Oakland
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.2 162
Expected Predictive Rating +0.1 156
Pace 74.3 42
Improvement -5.5 351

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 88 C C+ B+ B- B-
Defense D+ 293 D+ C- D+ B+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 33 C- 56% 210 +2.9 86
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 164 C 38% 164 -0.4 196
Three Pointers 36% 291 C 33% 212 -3.0 282
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 106 C- -1.0 211
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 190
Second Chance C 30.5% 180 B- 1.09 79 C+ 0.33 124
Turnovers B+ 14.2% 33
Freethrows B- 0.33 96 B- 75% 107 B- 0.25 82
Total Offense B- +3.7 88

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 54% 81 D+ 12.9% 288
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 39% 27 F 11.7% 362
Three Pointers C 84% 198 C 1.0% 206
Total B- 60% 92 F 8.4% 362

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 270 D- 64% 333 +0.7 202
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 163 F 46% 353 +1.8 317
Three Pointers 43% 102 C+ 33% 127 +0.5 211
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 125 D +3.2 301
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 277
Second Chance D- 34.8% 330 B- 0.95 69 C- 0.33 233
Turnovers D+ 15.4% 264
Freethrows B+ 0.24 19 C 72% 191 B+ 0.17 26
Total Defense D+ -3.9 293

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F 64% 362 C+ 12.6% 108
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 51% 363 D+ 2.9% 303
Three Pointers F+ 91% 353 C- 0.7% 205
Total F 70% 360 C 5.4% 194

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 109 16.7 72
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 35 0.15 118
Improvement -5.0 #354 -0.6 #226

