - 15 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 15 100.0
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 17 - 14 100.0
Youngstown St. 8 - 12 12 - 17 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 12 11 - 20 100.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 8 - 22 100.0
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 5 - 25 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Robert Morris
Detroit Mercy
Oakland
Green Bay
Purdue Fort Wayne
Northern Kentucky
Youngstown St.
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 65.5% 65.5% 0.0% 15   0.4 10.7 44.5 9.9 0.0 34.5 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 34.5% 34.5% 0.0% 0.0 9.2 25.3 65.5 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.6% 0.9 5.4 94.6
2nd Round 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Wright St. 65.5% 0.0% 65.5% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 34.5% 10.7% 29.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%