Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#216
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#224
Pace74.1#63
Improvement+4.9#4

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#169
First Shot+0.0#178
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#181
Layup/Dunks+4.2#54
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#235
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#204
Freethrows-2.3#311
Improvement+2.4#24

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#282
First Shot-4.5#318
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#102
Layups/Dunks+1.0#138
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.1#364
Freethrows+2.0#71
Improvement+2.5#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 7.3% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 35.6% 41.5% 18.2%
.500 or above in Conference 67.7% 74.2% 48.0%
Conference Champion 6.1% 7.5% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.5% 2.1%
First Four1.1% 1.0% 1.2%
First Round6.1% 6.9% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Home) - 75.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 411 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 95 @Grand Canyon L 71-90 14%     0 - 1 -10.6 -0.5 -8.9
  Fri, Nov 7 29 @Ohio St. L 68-94 4%     0 - 2 -8.9 -0.4 -7.6
  Wed, Nov 12 244 @Western Michigan L 71-83 43%     0 - 3 -13.7 -9.0 -3.8
  Tue, Nov 18 113 @Utah L 77-85 18%     0 - 4 -1.5 +9.7 -11.6
  Fri, Nov 21 42 @Saint Louis L 60-91 6%     0 - 5 -16.3 -5.6 -10.5
  Tue, Nov 25 349 Chicago St. W 90-77 87%     1 - 5 -2.7 +11.1 -13.4
  Wed, Dec 3 144 @Oakland L 92-101 24%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -5.0 +8.2 -12.4
  Sat, Dec 6 195 Northern Kentucky W 79-77 56%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -3.1 -2.1 -1.2
  Wed, Dec 10 225 Eastern Michigan W 80-65 63%     3 - 6 +8.3 +9.6 -0.4
  Sun, Dec 14 297 Detroit Mercy W 81-74 75%    
  Sun, Dec 21 59 @Notre Dame L 66-82 7%    
  Mon, Dec 29 223 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 79-82 39%    
  Thu, Jan 1 277 Green Bay W 79-73 71%    
  Sun, Jan 4 325 Cleveland St. W 87-78 79%    
  Wed, Jan 7 166 @Youngstown St. L 73-79 30%    
  Sun, Jan 11 185 @Robert Morris L 73-78 34%    
  Sun, Jan 18 223 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 82-79 61%    
  Wed, Jan 21 297 @Detroit Mercy W 78-77 54%    
  Sun, Jan 25 355 @IU Indianapolis W 95-87 76%    
  Wed, Jan 28 144 Oakland L 86-87 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 185 Robert Morris W 76-75 55%    
  Wed, Feb 4 166 Youngstown St. W 76-75 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 143 @Wright St. L 72-79 25%    
  Thu, Feb 12 277 @Green Bay L 75-76 50%    
  Sun, Feb 15 355 IU Indianapolis W 98-84 89%    
  Wed, Feb 18 195 @Northern Kentucky L 76-80 35%    
  Sun, Feb 22 325 @Cleveland St. W 84-81 61%    
  Wed, Feb 25 143 Wright St. L 75-76 45%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.0 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.6 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.5 6.2 2.8 0.3 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.5 3.0 0.3 0.0 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.8 3.0 0.3 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.3 5.8 8.7 12.0 14.0 14.2 13.3 10.7 7.6 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 98.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 91.5% 0.7    0.6 0.1
16-4 74.0% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.1
15-5 42.4% 2.0    0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0
14-6 15.8% 1.2    0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 38.6% 38.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 29.8% 29.8% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.2% 21.3% 21.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7
15-5 4.6% 16.8% 16.8% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 3.8
14-6 7.6% 15.5% 15.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 6.4
13-7 10.7% 10.4% 10.4% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 9.6
12-8 13.3% 8.4% 8.4% 15.3 0.0 0.7 0.4 12.2
11-9 14.2% 4.7% 4.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 13.5
10-10 14.0% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 13.5
9-11 12.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 11.8
8-12 8.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.6
7-13 5.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 5.7
6-14 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-15 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-16 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.7 2.1 93.4 0.0%