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23% 23% 20%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 89% 95% 73%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 17% 21% 3%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round23% 23% 20%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 74.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 36 - 46 - 10
Quad 411 - 417 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 1 @Michigan L 78 - 121 1% -27  0% 0 - 1 D- -13 A- +10 A+ D A F -19 F D- F
 Fri, Nov 7 8 @Purdue L 77 - 87 2% -3  21% 0 - 2 B+ +14 A- +11 B- A A B- +3 B A+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 6 @Houston L 45 - 78 2% -21  0% 0 - 3 D+ -8 F -12 D- D- B C+ +1 B- C D+
 Mon, Nov 17 52 @Central Florida L 83 - 87 10% -5  2% 0 - 4 B +10 B+ +9 C+ C A- C+ +1 C C C
 Fri, Nov 21 243 @Eastern Michigan L 91 - 97 55% -1  30% 0 - 5 D+ -7 A +12 A C+ A+ F -19 F A- D+
 Mon, Nov 24 205 Lamar W 83 - 68 60% +4  68% 1 - 5 B+ +12 B +6 D+ A+ B- B+ +6 B+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 183 @Montana W 95 - 87 43% +4  75% 2 - 5 B +10 A +12 A+ D- B D+ -4 C- F C-
 Wed, Dec 3 259 Purdue Fort Wayne W 101 - 92 79% +8  92% 3 - 5 1 - 0 C +0 A +12 B+ B- A+ F -12 D- D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 170 Toledo W 98 - 97 63% -1  32% 4 - 5 C- -3 B+ +8 C B A+ F -11 D- F C
 Sat, Dec 13 90 @Northern Iowa L 63 - 75 19% -5  11% 4 - 6 C- -3 D- -6 C- C+ F B +4 C+ B+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 195 @Northern Kentucky W 82 - 77 46% +2  67% 5 - 6 2 - 0 B- +6 B- +4 D F+ A+ B- +2 C+ C D-
 Sat, Dec 20 11 Michigan St. L 70 - 79 4% -4  24% 5 - 7 B +10 B+ +8 A C+ C B- +2 A- C+ C-
 Mon, Dec 29 150 @Wright St. L 73 - 88 37% -14  1% 5 - 8 2 - 1 D- -12 D+ -3 F D D+ F+ -8 F C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 1 196 @Youngstown St. W 85 - 83 46% -4  21% 6 - 8 3 - 1 C+ +3 A+ +15 A B- A F -12 B F F
 Sun, Jan 4 177 Robert Morris W 96 - 73 65% +14  94% 7 - 8 4 - 1 A +19 A+ +20 C+ A A+ C -0 C- A- D-
 Fri, Jan 9 312 Cleveland St. W 97 - 72 87% +13  90% 8 - 8 5 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 F A+ D+ A- +7 A+ F+ D
 Sun, Jan 11 150 Wright St. L 84 - 94 60% -17  0% 8 - 9 5 - 2 D- -13 C+ +2 C- D A+ F -14 F A- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 268 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73 - 60 61% +9  99% 9 - 9 6 - 2 B +10 F+ -9 F B+ F A+ +18 A+ C+ B
 Sun, Jan 18 234 @Green Bay W 88 - 63 54% +11  87% 10 - 9 7 - 2 A+ +24 A+ +17 B+ A+ C- A +10 B- A C+
 Wed, Jan 21 323 IU Indianapolis L 85 - 103 89% -8  12% 10 - 10 7 - 3 F -31 C -0 F B+ A F -31 F F D
 Sat, Jan 24 254 @Detroit Mercy W 95 - 87 58% +4  82% 11 - 10 8 - 3 B- +6 A+ +19 A- C+ A+ F -13 F C C
 Wed, Jan 28 259 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 74 - 65 59% +1  59% 12 - 10 9 - 3 B- +6 C- -2 D F+ A A +9 A+ F F+
 Sun, Feb 1 195 Northern Kentucky W 76 - 65 68% +2  62% 13 - 10 10 - 3 B- +6 F+ -8 F A+ B- A+ +13 A+ B+ D
 Wed, Feb 4 312 @Cleveland St. L 78 - 91 72% +2  69% 13 - 11 10 - 4 F -19 D- -7 F+ D- F+ F -12 F B- D
 Thu, Feb 12 196 Youngstown St. L 82 - 86 68% -3  14% 13 - 12 10 - 5 D -9 B- +4 A C C F -13 D- D C-
 Sun, Feb 15 177 @Robert Morris L 69 - 93 42% -7  12% 13 - 13 10 - 6 F -22 D+ -2 D F+ C+ F -21 F F D+
 Fri, Feb 20 234 Green Bay W 83 - 76 74%
 Sun, Feb 22 268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 87 - 78 80%
 Wed, Feb 25 323 @IU Indianapolis W 94 - 87 75%
 Sat, Feb 28 254 Detroit Mercy W 87 - 79 78%
Totals 16 - 14 13 - 7 +0 B- +4 B- C- B- D+ -4 C B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C- C C C- 45% 39% 36% B- C C B- C+ B+ B- B- B- D+ D- F C+ D 36% 21% 43% C+ D+ D- B- C- D+ B+ C B+
