Preseason Rankings
Oakland
Horizon
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#197
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.9#347
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#176
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#228
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.6% 25.0% 13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.2 14.1
.500 or above 47.8% 84.9% 47.4%
.500 or above in Conference 74.4% 93.2% 74.2%
Conference Champion 18.2% 33.6% 18.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.0% 2.0%
First Four1.5% 0.8% 1.5%
First Round13.4% 25.0% 13.3%
Second Round0.7% 1.5% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 53 - 11
Quad 412 - 516 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 6   @ Michigan L 58-83 1%    
  Nov 07, 2025 2   @ Purdue L 53-82 0.4%   
  Nov 12, 2025 1   @ Houston L 46-76 0.3%   
  Nov 17, 2025 74   @ Central Florida L 66-79 12%    
  Nov 21, 2025 291   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-68 58%    
  Nov 24, 2025 218   Lamar W 64-63 54%    
  Nov 25, 2025 189   @ Montana L 67-70 39%    
  Dec 03, 2025 192   Purdue Fort Wayne W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 06, 2025 180   Toledo W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 13, 2025 110   @ Northern Iowa L 61-70 22%    
  Dec 17, 2025 266   @ Northern Kentucky W 66-65 52%    
  Dec 20, 2025 21   Michigan St. L 58-76 6%    
  Dec 29, 2025 191   @ Wright St. L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 01, 2026 179   @ Youngstown St. L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 04, 2026 207   Robert Morris W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 09, 2026 232   Cleveland St. W 67-62 66%    
  Jan 11, 2026 191   Wright St. W 71-68 59%    
  Jan 15, 2026 214   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 18, 2026 314   @ Green Bay W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 21, 2026 359   IU Indianapolis W 74-58 90%    
  Jan 24, 2026 309   @ Detroit Mercy W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 28, 2026 192   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 01, 2026 266   Northern Kentucky W 69-62 71%    
  Feb 04, 2026 232   @ Cleveland St. L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 12, 2026 179   Youngstown St. W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 15, 2026 207   @ Robert Morris L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 20, 2026 314   Green Bay W 74-65 78%    
  Feb 22, 2026 214   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 25, 2026 359   @ IU Indianapolis W 71-61 78%    
  Feb 28, 2026 309   Detroit Mercy W 71-62 77%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.6 4.6 3.9 2.7 1.1 0.4 18.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.1 4.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.1 5.0 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 3.9 1.4 0.2 9.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.3 1.3 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 6.3 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.0 2.9 4.6 6.3 7.9 9.3 9.8 10.5 10.8 10.2 8.5 6.7 4.4 2.8 1.1 0.4 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
19-1 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.0
18-2 97.3% 2.7    2.5 0.2
17-3 87.7% 3.9    3.2 0.7 0.0
16-4 69.2% 4.6    3.0 1.5 0.2
15-5 42.2% 3.6    1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0
14-6 14.9% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 18.2% 18.2 12.1 4.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.4% 60.6% 59.5% 1.1% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.8%
19-1 1.1% 52.5% 52.5% 12.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5
18-2 2.8% 44.8% 44.8% 12.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5
17-3 4.4% 38.1% 38.1% 13.1 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 2.7
16-4 6.7% 31.4% 31.4% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.6
15-5 8.5% 22.6% 22.6% 14.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 6.6
14-6 10.2% 18.0% 18.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 8.3
13-7 10.8% 13.4% 13.4% 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 9.3
12-8 10.5% 10.8% 10.8% 17.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 9.4
11-9 9.8% 7.1% 7.1% 17.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 9.1
10-10 9.3% 4.3% 4.3% 17.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.9
9-11 7.9% 2.1% 2.1% 17.2 0.0 0.2 7.7
8-12 6.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 6.2
7-13 4.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.5
6-14 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-15 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 13.6% 13.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 3.6 3.2 2.5 86.4 0.0%