Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
158 Robert Morris 24.3%   14   19 - 10 13 - 7 0.0      +0.7 147 -0.7 199 63.3 323 +0.4 149 -0.7 2
161 Wright St. 21.2%   18 - 11 15 - 5 -0.1      +1.7 126 -1.8 223 67.3 213 0.0 155 +2.1 1
169 Oakland 17.1%   15 - 15 12 - 8 -0.7      +3.5 89 -4.3 298 73.2 58 -1.1 177 -1.9 5
187 Northern Kentucky 9.8%   15 - 13 10 - 10 -1.9      -1.4 201 -0.5 191 72.7 71 -2.9 214 -4.2 7
210 Green Bay 8.8%   15 - 14 12 - 8 -2.9      +1.9 121 -4.7 311 60.9 352 -1.5 186 -1.6 4
215 Youngstown St. 4.7%   12 - 16 8 - 12 -3.1      -2.5 238 -0.7 195 68.5 184 -5.5 252 -6.6 9
239 Detroit Mercy 7.4%   13 - 14 12 - 8 -4.4      -0.9 186 -3.5 279 71.3 102 -2.8 211 -1.5 3
257 Purdue Fort Wayne 5.1%   14 - 14 11 - 9 -5.3      -2.4 235 -2.9 259 69.7 139 -2.1 197 -2.6 6
261 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.5%   11 - 19 8 - 12 -5.7      -1.7 214 -4.0 291 68.9 169 -5.8 255 -6.3 8
320 Cleveland St. 0.2%   8 - 21 6 - 14 -9.8      +0.1 158 -9.9 362 72.8 67 -8.4 299 -8.5 10
328 IU Indianapolis 0.0%   5 - 25 3 - 17 -10.8      -3.7 266 -7.1 348 81.4 2 -12.9 343 -13.5 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 239 Detroit Mercy 95 169 Oakland 89   
Sat, Feb 28 328 IU Indianapolis 81 257 Purdue Fort Wayne 87   
Sat, Feb 28 320 Cleveland St. 64 158 Robert Morris 83   
Sat, Feb 28 187 Northern Kentucky 91 161 Wright St. 92   
Sat, Feb 28 210 Green Bay 85 215 Youngstown St. 63   
Mon, Mar 2 320 Cleveland St. 101 328 IU Indianapolis 93   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 187 Northern Kentucky 81 169 Oakland 85 66%   
Wed, Mar 4 158 Robert Morris 74 215 Youngstown St. 68 72%   
Wed, Mar 4 239 Detroit Mercy 81 261 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 76 66%   
Wed, Mar 4 210 Green Bay 76 257 Purdue Fort Wayne 71 70%   
Wed, Mar 4 320 Cleveland St. 76 161 Wright St. 89 88%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Robert Morris 2.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 3.0 100.0
Oakland 3.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 8.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 10.0 100.0
IU Indianapolis 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 15 - 5 19 - 11 100.0
Robert Morris 13 - 7 20 - 10 100.0
Detroit Mercy 12 - 8 14 - 14 100.0
Oakland 12 - 8 16 - 15 100.0
Green Bay 12 - 8 16 - 14 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 15 100.0
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 15 - 14 100.0
Youngstown St. 8 - 12 12 - 17 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 12 11 - 20 100.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 8 - 22 100.0
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 5 - 25 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Robert Morris
Detroit Mercy
Oakland
Green Bay
Purdue Fort Wayne
Northern Kentucky
Youngstown St.
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Robert Morris 24.3% 24.3% 0.0% 14   0.2 5.7 15.1 3.3 75.8 0.0%
Wright St. 21.2% 21.2% 0.0% 0.1 3.0 13.2 4.9 0.1 78.8 0.0%
Oakland 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 0.2 5.1 11.7 0.2 82.9 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 0.2 3.8 5.5 0.3 90.2 0.0%
Green Bay 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 0.8 7.1 0.9 91.2 0.0%
Youngstown St. 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 0.4 4.3 95.3 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 0.0 5.9 1.5 92.6 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.1 3.3 1.8 94.9 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.1% 1.0 1.9 98.1
2nd Round 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Robert Morris 24.3% 0.0% 24.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 21.2% 0.0% 21.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 17.1% 0.0% 17.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 9.8% 0.0% 9.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 8.8% 0.0% 8.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 4.7% 2.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 7.4% 0.1% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.1% 0.2% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%