1.14 56% 38% 33% -1 +1 1.01 30% 1.1 .33 14% .33 75% .25 1.14 64% 46% 33% +3 0 1.08 35% 1.0 .33 15% .24 72% .24
Nov
3		 Michigan A- D- A+ A+ A+ 31% 28% 41% B- A+ F A+ D A C+ A+ B F F F F F 32% 15% 53% A F A+ F D- F A+ F A+
1.00 42% 47% 40% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.4 .18 14% .23 87% .20 1.56 85% 56% 52% +25 0 1.53 26% 2.3 .61 10% .19 92% .17
Nov
7		 Purdue A- A+ F C- B 22% 33% 45% D B- A- B A A C A C+ B- F B- B- B 28% 22% 50% C+ B A+ A+ A+ F B+ A A-
1.10 83% 28% 32% +1 -3 0.98 32% 1.2 .37 13% .20 75% .15 1.24 82% 38% 33% +7 -1 1.13 29% 0.9 .26 7% .23 67% .15
Nov
12		 Houston F F F F F+ 42% 30% 28% C- D- C F D- B C- C- C- C+ F A- B+ B- 24% 35% 42% B B- F+ B+ C D+ A+ A+ A+
0.73 44% 23% 25% -14 -1 0.72 26% 0.6 .16 21% .31 67% .20 1.26 92% 32% 30% +4 -3 1.04 45% 0.9 .40 10% .14 63% .09
Nov
17		 Central Florida B+ F D+ A+ C 44% 15% 40% B+ C+ B- D C A- A+ A+ A+ C+ B F C+ C 38% 21% 40% C C D- B+ C C F B F
1.14 43% 38% 43% -1 +1 1.02 28% 0.9 .25 14% .42 85% .35 1.20 55% 64% 33% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.1 .45 15% .41 72% .29
Nov
21		 Eastern Michigan A C A+ A A- 51% 12% 37% A- A D+ A C+ A+ C- D D+ F F F F F 40% 20% 40% D- F A+ C- A- D+ C+ F D+
1.22 57% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.17 27% 1.2 .32 11% .30 70% .21 1.31 73% 82% 45% +22 0 1.45 17% 1.0 .17 16% .24 87% .21
Nov
24		 Lamar B A F F D- 50% 17% 33% B+ D+ C+ A+ A+ B- A+ C A+ B+ B- C+ A B+ 27% 31% 42% C- B+ D- F+ F A+ D- B- D
1.17 71% 25% 19% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.6 .53 16% .53 69% .37 0.96 50% 38% 27% -7 -2 0.85 39% 1.1 .44 23% .29 69% .20
Nov
25		 Montana A A+ F A+ A+ 49% 25% 26% B- A+ B+ F D- B A+ B A+ D+ C+ D- F+ C- 47% 16% 36% D C- F F F C- D- A+ B-
1.22 77% 23% 43% +9 0 1.21 35% 0.6 .22 13% .46 74% .34 1.12 58% 44% 40% +4 +1 1.13 31% 1.4 .42 19% .35 59% .21
Dec
3		 Purdue Fort Wayne A A+ F A A- 34% 20% 46% D B+ D+ A B- A+ A C A F D A- D- D- 37% 11% 52% D+ D- C- D- D+ F D B+ C-
1.31 89% 9% 42% +11 0 1.23 31% 1.3 .40 14% .36 75% .27 1.20 63% 29% 38% +4 +1 1.12 22% 1.1 .24 10% .29 65% .19
Dec
6		 Toledo B+ C+ A F+ D+ 67% 6% 27% A+ C F A+ B A+ B- C- B- F C- F A+ D- 46% 25% 29% D+ D- F B- F C A- D+ B+
1.26 60% 50% 29% +1 +4 1.11 21% 2.0 .41 6% .27 70% .19 1.24 59% 88% 22% +8 0 1.17 45% 0.9 .42 15% .21 79% .17
Dec
13		 Northern Iowa D- D D F D- 62% 6% 33% A+ C- C- B C+ F A- F B- B C B- B- B- 48% 15% 37% D+ C+ C- A+ B+ D- F A+ F
0.86 50% 33% 24% -10 +4 0.88 23% 1.0 .23 23% .34 63% .21 1.03 60% 38% 32% 0 +1 1.04 22% 0.8 .16 11% .42 59% .25
Dec
17		 Northern Kentucky B- D C+ C- D 45% 22% 33% C D C- F F+ A+ A+ C- A+ B- F B+ A+ C+ 40% 17% 43% C+ C+ D+ B C D- A+ D A
1.13 52% 42% 33% -2 0 0.98 32% 0.8 .27 14% .46 69% .32 1.06 70% 30% 24% -3 +1 0.97 33% 0.9 .30 14% .19 75% .14
Dec
20		 Michigan St. B+ F+ C+ A+ A 41% 22% 37% B A C- B C+ C C- A+ B B- F A+ A- A- 31% 29% 41% B A- D+ B C+ C- D- C+ D
1.03 43% 36% 47% +1 0 1.04 18% 0.8 .15 18% .23 92% .21 1.16 80% 21% 30% 0 -2 0.98 43% 1.0 .43 16% .40 74% .30
Dec
29		 Wright St. D+ F B F+ F 41% 22% 37% C F B+ F D D+ A+ C+ A+ F+ C- C- F F 48% 21% 31% D+ F C- B- C+ B- F+ D F+
1.03 45% 45% 28% -7 0 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 18% .52 73% .38 1.24 61% 40% 60% +14 +1 1.31 32% 1.0 .32 18% .38 77% .29
Jan
1		 Youngstown St. A+ A+ F A+ A 41% 24% 34% C- A D+ A+ B- A A+ C- A+ F F A+ B+ B 31% 12% 58% C+ B F D- F F F+ D F
1.29 76% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .36 14% .60 74% .44 1.26 75% 0% 30% -3 +1 0.98 42% 1.2 .49 11% .34 75% .25
Jan
4		 Robert Morris A+ C A+ F B 35% 31% 33% F C+ B+ A A A+ A+ A+ A+ C F B- A- D+ 33% 33% 33% A C- B A- A- D- D- D D-
1.41 59% 73% 19% +4 -2 1.06 37% 1.2 .44 9% .59 89% .53 1.07 76% 35% 29% +3 -2 1.04 32% 0.9 .30 15% .29 71% .21
