Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
141 Wright St. 24.5%   15   5 - 7 2 - 1 17 - 12 14 - 6 +1.0      0.0 163 +1.0 132 67.1 246 -3.0 211 +1.0 4
144 Oakland 23.1%   5 - 8 2 - 1 17 - 13 14 - 6 +0.9      +4.4 77 -3.5 293 75.4 42 +2.2 135 +3.5 2
182 Youngstown St. 11.5%   6 - 6 2 - 2 15 - 13 11 - 9 -1.4      -2.5 235 +1.1 129 69.1 193 -2.5 203 -5.4 8
193 Robert Morris 9.7%   8 - 5 2 - 2 17 - 12 11 - 9 -2.2      -0.5 177 -1.7 223 65.0 300 +0.1 163 -3.3 7
194 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10.7%   6 - 7 3 - 0 15 - 15 12 - 8 -2.2      -0.2 170 -2.1 240 70.9 144 -0.5 170 +9.1 1
201 Northern Kentucky 8.1%   7 - 5 2 - 2 16 - 12 11 - 9 -2.8      -1.5 206 -1.3 210 73.1 79 -1.0 177 -3.2 6
214 Purdue Fort Wayne 7.5%   5 - 7 2 - 2 14 - 14 11 - 9 -3.4      -0.7 182 -2.7 263 72.7 94 -0.8 175 -2.6 5
277 Detroit Mercy 2.7%   4 - 7 3 - 1 11 - 16 10 - 10 -6.3      -3.0 251 -3.2 288 68.8 203 -4.7 241 +2.4 3
286 Green Bay 1.9%   4 - 8 1 - 2 11 - 18 8 - 12 -6.7      -0.8 189 -5.8 340 63.0 336 -3.2 215 -9.0 9
326 Cleveland St. 0.4%   2 - 10 1 - 3 6 - 22 5 - 15 -10.0      -1.8 216 -8.2 357 71.0 136 -12.6 336 -15.2 10
356 IU Indianapolis 0.0%   2 - 11 0 - 4 5 - 24 3 - 17 -14.1      -5.3 310 -8.8 361 90.0 1 -13.5 341 -21.8 11




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Dec 29 201 Northern Kentucky 79 193 Robert Morris 77   
Mon, Dec 29 277 Detroit Mercy 73 182 Youngstown St. 68   
Mon, Dec 29 144 Oakland 73 141 Wright St. 88   
Mon, Dec 29 326 Cleveland St. 99 356 IU Indianapolis 86   
Mon, Dec 29 194 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 77 214 Purdue Fort Wayne 55   
Tue, Dec 30 194 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 60 45 Wisconsin 80   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Jan 1 144 Oakland 78 182 Youngstown St. 79 53%   
Thu, Jan 1 194 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 71 141 Wright St. 77 73%   
Thu, Jan 1 286 Green Bay 72 214 Purdue Fort Wayne 78 73%   
Thu, Jan 1 356 IU Indianapolis 81 201 Northern Kentucky 95 90%   
Fri, Jan 2 277 Detroit Mercy 71 193 Robert Morris 72 54%   
Sun, Jan 4 201 Northern Kentucky 75 182 Youngstown St. 73 56%   
Sun, Jan 4 144 Oakland 82 193 Robert Morris 76 72%   
Sun, Jan 4 326 Cleveland St. 76 214 Purdue Fort Wayne 86 82%   
Sun, Jan 4 356 IU Indianapolis 77 141 Wright St. 89 87%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wright St. 2.6 36.7 23.0 14.5 9.4 7.0 4.3 2.8 1.7 0.6 0.1
Oakland 2.5 39.7 22.6 13.9 9.4 6.2 4.1 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
Youngstown St. 4.6 9.4 12.6 14.5 14.5 13.4 12.3 10.6 7.6 4.0 0.9 0.1
Robert Morris 4.7 7.8 11.3 14.0 14.4 14.3 13.7 11.7 8.1 3.9 0.7 0.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 3.7 19.1 17.5 16.4 13.9 11.5 8.8 6.4 4.2 2.0 0.3 0.0
Northern Kentucky 5.1 6.5 10.0 12.8 13.3 13.8 13.8 12.3 10.4 5.9 1.2 0.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.2 5.3 9.2 11.2 13.4 14.2 14.2 13.4 11.0 6.4 1.6 0.2
Detroit Mercy 6.3 2.8 4.5 7.1 9.1 11.4 13.8 15.1 18.8 13.3 3.8 0.2
Green Bay 7.6 0.8 1.6 3.3 4.2 6.2 8.6 12.9 18.6 28.0 13.8 2.0
Cleveland St. 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.7 8.4 20.8 51.1 12.3
IU Indianapolis 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.9 21.2 73.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 14 - 6 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.6 7.7 11.7 15.1 16.7 16.7 12.4 7.2 3.3 0.6
Oakland 14 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.2 4.0 7.4 11.3 14.7 16.6 16.9 13.4 8.2 3.4 1.0
Youngstown St. 11 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.8 6.2 10.2 13.1 15.7 15.8 14.4 10.1 6.3 2.8 0.7 0.1
Robert Morris 11 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 3.2 6.3 11.3 14.3 16.8 15.7 13.9 9.0 5.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.1 6.1 9.5 13.7 15.9 15.4 13.7 9.9 6.4 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.0
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.0 4.9 8.2 11.3 14.8 16.4 14.7 12.3 8.0 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.3 5.2 8.7 12.8 16.3 15.6 14.6 10.8 7.2 3.9 1.2 0.4 0.0
Detroit Mercy 10 - 10 0.1 0.7 2.6 6.2 10.3 13.2 15.7 15.8 13.4 10.3 6.0 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 8 - 12 0.0 0.5 2.2 5.0 9.3 13.0 14.8 15.5 13.5 10.9 7.0 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Cleveland St. 5 - 15 1.7 6.5 12.8 17.8 18.9 16.0 11.9 7.3 4.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 8.6 19.0 24.0 20.3 14.4 7.8 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 36.7% 23.7 10.2 2.2 0.4 0.1
Oakland 39.7% 26.7 10.1 2.3 0.5 0.1
Youngstown St. 9.4% 4.7 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
Robert Morris 7.8% 3.7 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 19.1% 11.1 6.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
Northern Kentucky 6.5% 3.2 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.3% 2.4 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
Detroit Mercy 2.8% 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.0
Green Bay 0.8% 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 24.5% 24.5% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.1 0.6 4.3 9.7 8.1 1.8 75.5 0.0%
Oakland 23.1% 23.1% 0.0% 0.1 1.1 5.5 9.6 5.7 1.1 76.9 0.0%
Youngstown St. 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 4.5 1.5 88.6 0.0%
Robert Morris 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.2 1.1 90.3 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 3.2 5.0 1.8 89.3 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.9 1.3 91.9 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 3.1 1.3 92.6 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.6 97.3 0.0%
Green Bay 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 98.1 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 24.5% 0.5% 24.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 23.1% 0.3% 23.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 11.5% 0.5% 11.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 9.7% 0.1% 9.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10.7% 0.6% 10.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 8.1% 0.4% 7.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 7.5% 0.4% 7.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 2.7% 1.1% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 1.9% 0.7% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.7% 1.0 2.3 97.7
2nd Round 3.3% 0.0 96.7 3.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0