Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#195
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#178
Pace71.4#132
Improvement+0.6#137

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#205
First Shot-2.8#258
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#87
Layup/Dunks+0.5#162
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement-0.1#189

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#202
First Shot-5.5#340
After Offensive Rebounds+4.5#3
Layups/Dunks-0.8#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#206
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
Freethrows-3.9#353
Improvement+0.7#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 10.7% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 81.5% 88.6% 71.7%
.500 or above in Conference 67.6% 71.9% 61.7%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.0% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.6% 0.9%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 1.0%
First Round8.9% 10.4% 6.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Home) - 58.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 63 - 8
Quad 414 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 15 @Tennessee L 56-95 3%     0 - 1 -18.5 -5.7 -13.0
  Wed, Nov 12 124 @East Tennessee St. L 63-75 22%     0 - 2 -6.2 -9.2 +3.4
  Thu, Nov 20 326 @Central Michigan W 90-66 67%     1 - 2 +17.2 +15.4 +2.3
  Mon, Nov 24 243 Eastern Kentucky W 82-71 70%     2 - 2 +3.2 +2.9 +0.1
  Wed, Nov 26 221 Wofford W 93-83 66%     3 - 2 +3.4 +11.0 -8.2
  Sat, Nov 29 288 Boston University W 74-65 77%     4 - 2 -0.9 +1.8 -1.6
  Wed, Dec 3 329 Cleveland St. W 95-80 84%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +2.0 +11.1 -9.4
  Sat, Dec 6 220 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-79 44%     5 - 3 1 - 1 -2.6 -3.8 +1.3
  Sat, Dec 13 275 @Bellarmine W 80-76 53%     6 - 3 +0.9 +2.5 -1.6
  Wed, Dec 17 144 Oakland L 77-82 49%     6 - 4 1 - 2 -7.0 -3.6 -3.2
  Sun, Dec 21 185 College of Charleston W 75-73 58%    
  Mon, Dec 29 183 @Robert Morris L 70-74 36%    
  Thu, Jan 1 357 IU Indianapolis W 94-79 92%    
  Sun, Jan 4 166 Youngstown St. W 73-72 55%    
  Fri, Jan 9 233 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76-77 46%    
  Sun, Jan 11 264 @Green Bay W 73-72 51%    
  Thu, Jan 15 296 Detroit Mercy W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 183 Robert Morris W 73-71 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 153 @Wright St. L 70-76 29%    
  Fri, Jan 30 296 @Detroit Mercy W 75-73 57%    
  Sun, Feb 1 144 @Oakland L 80-86 29%    
  Wed, Feb 4 264 Green Bay W 75-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 233 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-74 67%    
  Thu, Feb 12 357 @IU Indianapolis W 91-82 78%    
  Wed, Feb 18 220 Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-77 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 166 @Youngstown St. L 70-75 34%    
  Wed, Feb 25 329 @Cleveland St. W 82-77 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 153 Wright St. W 74-73 50%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.5 3.9 6.5 2.4 0.2 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.7 3.1 0.3 0.0 14.2 5th
6th 0.4 3.2 6.7 3.6 0.4 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.5 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.4 4.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.5 5.5 9.2 12.1 14.6 15.1 14.2 10.9 6.9 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 94.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1
16-4 76.6% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
15-5 46.4% 1.7    0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-6 17.2% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.4% 30.6% 30.6% 12.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.6% 31.1% 31.1% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.1
15-5 3.8% 25.8% 25.8% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.8
14-6 6.9% 20.1% 20.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 5.5
13-7 10.9% 15.8% 15.8% 14.6 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 9.2
12-8 14.2% 11.0% 11.0% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 12.7
11-9 15.1% 8.0% 8.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 13.9
10-10 14.6% 5.2% 5.2% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 13.8
9-11 12.1% 4.6% 4.6% 15.7 0.2 0.4 11.5
8-12 9.2% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.9
7-13 5.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.5
6-14 3.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.4
5-15 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.9 1.9 90.8 0.0%