Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#299
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#332
Pace65.6#268
Improvement+0.9#101

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#266
First Shot-4.1#292
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#100
Layup/Dunks-6.1#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#198
Freethrows+1.6#84
Improvement-0.2#205

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#308
First Shot-1.6#239
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#328
Layups/Dunks-2.6#260
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#25
Freethrows-3.1#325
Improvement+1.1#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.3% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 5.1% 7.4% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 27.2% 35.9% 15.0%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 15.4% 9.2% 24.0%
First Four1.2% 1.6% 0.7%
First Round1.2% 1.6% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Home) - 58.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 48 - 109 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 173   Indiana St. L 77-81 34%     0 - 1 -7.4 -0.8 -6.4
  Nov 12, 2021 30   @ Wisconsin L 34-72 3%     0 - 2 -22.8 -24.7 -2.6
  Nov 18, 2021 170   UNC Greensboro L 58-60 24%     0 - 3 -2.4 +1.5 -4.4
  Nov 19, 2021 224   Florida International L 60-63 32%     0 - 4 -5.8 -10.1 +4.2
  Nov 21, 2021 98   Weber St. L 58-68 12%     0 - 5 -4.7 -9.0 +3.5
  Dec 02, 2021 289   Robert Morris W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 04, 2021 281   Youngstown St. W 71-69 57%    
  Dec 10, 2021 213   @ UMKC L 61-70 21%    
  Dec 12, 2021 89   @ Kansas St. L 57-74 6%    
  Dec 22, 2021 85   @ Minnesota L 61-78 6%    
  Dec 30, 2021 196   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-71 20%    
  Jan 01, 2022 205   @ Wright St. L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 05, 2022 268   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 07, 2022 122   @ Oakland L 62-76 11%    
  Jan 09, 2022 228   @ Detroit Mercy L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 13, 2022 338   IUPUI W 67-59 75%    
  Jan 15, 2022 252   Illinois-Chicago W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 20, 2022 228   Detroit Mercy L 72-74 45%    
  Jan 22, 2022 122   Oakland L 65-73 25%    
  Jan 27, 2022 281   @ Youngstown St. L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 29, 2022 289   @ Robert Morris L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 04, 2022 164   @ Cleveland St. L 62-73 18%    
  Feb 06, 2022 275   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 09, 2022 205   Wright St. L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 11, 2022 196   Northern Kentucky L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 13, 2022 268   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 18, 2022 275   Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 20, 2022 164   Cleveland St. L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 24, 2022 252   @ Illinois-Chicago L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 26, 2022 338   @ IUPUI W 64-62 55%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 9 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.9 5.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 14.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 4.4 4.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 14.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.4 2.8 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.2 7.8 9.6 11.2 11.8 11.3 10.3 8.3 6.5 4.7 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 87.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-4 75.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
17-5 50.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
16-6 27.9% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-7 9.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.1% 21.8% 21.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.2% 15.8% 15.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-5 0.6% 17.4% 17.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
16-6 1.1% 12.6% 12.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.0
15-7 2.1% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.9
14-8 3.4% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.2
13-9 4.7% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 4.5
12-10 6.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.3
11-11 8.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 8.0
10-12 10.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.2
9-13 11.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.2
8-14 11.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.7
7-15 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
6-16 9.6% 9.6
5-17 7.8% 7.8
4-18 5.2% 5.2
3-19 3.1% 3.1
2-20 1.6% 1.6
1-21 0.7% 0.7
0-22 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%