Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
164 Wright St. 21.9%   15   16 - 11 13 - 5 -0.3      +1.2 136 -1.6 219 67.2 224 -0.9 173 +0.7 1
170 Oakland 20.9%   14 - 14 11 - 7 -0.5      +3.4 96 -3.9 290 73.5 56 -0.6 167 -1.4 3
171 Robert Morris 20.1%   17 - 10 11 - 7 -0.5      +0.8 146 -1.3 211 63.8 310 +0.1 157 -1.2 2
192 Youngstown St. 8.2%   12 - 14 8 - 10 -1.9      -1.7 223 -0.2 178 68.4 184 -5.1 249 -6.0 8
198 Northern Kentucky 8.9%   14 - 12 9 - 9 -2.2      -1.8 226 -0.4 184 72.6 72 -2.9 213 -4.3 7
231 Green Bay 8.2%   14 - 14 11 - 8 -3.8      +1.3 133 -5.1 315 60.8 351 -1.9 197 -2.2 5
254 Detroit Mercy 5.9%   12 - 13 11 - 7 -5.0      -1.5 213 -3.5 282 71.4 99 -3.4 229 -2.1 4
258 Purdue Fort Wayne 4.1%   13 - 13 10 - 8 -5.4      -2.4 239 -3.0 263 70.0 136 -2.0 198 -2.4 6
273 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.2%   10 - 19 7 - 12 -6.3      -1.7 224 -4.6 306 68.9 168 -6.5 268 -7.1 9
316 Cleveland St. 0.3%   7 - 19 6 - 12 -9.5      +0.7 148 -10.2 363 72.4 77 -8.3 299 -8.0 10
325 IU Indianapolis 0.3%   5 - 22 3 - 15 -10.4      -3.6 262 -6.8 346 81.6 3 -12.1 339 -12.7 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Feb 19 325 IU Indianapolis 73 164 Wright St. 85   
Fri, Feb 20 231 Green Bay 73 170 Oakland 68   
Fri, Feb 20 254 Detroit Mercy 91 273 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 86   
Sun, Feb 22 254 Detroit Mercy 74 231 Green Bay 70   
Sun, Feb 22 273 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 70 170 Oakland 81   
Sun, Feb 22 171 Robert Morris 81 164 Wright St. 68   
Sun, Feb 22 316 Cleveland St. 86 258 Purdue Fort Wayne 92   
Sun, Feb 22 198 Northern Kentucky 58 192 Youngstown St. 64   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Feb 25 254 Detroit Mercy 71 171 Robert Morris 79 76%   
Wed, Feb 25 258 Purdue Fort Wayne 75 164 Wright St. 77 58%   
Wed, Feb 25 273 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 74 192 Youngstown St. 76 55%   
Wed, Feb 25 316 Cleveland St. 81 198 Northern Kentucky 85 66%   
Wed, Feb 25 325 IU Indianapolis 86 170 Oakland 93 75%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Oakland 2.3 13.2 51.3 28.9 2.5 3.3 0.8
Robert Morris 2.2 15.6 58.7 22.4 1.2 1.7 0.5
Youngstown St. 7.7 4.3 22.4 73.3
Northern Kentucky 6.2 0.0 8.2 16.7 21.9 48.8 4.4
Green Bay 3.9 4.9 29.4 43.7 18.7 3.4
Detroit Mercy 3.9 1.5 12.1 28.9 19.7 29.9 8.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.9 2.2 13.0 24.8 25.2 25.7 9.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.8 25.6 71.8 2.7
Cleveland St. 9.7 1.2 24.4 74.4
IU Indianapolis 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 14 - 6 17 - 12 23.5 49.7 26.8
Oakland 12 - 8 15 - 15 6.6 37.2 56.2
Robert Morris 13 - 7 19 - 10 3.4 30.7 65.9
Youngstown St. 9 - 11 13 - 15 25.6 48.7 25.7
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 15 - 13 16.5 47.1 36.4
Green Bay 12 - 8 15 - 14 45.3 54.8
Detroit Mercy 11 - 9 12 - 15 57.6 36.1 6.3
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 14 25.7 49.7 24.6
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7 - 13 10 - 20 54.9 45.1
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 7 - 21 57.4 37.7 4.9
IU Indianapolis 4 - 16 6 - 23 42.1 46.1 11.8

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 100.0% 78.7 12.4 8.9
Oakland 13.2% 4.3 8.9
Robert Morris 15.6% 6.6 8.9
Youngstown St.
Northern Kentucky
Green Bay
Detroit Mercy 1.5% 1.5
Purdue Fort Wayne
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 21.9% 21.9% 0.0% 15   0.1 2.3 10.2 8.8 0.6 78.1 0.0%
Oakland 20.9% 20.9% 0.0% 0.0 1.9 8.7 9.6 0.6 79.1 0.0%
Robert Morris 20.1% 20.1% 0.0% 0.1 3.5 11.5 4.8 0.1 79.9 0.0%
Youngstown St. 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.0 91.8 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.3 2.5 4.4 1.7 91.1 0.0%
Green Bay 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 6.0 1.7 91.8 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.1 1.9 4.0 94.1 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 0.1 2.1 1.9 95.9 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2 98.9 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.9% 1.0 3.1 96.9
2nd Round 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 21.9% 0.0% 21.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 20.9% 0.1% 20.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 20.1% 0.0% 20.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 8.2% 1.4% 7.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 8.9% 0.4% 8.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 8.2% 0.3% 8.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 5.9% 2.3% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.1% 0.7% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%