Jan
9		 Cleveland St. B- C- A F F 42% 14% 44% B- F A+ B- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A- F D A+ A+ 34% 28% 38% A- A+ F B+ F+ D A+ D A+
1.31 60% 50% 23% -5 +1 0.95 53% 1.1 .60 16% .43 89% .39 0.97 71% 41% 9% -9 -1 0.82 39% 0.9 .35 16% .16 80% .13
Jan
11		 Wright St. C+ C- B- C C 40% 31% 29% D- C- F A+ D A+ A+ C A+ F F+ F F F 36% 32% 32% A F F A+ A- A+ B F D
1.15 57% 44% 33% +1 -1 1.02 19% 1.3 .24 8% .48 72% .34 1.28 68% 59% 53% +20 -2 1.38 42% 0.6 .25 25% .27 100% .27
Jan
15		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee F+ D+ F F F 54% 16% 30% B F C A+ B+ F A B+ A+ A+ B B- A+ A+ 46% 25% 30% D A+ D- A C+ B C- A+ B-
0.98 56% 13% 20% -12 +2 0.82 31% 1.5 .44 21% .41 79% .32 0.81 50% 36% 6% -17 0 0.68 36% 0.9 .32 17% .29 56% .16
Jan
18		 Green Bay A+ B D A+ B+ 52% 26% 22% C+ B+ A+ D A+ C- A+ F B A F F A+ C 28% 26% 47% A+ B- C- A+ A C+ A F B+
1.38 67% 33% 50% +8 0 1.20 53% 1.1 .56 14% .47 62% .29 0.98 77% 50% 23% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.6 .16 17% .26 86% .23
Jan
21		 IU Indianapolis C F F A+ F 49% 8% 43% B F C- A+ B+ A A F C+ F F F F F 25% 42% 33% A+ F F B- F D A+ B+ A+
1.19 42% 0% 43% -5 +2 0.96 34% 1.5 .53 14% .49 63% .31 1.44 80% 64% 50% +24 -4 1.43 48% 1.0 .48 14% .05 67% .03
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Detroit Mercy A+ A- A+ D+ B+ 53% 11% 36% B+ A- B- C C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F F F F F 18% 34% 48% B- F F A- C C A+ F A
1.38 68% 50% 32% +5 +2 1.17 34% 1.1 .38 7% .41 85% .34 1.26 70% 63% 41% +16 -3 1.27 39% 0.8 .30 16% .14 100% .14
Jan
28		 Purdue Fort Wayne C- D F B D- 52% 8% 40% A- D D F F+ A A- D- B A A+ F A- A+ 37% 3% 59% F A+ C+ F F F+ A+ A+ A+
1.07 56% 0% 38% -2 +3 1.04 31% 0.8 .25 14% .34 70% .24 0.94 36% 50% 29% -12 +2 0.81 20% 1.7 .34 12% .11 57% .07
Feb
1		 Northern Kentucky F+ F A+ F F 56% 15% 30% A- F C A+ A+ B- B C+ B A+ A- B- A+ A+ 35% 10% 55% D+ A+ B- A- B+ D A A+ A+
1.00 37% 63% 19% -15 +2 0.76 33% 1.7 .56 18% .39 71% .27 0.85 50% 33% 21% -14 +1 0.76 28% 0.9 .24 14% .20 62% .12
Feb
4		 Cleveland St. D- A- B F F+ 36% 22% 42% D+ F+ D- D+ D- F+ B+ B A- F B- F F F 27% 11% 63% C- F F A+ B- D B- C- C+
1.09 72% 45% 24% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 81% .29 1.28 53% 50% 49% +14 0 1.30 41% 0.6 .23 15% .30 78% .23
Feb
12		 Youngstown St. B- C- A+ A- A 33% 19% 48% C A D- A+ C C F F F F F F C+ F+ 25% 13% 62% B D- F A D C- D- F F
1.17 59% 70% 40% +11 0 1.23 24% 1.3 .31 19% .26 67% .18 1.23 77% 57% 33% +7 0 1.15 42% 0.9 .36 19% .32 100% .32
Feb
15		 Robert Morris D+ F+ B D F+ 56% 16% 29% B+ D B- F F+ C+ B A A F F F F F 38% 11% 51% F+ F F F+ F D+ B+ A+ A+
1.04 48% 43% 31% -6 +2 0.93 32% 0.6 .19 15% .43 83% .36 1.41 80% 50% 41% +15 +1 1.34 44% 1.3 .56 17% .18 40% .07



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 2.9 13.8 16.7 1st
2nd 0.1 11.2 37.8 22.0 71.1 2nd
3rd 1.0 6.7 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 0.6 3.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 0.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.4 4.7 18.5 40.7 35.8 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 38.5% 13.8    2.8 11.0
13-7 7.1% 2.9    0.9 1.9 0.2
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 16.7% 16.7 2.8 11.8 1.9 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 35.8% 25.8% 25.8% 13.7 0.2 3.1 5.3 0.7 26.5
13-7 40.7% 22.8% 22.8% 14.5 0.3 4.2 4.6 0.2 31.4
12-8 18.5% 18.5% 18.5% 15.0 0.0 0.4 2.8 0.3 15.1
11-9 4.7% 14.9% 14.9% 15.4 0.4 0.3 4.0
10-10 0.4% 9.1% 9.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 22.7% 22.7% 0.0% 14.3 77.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.2% 100.0% 13.7 2.0 33.4 57.0 7.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.7%