Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
164 Wright St. 22.0%   15   16 - 11 13 - 5 -0.3      +1.2 136 -1.6 218 67.1 224 -0.9 173 +0.7 1
170 Robert Morris 20.7%   17 - 10 11 - 7 -0.5      +0.8 146 -1.3 211 63.8 309 +0.1 157 -1.2 2
171 Oakland 19.9%   14 - 14 11 - 7 -0.6      +3.4 95 -4.0 291 73.5 56 -0.6 168 -1.4 3
192 Youngstown St. 8.3%   12 - 14 8 - 10 -1.9      -1.7 223 -0.2 179 68.4 186 -5.0 249 -6.0 8
199 Northern Kentucky 8.7%   14 - 12 9 - 9 -2.2      -1.8 225 -0.4 185 72.6 72 -2.9 213 -4.3 7
229 Green Bay 8.4%   14 - 14 11 - 8 -3.8      +1.3 133 -5.1 314 60.8 351 -1.9 197 -2.2 5
254 Detroit Mercy 5.9%   12 - 13 11 - 7 -5.0      -1.5 213 -3.5 283 71.4 99 -3.4 229 -2.1 4
258 Purdue Fort Wayne 4.3%   13 - 13 10 - 8 -5.4      -2.4 238 -3.0 264 70.0 136 -1.9 198 -2.4 6
274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.3%   10 - 19 7 - 12 -6.3      -1.7 224 -4.6 306 68.9 168 -6.5 268 -7.1 9
315 Cleveland St. 0.3%   7 - 19 6 - 12 -9.5      +0.7 148 -10.2 363 72.4 77 -8.2 300 -8.0 10
325 IU Indianapolis 0.3%   5 - 22 3 - 15 -10.4      -3.6 262 -6.8 346 81.6 3 -12.1 339 -12.7 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Feb 20 229 Green Bay 73 171 Oakland 68   
Fri, Feb 20 254 Detroit Mercy 91 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 86   
Sun, Feb 22 254 Detroit Mercy 74 229 Green Bay 70   
Sun, Feb 22 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 70 171 Oakland 81   
Sun, Feb 22 170 Robert Morris 81 164 Wright St. 68   
Sun, Feb 22 315 Cleveland St. 86 258 Purdue Fort Wayne 92   
Sun, Feb 22 199 Northern Kentucky 58 192 Youngstown St. 64   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Feb 25 254 Detroit Mercy 71 170 Robert Morris 79 76%   
Wed, Feb 25 258 Purdue Fort Wayne 75 164 Wright St. 77 58%   
Wed, Feb 25 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 74 192 Youngstown St. 76 55%   
Wed, Feb 25 315 Cleveland St. 81 199 Northern Kentucky 86 66%   
Wed, Feb 25 325 IU Indianapolis 86 171 Oakland 93 74%   
Sat, Feb 28 199 Northern Kentucky 77 164 Wright St. 76 54%   
Sat, Feb 28 229 Green Bay 72 192 Youngstown St. 71 55%   
Sat, Feb 28 254 Detroit Mercy 80 171 Oakland 87 76%   
Sat, Feb 28 325 IU Indianapolis 83 258 Purdue Fort Wayne 85 58%   
Sat, Feb 28 315 Cleveland St. 74 170 Robert Morris 86 87%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Robert Morris 2.2 15.8 58.2 22.8 1.2 1.6 0.5
Oakland 2.3 13.5 51.5 28.4 2.4 3.4 0.8
Youngstown St. 7.7 4.1 22.5 73.5
Northern Kentucky 6.2 0.0 8.1 17.1 21.7 49.2 3.9
Green Bay 3.9 4.6 28.9 43.5 19.3 3.7
Detroit Mercy 3.9 1.7 11.4 29.2 18.9 30.8 8.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.8 2.1 13.6 24.6 25.8 25.2 8.7
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.8 25.2 72.3 2.5
Cleveland St. 9.7 1.2 24.0 74.8
IU Indianapolis 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 14 - 6 17 - 12 24.0 49.2 26.8
Robert Morris 13 - 7 19 - 10 3.3 30.6 66.1
Oakland 13 - 7 16 - 14 6.7 36.1 57.2
Youngstown St. 9 - 11 13 - 15 25.2 49.6 25.3
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 15 - 13 16.3 47.1 36.5
Green Bay 12 - 8 15 - 14 45.4 54.6
Detroit Mercy 11 - 9 12 - 15 57.7 36.0 6.3
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 14 25.1 49.4 25.5
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7 - 13 10 - 20 54.6 45.4
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 7 - 21 57.8 37.4 4.9
IU Indianapolis 4 - 16 6 - 23 43.3 45.7 11.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 100.0% 78.0 13.0 9.0
Robert Morris 15.8% 6.8 9.0
Oakland 13.5% 4.6 9.0
Youngstown St.
Northern Kentucky
Green Bay
Detroit Mercy 1.7% 1.7
Purdue Fort Wayne
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 22.0% 22.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 2.0 10.2 9.1 0.6 78.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 20.7% 20.7% 0.0% 0.1 4.2 11.4 4.9 0.2 79.3 0.0%
Oakland 19.9% 19.9% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 8.4 9.5 0.6 80.1 0.0%
Youngstown St. 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.1 1.1 3.8 3.2 91.8 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 0.2 2.5 4.3 1.7 91.3 0.0%
Green Bay 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 6.0 1.8 91.6 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 1.9 4.0 94.1 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 0.1 2.2 1.9 95.7 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 1.3 98.7 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.7% 1.0 3.3 96.7
2nd Round 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 22.0% 0.0% 21.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 20.7% 0.0% 20.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 19.9% 0.0% 19.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 8.3% 1.6% 7.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 8.7% 0.4% 8.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 8.4% 0.3% 8.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.9% 2.3% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.3% 0.6% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%