Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#237
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#307
Pace73.3#92
Improvement+1.6#70

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#185
First Shot-1.4#213
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#135
Layup/Dunks+3.9#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#241
Freethrows-3.6#343
Improvement+1.7#47

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#304
First Shot-4.4#320
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#136
Layups/Dunks+2.7#87
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.5#364
Freethrows+2.4#53
Improvement-0.1#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 8.9% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 24.3% 43.0% 19.5%
.500 or above in Conference 55.2% 75.5% 50.1%
Conference Champion 5.4% 14.1% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 1.1% 5.1%
First Four1.9% 2.1% 1.8%
First Round4.9% 8.0% 4.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 97 @Grand Canyon L 71-90 12%     0 - 1 -10.8 -0.5 -8.9
  Fri, Nov 7 24 @Ohio St. L 68-94 3%     0 - 2 -8.5 +0.7 -8.2
  Wed, Nov 12 246 @Western Michigan L 71-83 40%     0 - 3 -13.8 -8.0 -4.8
  Tue, Nov 18 121 @Utah L 77-85 16%     0 - 4 -2.1 +10.4 -12.9
  Fri, Nov 21 54 @Saint Louis L 60-91 6%     0 - 5 -18.2 -6.2 -11.8
  Tue, Nov 25 345 Chicago St. W 90-77 83%     1 - 5 -1.6 +11.8 -12.9
  Wed, Dec 3 138 @Oakland L 79-88 20%    
  Sat, Dec 6 198 Northern Kentucky W 78-77 53%    
  Wed, Dec 10 202 Eastern Michigan W 74-73 54%    
  Sun, Dec 14 329 Detroit Mercy W 84-76 77%    
  Sun, Dec 21 65 @Notre Dame L 65-81 7%    
  Mon, Dec 29 207 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 77-81 35%    
  Thu, Jan 1 265 Green Bay W 76-72 65%    
  Sun, Jan 4 305 Cleveland St. W 86-80 72%    
  Wed, Jan 7 176 @Youngstown St. L 74-80 29%    
  Sun, Jan 11 192 @Robert Morris L 73-78 31%    
  Sun, Jan 18 207 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-78 55%    
  Wed, Jan 21 329 @Detroit Mercy W 81-79 57%    
  Sun, Jan 25 355 @IU Indianapolis W 96-91 69%    
  Wed, Jan 28 138 Oakland L 82-85 40%    
  Sat, Jan 31 192 Robert Morris W 76-75 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 176 Youngstown St. L 77-78 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 155 @Wright St. L 72-79 27%    
  Thu, Feb 12 265 @Green Bay L 73-75 44%    
  Sun, Feb 15 355 IU Indianapolis W 99-88 85%    
  Wed, Feb 18 198 @Northern Kentucky L 75-80 33%    
  Sun, Feb 22 305 @Cleveland St. W 83-82 51%    
  Wed, Feb 25 155 Wright St. L 75-76 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.0 3.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.7 5.3 1.9 0.2 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.8 5.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.0 5.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.8 4.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.0 3.3 1.4 0.1 9.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.1 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.8 5.9 8.7 10.7 11.9 12.6 12.1 10.2 7.9 5.6 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 92.5% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
16-4 73.7% 1.5    1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0
15-5 42.9% 1.5    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-6 18.1% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
13-7 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.3% 32.7% 32.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 31.3% 31.3% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.0% 19.6% 19.6% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6
15-5 3.6% 18.6% 18.6% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 2.9
14-6 5.6% 15.6% 15.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 4.7
13-7 7.9% 10.8% 10.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 7.1
12-8 10.2% 7.7% 7.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 9.4
11-9 12.1% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.1 0.7 11.4
10-10 12.6% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.1
9-11 11.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 11.6
8-12 10.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.5
7-13 8.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.7
6-14 5.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.9
5-15 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-16 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-17 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.0 94.3 0.0%