Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
161 Robert Morris 21.9%   14   18 - 10 12 - 7 -0.3      +0.8 147 -1.0 202 63.6 313 +0.3 153 -0.9 2
162 Wright St. 21.0%   17 - 11 14 - 5 -0.3      +1.0 137 -1.3 213 67.4 216 -0.6 169 +1.3 1
163 Oakland 21.1%   15 - 14 12 - 7 -0.3      +3.4 95 -3.7 287 73.2 62 -0.4 163 -1.0 3
191 Northern Kentucky 9.5%   15 - 12 10 - 9 -1.9      -1.9 220 0.0 169 72.6 73 -2.5 209 -3.7 7
204 Youngstown St. 6.9%   12 - 15 8 - 11 -2.5      -2.1 227 -0.4 185 68.4 185 -5.4 250 -6.4 9
227 Green Bay 8.7%   14 - 14 11 - 8 -3.7      +1.5 126 -5.2 318 60.8 351 -1.8 194 -2.1 4
254 Detroit Mercy 5.6%   12 - 14 11 - 8 -5.0      -1.6 211 -3.5 278 71.2 104 -3.6 228 -2.4 5
259 Purdue Fort Wayne 3.6%   13 - 14 10 - 9 -5.5      -2.7 245 -2.8 261 70.2 131 -2.5 207 -3.1 6
263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.4%   11 - 19 8 - 12 -5.7      -1.5 209 -4.2 299 68.9 166 -5.9 256 -6.4 8
316 Cleveland St. 0.3%   7 - 20 6 - 13 -9.8      +0.3 160 -10.1 364 72.5 75 -8.6 302 -8.4 10
326 IU Indianapolis 0.2%   5 - 23 3 - 16 -10.5      -3.7 267 -6.8 342 81.2 3 -12.3 341 -13.0 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 25 254 Detroit Mercy 62 161 Robert Morris 73   
Wed, Feb 25 259 Purdue Fort Wayne 70 162 Wright St. 74   
Wed, Feb 25 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 78 204 Youngstown St. 65   
Wed, Feb 25 326 IU Indianapolis 74 163 Oakland 86   
Wed, Feb 25 316 Cleveland St. 70 191 Northern Kentucky 81   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 28 191 Northern Kentucky 77 162 Wright St. 75 55%   
Sat, Feb 28 227 Green Bay 73 204 Youngstown St. 71 57%   
Sat, Feb 28 254 Detroit Mercy 79 163 Oakland 87 77%   
Sat, Feb 28 326 IU Indianapolis 82 259 Purdue Fort Wayne 84 58%   
Sat, Feb 28 316 Cleveland St. 73 161 Robert Morris 86 88%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Robert Morris 2.1 90.8 9.2
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Oakland 2.2 79.6 20.4
Northern Kentucky 5.6 18.3 29.6 26.2 25.9
Youngstown St. 8.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.9 1.6 16.9 71.5 10.0
Detroit Mercy 4.2 2.9 20.4 33.2 43.5
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.5 19.2 30.8 26.8 23.3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.4 56.8 43.2
Cleveland St. 10.0 100.0
IU Indianapolis 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Robert Morris 13 - 7 19 - 10 12.0 88.0
Wright St. 14 - 6 17 - 12 55.0 45.0
Oakland 13 - 7 16 - 14 23.3 76.7
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 16 - 12 45.0 55.0
Youngstown St. 8 - 12 12 - 16 56.8 43.2
Green Bay 12 - 8 15 - 14 43.2 56.8
Detroit Mercy 11 - 9 12 - 15 76.7 23.3
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 14 42.3 57.7
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 12 11 - 19 100.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 7 - 21 88.0 12.0
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 5 - 24 57.7 42.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Robert Morris
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Oakland
Northern Kentucky
Youngstown St.
Green Bay
Detroit Mercy
Purdue Fort Wayne
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Robert Morris 21.9% 21.9% 0.0% 14   0.1 4.9 13.1 3.7 0.0 78.1 0.0%
Wright St. 21.0% 21.0% 0.0% 0.1 2.2 10.8 7.6 0.3 79.0 0.0%
Oakland 21.1% 21.1% 0.0% 0.0 1.7 10.7 8.5 0.3 78.9 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.9 1.1 90.5 0.0%
Youngstown St. 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.1 2.9 3.9 93.1 0.0%
Green Bay 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 0.7 6.3 1.7 91.3 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0 1.3 4.3 94.4 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.1 1.9 1.7 96.4 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4 98.6 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.6% 1.0 3.4 96.6
2nd Round 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Robert Morris 21.9% 0.0% 21.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 21.0% 0.0% 21.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 21.1% 0.0% 21.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.5% 0.1% 9.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 6.9% 2.7% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 8.7% 0.2% 8.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.6% 3.1% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 3.6% 0.5% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%